Delaware

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Biden

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
100%
Polls: 59.3% +21.3%
Trump
0%
Polls: 38%
100%



Swing

 
+9.9%
From 2016 Results
+11.2%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
59.3%
Biden (+21.3%)
38%
Trump
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,212 Trump
36
Biden
62
+26% +21% 0.11
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,212 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,194 Trump
36
Biden
62
+26% +21% 0.1
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,194 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,182 Trump
36
Biden
62
+26% +21% 0.08
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,182 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,161 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% 0.06
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,161 Trump
34
Biden
63
+29% +24% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,120 Trump
36
Biden
63
+27% +22% 0.04
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,120 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,075 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% 0.03
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,075 Trump
34
Biden
64
+30% +25% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,044 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% 0.01
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,044 Trump
34
Biden
64
+30% +25% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 989 Trump
35
Biden
64
+29% +24% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 989 Trump
34
Biden
64
+30% +25% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 969 Trump
34
Biden
65
+31% +26% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 969 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 952 Trump
34
Biden
64
+30% +25% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 952 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 900 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 900 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 848 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 848 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 776 Trump
34
Biden
64
+30% +25% -
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 776 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 740 Trump
35
Biden
63
+28% +23% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 740 Trump
34
Biden
64
+30% +25% -
10/5/20 9/21-9/27 University of Delaware LV 847 Trump
33
Biden
54
+21% +21% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 232 Trump
30.5
Biden
65.5
+35% +30% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 232 Trump
33.7
Biden
64.1
+30.5% +25.5% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 453 Trump
29
Biden
69
+40% +35% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 453 Trump
31
Biden
67.3
+36.3% +31.3% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 348 Trump
32.6
Biden
66.6
+34% +29% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 348 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 395 Trump
37.3
Biden
61
+23.6% +18.6% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 395 Trump
37.2
Biden
61.2
+24.1% +19.1% -
8/25/20 8/21-8/22 Public Policy Polling B V 710 Trump
37
Biden
58
+21% +20.6% 0.14
1/28/20 1/16-1/21 Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. B/C LV 410 Trump
40.2
Biden
55.9
+15.7% +16.1% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 41.7 53.1 +11.4%
2012 Romney v Obama 40 58.6 +18.6%
2008 McCain v Obama 37 61.9 +25%
2004 Bush v Kerry 45.8 53.4 +7.6%
2000 Bush v Gore 41.9 55 +13.1%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/28 9:34 AM EDT
10/3
Delaware polls jumped 3.9% toward Trump (was D+26.3%, now D+22.4%)