2016 Live Election Night Forecast

This is how election night went in 2016.
Use the History area on the left to look at what the forecast showed at specific times in the evening.
Check back on Election Night this year to see our live forecast in action! Last Updated 11/9 3:00 AM EST


Clinton
Trump
Clinton
Trump
270
|
|
|
|
|
217
Electoral Votes
275
Electoral Votes
100% Chance of Winning

The lighter states haven't been called yet, but are shaded based upon our projection.
The darker states have been called.

NE Districts
01 02 03
ME Districts
01 02
Arizona (11)
Clinton
 
Trump
2.9%
Projection
97.1%
45.3%
 
Vote
 
+4.5% 49.8%
 
42.7%
Polls
+1.9% 44.6%
80.3% Reporting
Michigan (16)
Clinton
 
Trump
16.2%
Projection
83.8%
46.7%
 
Vote
 
+1.4% 48.1%
 
44.1% +3.2%
Polls
40.9%
96.3% Reporting
Minnesota (10)
Clinton
 
Trump
88.1%
Projection
11.9%
46.8% +1.3%
 
Vote
 
45.5%
 
42.7% +5.6%
Polls
37.1%
90.2% Reporting
New Hampshire (4)
Clinton
 
Trump
69.7%
Projection
30.3%
47.5% +0.1%
 
Vote
 
47.4%
 
45.1% +4.1%
Polls
41%
93.1% Reporting

Awaiting Votes

Maine CD-2 (1)
Clinton
 
Trump
46.1%
Projection
53.9%
0%
 
Vote
 
0%
 
40.7%
Polls
+1.9% 42.6%
Nebraska CD-1 (1)
Clinton
 
Trump
0.3%
Projection
99.7%
0%
 
Vote
 
0%
 
27.4%
Polls
+23.3% 50.7%
Nebraska CD-2 (1)
Clinton
 
Trump
18.4%
Projection
81.6%
0%
 
Vote
 
0%
 
40.8%
Polls
+7.5% 48.3%
Maine CD-1 (1)
Clinton
 
Trump
97.6%
Projection
2.4%
0%
 
Vote
 
0%
 
49.5% +11.6%
Polls
37.9%
Nebraska CD-3 (1)
Clinton
 
Trump
0%
Projection
100%
0%
 
Vote
 
0%
 
18.4%
Polls
+44.4% 62.8%

Called States

Alabama (9)
Winner
Trump
Alaska (3)
Winner
Trump
Arkansas (6)
Winner
Trump
California (55)
Winner
Clinton
Colorado (9)
Winner
Clinton
Connecticut (7)
Winner
Clinton
Delaware (3)
Winner
Clinton
District of Columbia (3)
Winner
Clinton
Florida (29)
Winner
Trump
Georgia (16)
Winner
Trump
Hawaii (4)
Winner
Clinton
Idaho (4)
Winner
Trump
Illinois (20)
Winner
Clinton
Indiana (11)
Winner
Trump
Iowa (6)
Winner
Trump
Kansas (6)
Winner
Trump
Kentucky (8)
Winner
Trump
Louisiana (8)
Winner
Trump
Maine (2)
Winner
Clinton
Maryland (10)
Winner
Clinton
Massachusetts (11)
Winner
Clinton
Mississippi (6)
Winner
Trump
Missouri (10)
Winner
Trump
Montana (3)
Winner
Trump
Nebraska (2)
Winner
Trump
Nevada (6)
Winner
Clinton
New Jersey (14)
Winner
Clinton
New Mexico (5)
Winner
Clinton
New York (29)
Winner
Clinton
North Carolina (15)
Winner
Trump
North Dakota (3)
Winner
Trump
Ohio (18)
Winner
Trump
Oklahoma (7)
Winner
Trump
Oregon (7)
Winner
Clinton
Pennsylvania (20)
Winner
Trump
Rhode Island (4)
Winner
Clinton
South Carolina (9)
Winner
Trump
South Dakota (3)
Winner
Trump
Tennessee (11)
Winner
Trump
Texas (38)
Winner
Trump
Utah (6)
Winner
Trump
Vermont (3)
Winner
Clinton
Virginia (13)
Winner
Clinton
Washington (12)
Winner
Clinton
West Virginia (5)
Winner
Trump
Wisconsin (10)
Winner
Trump
Wyoming (3)
Winner
Trump

Election Night Forecast Changes

This is how the forecast has changed throughout the evening (and days?), all times are EST.





Electoral College Votes

Clinton 217
232
233.1
293
Trump 275
306
304.9
216


Electoral College Simulations

Here are all the electoral college outcomes the forecast currently projects.
It's updated each time we update the live forecast.



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