Live Election Night ForecastLast Updated: 9/29 8:41 PM EDT
Election Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Arizona changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Arizona Pre-Election Forecast
(with same polling error as 2016)
This version of the model assumes the same polling error (polls on election day vs actual result) as 2016.
In Arizona the polls are shifted 1.7% more Republican.