Alabama
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 1/26 6:15 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Alabama changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Alabama Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+7.2%
From 2016 Results
+3.4%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
37.5%
Biden
58%
Trump
(+20.5%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 | Swayable | D- | LV | 330 | Trump 55 |
Biden 37.8 |
+17.2% | +17.2% | 0.56 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,608 | Trump 62 |
Biden 36 |
+26% | +31% | 0.24 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,608 | Trump 58 |
Biden 39 |
+19% | +24% | - |
11/1/20 10/27-11/1 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 1,045 | Trump 58 |
Biden 38 |
+20% | +20% | 1.07 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,714 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | 0.22 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,714 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,752 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | 0.19 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,752 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,786 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | 0.17 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,786 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/30/20 10/23-10/26 | Swayable | D- | LV | 266 | Trump 55.8 |
Biden 37.2 |
+18.6% | +18.6% | 0.4 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,363 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,363 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/29/20 10/23-10/28 | Auburn University at Montgomery | LV | 853 | Trump 58.1 |
Biden 38.9 |
+19.2% | +19.2% | 0.61 | |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,255 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,255 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,122 | Trump 61 |
Biden 38 |
+23% | +28% | - |
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,122 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,120 | Trump 61 |
Biden 38 |
+23% | +28% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,120 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,093 | Trump 61 |
Biden 38 |
+23% | +28% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,093 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,038 | Trump 61 |
Biden 38 |
+23% | +28% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,038 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,985 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,985 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,890 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,890 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,781 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,781 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/19/20 10/11-10/14 | Moore Information | B/C | LV | 504 | Trump 55 |
Biden 38 |
+17% | +16.2% | 0.47 |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,710 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,710 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,675 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,675 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,591 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,591 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,449 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,449 | Trump 55 |
Biden 42 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,265 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,265 | Trump 55 |
Biden 42 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,149 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,149 | Trump 55 |
Biden 42 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,070 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,070 | Trump 55 |
Biden 42 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/5/20 9/30-10/3 | Auburn University at Montgomery | RV | 1,072 | Trump 56.8 |
Biden 37.2 |
+19.6% | +19.6% | - | |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 649 | Trump 57.3 |
Biden 39.1 |
+18.2% | +23.2% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 649 | Trump 62.7 |
Biden 35.2 |
+27.5% | +32.5% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,583 | Trump 58.4 |
Biden 38.9 |
+19.6% | +24.6% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,583 | Trump 63 |
Biden 34.9 |
+28.1% | +33.1% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,220 | Trump 60.1 |
Biden 36.7 |
+23.4% | +28.4% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,220 | Trump 65 |
Biden 33 |
+32% | +37% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,354 | Trump 54.8 |
Biden 42.2 |
+12.5% | +17.5% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,354 | Trump 58.7 |
Biden 39 |
+19.7% | +24.7% | - |
9/21/20 8/17-8/19 | The Tyson Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 48 |
Biden 44 |
+4% | +4% | - |
8/4/20 7/24-8/2 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 609 | Trump 58 |
Biden 36 |
+22% | +22.2% | - |
7/10/20 7/2-7/9 | Auburn University at Montgomery | RV | 558 | Trump 55 |
Biden 40.6 |
+14.4% | +14.4% | - | |
6/22/20 5/14-5/18 | FM3 Research | B/C | LV | 601 | Trump 53 |
Biden 39 |
+14% | +14.6% | - |
2/11/20 2/4-2/6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | B+ | RV | 625 | Trump 58 |
Biden 38 |
+20% | +19.4% | - |
1/28/20 1/7-1/9 | WPA Intelligence | B/C | LV | 500 | Trump 59 |
Biden 38 |
+21% | +20.2% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 62.1 | 34.4 | +27.7% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 60.6 | 38.4 | +22.2% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 60.3 | 38.7 | +21.6% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 62.5 | 36.8 | +25.6% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 56.5 | 41.6 | +14.9% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 1:08 AM EST10/19
10/3
9/21
8/4
6/22