District of Columbia

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Biden

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
100%
Polls: 86% +73.9%
Trump
0%
Polls: 12.1%
100%



Swing

 
+12.5%
From 2016 Results
+14.6%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
86%
Biden (+73.9%)
12.1%
Trump
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 914 Trump
10
Biden
88
+78% +73% 0.12
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 914 Trump
11
Biden
86
+75% +70% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 902 Trump
10
Biden
89
+79% +74% 0.1
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 902 Trump
11
Biden
87
+76% +71% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 888 Trump
9
Biden
89
+80% +75% 0.08
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 888 Trump
10
Biden
87
+77% +72% -
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 874 Trump
9
Biden
89
+80% +75% 0.06
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 874 Trump
10
Biden
87
+77% +72% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 825 Trump
9
Biden
88
+79% +74% 0.05
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 825 Trump
10
Biden
87
+77% +72% -
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 796 Trump
10
Biden
88
+78% +73% 0.03
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 796 Trump
11
Biden
86
+75% +70% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 765 Trump
10
Biden
88
+78% +73% 0.01
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 765 Trump
11
Biden
86
+75% +70% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 727 Trump
10
Biden
88
+78% +73% 0.05
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 727 Trump
11
Biden
86
+75% +70% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 718 Trump
9
Biden
88
+79% +74% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 718 Trump
10
Biden
87
+77% +72% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 704 Trump
9
Biden
88
+79% +74% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 704 Trump
10
Biden
86
+76% +71% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 674 Trump
10
Biden
88
+78% +73% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 674 Trump
11
Biden
86
+75% +70% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 612 Trump
10
Biden
88
+78% +73% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 612 Trump
10
Biden
87
+77% +72% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 565 Trump
10
Biden
88
+78% +73% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 565 Trump
11
Biden
86
+75% +70% -
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 543 Trump
10
Biden
87
+77% +72% -
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 543 Trump
11
Biden
85
+74% +69% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 151 Trump
9.6
Biden
87
+77.5% +72.5% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 151 Trump
10.5
Biden
87
+76.4% +71.4% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 290 Trump
8
Biden
89.1
+81.1% +76.1% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 290 Trump
8
Biden
90.5
+82.5% +77.5% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 252 Trump
16.5
Biden
81.4
+64.9% +59.9% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 252 Trump
16
Biden
83
+67% +62% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 343 Trump
13.6
Biden
84.4
+70.8% +65.8% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 343 Trump
12
Biden
86.3
+74.3% +69.3% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 4.1 90.5 +86.4%
2012 Romney v Obama 7.3 90.9 +83.6%
2008 McCain v Obama 6.5 92.5 +85.9%
2004 Bush v Kerry 9.3 89.2 +79.8%
2000 Bush v Gore 9 85.2 +76.2%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/28 10:17 AM EDT
10/14
District of Columbia polls jumped 2.1% toward Biden (was D+69%, now D+71.1%)