Connecticut

Safe Biden

Win Probability

Swing

Polls

Date	Pollster	Rating	Voters	Sample Size	Republican	Democrat	Diff	Diff (Adj)	Weight
10/26/20 9/28-10/25	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,490	Trump 35	Biden 63	+28%	+23%	0.13
10/26/20 9/28-10/25	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,490	Trump 34	Biden 63	+29%	+24%	-
10/25/20 9/27-10/24	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,469	Trump 35	Biden 63	+28%	+23%	0.11
10/25/20 9/27-10/24	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,469	Trump 34	Biden 63	+29%	+24%	-
10/24/20 9/25-10/23	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,442	Trump 35	Biden 63	+28%	+23%	0.1
10/24/20 9/25-10/23	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,442	Trump 34	Biden 62	+28%	+23%	-
10/23/20 9/25-10/22	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,368	Trump 35	Biden 62	+27%	+22%	0.08
10/23/20 9/25-10/22	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,368	Trump 35	Biden 62	+27%	+22%	-
10/22/20 9/24-10/21	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,224	Trump 36	Biden 62	+26%	+21%	0.06
10/22/20 9/24-10/21	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,224	Trump 35	Biden 61	+26%	+21%	-
10/21/20 9/23-10/20	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,105	Trump 36	Biden 62	+26%	+21%	0.04
10/21/20 9/23-10/20	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,105	Trump 35	Biden 61	+26%	+21%	-
10/20/20 9/21-10/19	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,020	Trump 36	Biden 62	+26%	+21%	-
10/20/20 9/21-10/19	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,020	Trump 35	Biden 61	+26%	+21%	-
10/19/20 9/21-10/18	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	2,935	Trump 35	Biden 62	+27%	+22%	-
10/19/20 9/21-10/18	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	2,935	Trump 35	Biden 61	+26%	+21%	-
10/18/20 9/20-10/17	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	2,907	Trump 34	Biden 63	+29%	+24%	-
10/18/20 9/20-10/17	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	2,907	Trump 34	Biden 62	+28%	+23%	-
10/17/20 9/18-10/16	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	2,862	Trump 35	Biden 63	+28%	+23%	-
10/17/20 9/18-10/16	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	2,862	Trump 34	Biden 62	+28%	+23%	-
10/16/20 9/18-10/15	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	2,681	Trump 34	Biden 64	+30%	+25%	-
10/16/20 9/18-10/15	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	2,681	Trump 33	Biden 63	+30%	+25%	-
10/15/20 9/17-10/14	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	2,453	Trump 34	Biden 63	+29%	+24%	-
10/15/20 9/17-10/14	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	2,453	Trump 34	Biden 62	+28%	+23%	-
10/14/20 9/16-10/13	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	2,197	Trump 35	Biden 62	+27%	+22%	-
10/14/20 9/16-10/13	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	2,197	Trump 34	Biden 62	+28%	+23%	-
10/13/20 9/15-10/12	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	2,088	Trump 35	Biden 62	+27%	+22%	-
10/13/20 9/15-10/12	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	2,088	Trump 34	Biden 62	+28%	+23%	-
10/3/20 6/8-6/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	574	Trump 31.8	Biden 64.7	+32.9%	+27.9%	-
10/3/20 6/8-6/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	574	Trump 32.1	Biden 65.2	+33.1%	+28.1%	-
10/3/20 7/1-7/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	1,360	Trump 38.2	Biden 59.1	+20.9%	+15.9%	-
10/3/20 7/1-7/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	1,360	Trump 38.7	Biden 59.4	+20.7%	+15.7%	-
10/3/20 8/1-8/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	1,009	Trump 34	Biden 64.1	+30.1%	+25.1%	-
10/3/20 8/1-8/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	1,009	Trump 35	Biden 64	+29%	+24%	-
10/2/20 9/1-9/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	1,415	Trump 36	Biden 61.3	+25.2%	+20.2%	-
10/2/20 9/1-9/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	1,415	Trump 37.1	Biden 61.3	+24.2%	+19.2%	-
8/15/20 5/19-5/24	SurveyUSA	A	RV	808	Trump 32	Biden 52	+20%	+19.8%	0.17
5/6/20 4/30-5/4	Quinnipiac University	B+	RV	945	Trump 33	Biden 56	+23%	+22.8%	0.07
4/14/20 3/24-4/3	Sacred Heart University	B/C	A	1,000	Trump 34.1	Biden 47.3	+13.2%	+13.6%	-
3/19/20 2/24-3/12	Sacred Heart University	B/C	A	1,000	Trump 35.6	Biden 51.9	+16.3%	+16.7%	-
1/12/20 12/16-1/2	Sacred Heart University	B/C	A	1,000	Trump 32.3	Biden 51.7	+19.4%	+19.8%	-
10/9/19 9/17-10/2	Sacred Heart University	B/C	A	1,000	Trump 33.3	Biden 52.2	+18.9%	+19.3%	-

Past Results

Year	Candidates	Republican	Democrat	Diff
2016	Trump v Clinton	40.9	54.6	+13.6%
2012	Romney v Obama	40.7	58.1	+17.3%
2008	McCain v Obama	38.2	60.6	+22.4%
2004	Bush v Kerry	44	54.3	+10.4%
2000	Bush v Gore	38.4	55.9	+17.5%

Updates

Last Updated: 10/27 10:40 PM EDT