Alaska
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Alaska changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Alaska Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+6.4%
From 2016 Results
+0.1%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
42.7%
Biden
51%
Trump
(+8.3%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 537 | Trump 53 |
Biden 46 |
+7% | +12% | 0.21 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 537 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 614 | Trump 54 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +14% | 0.2 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 614 | Trump 54 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 638 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | 0.18 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 638 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 663 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | 0.16 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 663 | Trump 54 |
Biden 43 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,147 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,147 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/29/20 10/26-10/28 | Gravis Marketing | C | LV | 770 | Trump 52 |
Biden 43 |
+9% | +10% | 0.84 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,131 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,131 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,120 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,120 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,083 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,083 | Trump 52 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,049 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,049 | Trump 52 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 989 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 989 | Trump 52 |
Biden 44 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 998 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 998 | Trump 52 |
Biden 44 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 996 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 996 | Trump 52 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/21/20 10/19-10/20 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 800 | Trump 50 |
Biden 45 |
+5% | +5.4% | 0.73 |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,001 | Trump 52 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,001 | Trump 51 |
Biden 46 |
+5% | +10% | - |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 977 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 977 | Trump 52 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 941 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 941 | Trump 52 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/18/20 9/30-10/4 | Patinkin Research Strategies | LV | 600 | Trump 49 |
Biden 46 |
+3% | +3% | - | |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 898 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 898 | Trump 52 |
Biden 44 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 835 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 835 | Trump 52 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/16/20 10/9-10/14 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 423 | Trump 45 |
Biden 39 |
+6% | +5.6% | 0.63 |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 796 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 796 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 776 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 776 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 751 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 751 | Trump 54 |
Biden 43 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/6/20 9/25-10/4 | Alaska Survey Research | B/C | LV | 676 | Trump 50 |
Biden 46 |
+4% | +5.8% | 0.25 |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 161 | Trump 48.3 |
Biden 48.6 |
+0.3% | +4.7% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 161 | Trump 52.1 |
Biden 46.3 |
+5.8% | +10.8% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 412 | Trump 56.4 |
Biden 40.5 |
+15.9% | +20.9% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 412 | Trump 54.8 |
Biden 42.7 |
+12.1% | +17.1% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 472 | Trump 56.3 |
Biden 42.3 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 472 | Trump 57 |
Biden 42 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 563 | Trump 53.7 |
Biden 43.4 |
+10.3% | +15.3% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 563 | Trump 53.5 |
Biden 44.7 |
+8.8% | +13.8% | - |
9/28/20 9/20-9/23 | Harstad Strategic Research Inc. | B/C | LV | 602 | Trump 47 |
Biden 46 |
+1% | +1.6% | 0.14 |
7/28/20 7/23-7/24 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 885 | Trump 50 |
Biden 44 |
+6% | +6.4% | - |
7/17/20 6/23-7/7 | Alaska Survey Research | B/C | LV | 663 | Trump 48.8 |
Biden 47.6 |
+1.2% | +3% | - |
7/9/20 7/7-7/8 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,081 | Trump 48 |
Biden 45 |
+3% | +3.4% | - |
8/16/19 7/22-8/9 | Zogby Analytics | C+ | LV | 321 | Trump 45 |
Biden 40 |
+5% | +4.4% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 51.3 | 36.6 | +14.7% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 54.8 | 40.8 | +14% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 59.4 | 37.9 | +21.5% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 61.1 | 35.5 | +25.6% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 58.6 | 27.7 | +31% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 2:36 AM EST11/1
10/6
10/3
9/28
7/17