Connecticut
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 1/26 7:59 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Connecticut changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Connecticut Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Swing
+9.1%
From 2016 Results
+12.4%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
57.3%
Biden
(+22.8%)
34.5%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/23-11/1 | Swayable | D- | LV | 367 | Trump 33.7 |
Biden 64.1 |
+30.4% | +30.4% | 0.49 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,867 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | 0.26 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,867 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,928 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | 0.23 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,928 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,907 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | 0.21 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,907 | Trump 37 |
Biden 62 |
+25% | +20% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,971 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | 0.19 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,971 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/30/20 10/8-10/21 | Sacred Heart University | B/C | A | 1,000 | Trump 26.4 |
Biden 51.4 |
+25% | +25.4% | 0.54 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,782 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | 0.06 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,782 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,632 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,632 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,490 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,490 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,469 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,469 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,442 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,442 | Trump 34 |
Biden 62 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,368 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,368 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,224 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,224 | Trump 35 |
Biden 61 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,105 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,105 | Trump 35 |
Biden 61 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,020 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,020 | Trump 35 |
Biden 61 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,935 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,935 | Trump 35 |
Biden 61 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,907 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,907 | Trump 34 |
Biden 62 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,862 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,862 | Trump 34 |
Biden 62 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,681 | Trump 34 |
Biden 64 |
+30% | +25% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,681 | Trump 33 |
Biden 63 |
+30% | +25% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,453 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,453 | Trump 34 |
Biden 62 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,197 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,197 | Trump 34 |
Biden 62 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,088 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,088 | Trump 34 |
Biden 62 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 574 | Trump 31.8 |
Biden 64.7 |
+32.9% | +27.9% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 574 | Trump 32.1 |
Biden 65.2 |
+33.1% | +28.1% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,360 | Trump 38.2 |
Biden 59.1 |
+20.9% | +15.9% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,360 | Trump 38.7 |
Biden 59.4 |
+20.7% | +15.7% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,009 | Trump 34 |
Biden 64.1 |
+30.1% | +25.1% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,009 | Trump 35 |
Biden 64 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,415 | Trump 36 |
Biden 61.3 |
+25.2% | +20.2% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,415 | Trump 37.1 |
Biden 61.3 |
+24.2% | +19.2% | - |
8/15/20 5/19-5/24 | SurveyUSA | A | RV | 808 | Trump 32 |
Biden 52 |
+20% | +19.8% | 0.13 |
5/6/20 4/30-5/4 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | RV | 945 | Trump 33 |
Biden 56 |
+23% | +22.8% | - |
4/14/20 3/24-4/3 | Sacred Heart University | B/C | A | 1,000 | Trump 34.1 |
Biden 47.3 |
+13.2% | +13.6% | - |
3/19/20 2/24-3/12 | Sacred Heart University | B/C | A | 1,000 | Trump 35.6 |
Biden 51.9 |
+16.3% | +16.7% | - |
1/12/20 12/16-1/2 | Sacred Heart University | B/C | A | 1,000 | Trump 32.3 |
Biden 51.7 |
+19.4% | +19.8% | - |
10/9/19 9/17-10/2 | Sacred Heart University | B/C | A | 1,000 | Trump 33.3 |
Biden 52.2 |
+18.9% | +19.3% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 40.9 | 54.6 | +13.6% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 40.7 | 58.1 | +17.3% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 38.2 | 60.6 | +22.4% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 44 | 54.3 | +10.4% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 38.4 | 55.9 | +17.5% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 12:25 AM EST11/2
10/3
8/9