District of Columbia
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 11/4 4:52 PM EDTWinner
Biden
Election Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in District of Columbia changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
District of Columbia Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Biden
100%
Polls: 90.1%
+81.3%
Trump
0%
Polls: 8.8%
Swing
+5.1%
From 2016 Results
+22%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
90.1%
Biden
(+81.3%)
8.8%
Trump
| Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 457 | Trump 5 |
Biden 94 |
+89% | +84% | 0.23 |
| 11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 457 | Trump 6 |
Biden 92 |
+86% | +81% | - |
| 11/1/20 10/18-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 483 | Trump 6 |
Biden 93 |
+87% | +82% | 0.19 |
| 11/1/20 10/18-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 483 | Trump 7 |
Biden 91 |
+84% | +79% | - |
| 10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 501 | Trump 6 |
Biden 93 |
+87% | +82% | 0.2 |
| 10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 501 | Trump 7 |
Biden 91 |
+84% | +79% | - |
| 10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 490 | Trump 6 |
Biden 93 |
+87% | +82% | 0.18 |
| 10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 490 | Trump 7 |
Biden 91 |
+84% | +79% | - |
| 10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 969 | Trump 9 |
Biden 89 |
+80% | +75% | 0.07 |
| 10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 969 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | - |
| 10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 940 | Trump 9 |
Biden 89 |
+80% | +75% | 0.05 |
| 10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 940 | Trump 10 |
Biden 87 |
+77% | +72% | - |
| 10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 914 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | 0.01 |
| 10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 914 | Trump 11 |
Biden 86 |
+75% | +70% | - |
| 10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 902 | Trump 10 |
Biden 89 |
+79% | +74% | 0.05 |
| 10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 902 | Trump 11 |
Biden 87 |
+76% | +71% | - |
| 10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 888 | Trump 9 |
Biden 89 |
+80% | +75% | - |
| 10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 888 | Trump 10 |
Biden 87 |
+77% | +72% | - |
| 10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 874 | Trump 9 |
Biden 89 |
+80% | +75% | - |
| 10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 874 | Trump 10 |
Biden 87 |
+77% | +72% | - |
| 10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 825 | Trump 9 |
Biden 88 |
+79% | +74% | - |
| 10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 825 | Trump 10 |
Biden 87 |
+77% | +72% | - |
| 10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 796 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | - |
| 10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 796 | Trump 11 |
Biden 86 |
+75% | +70% | - |
| 10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 765 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | - |
| 10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 765 | Trump 11 |
Biden 86 |
+75% | +70% | - |
| 10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 727 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | - |
| 10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 727 | Trump 11 |
Biden 86 |
+75% | +70% | - |
| 10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 718 | Trump 9 |
Biden 88 |
+79% | +74% | - |
| 10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 718 | Trump 10 |
Biden 87 |
+77% | +72% | - |
| 10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 704 | Trump 9 |
Biden 88 |
+79% | +74% | - |
| 10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 704 | Trump 10 |
Biden 86 |
+76% | +71% | - |
| 10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 674 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | - |
| 10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 674 | Trump 11 |
Biden 86 |
+75% | +70% | - |
| 10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 612 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | - |
| 10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 612 | Trump 10 |
Biden 87 |
+77% | +72% | - |
| 10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 565 | Trump 10 |
Biden 88 |
+78% | +73% | - |
| 10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 565 | Trump 11 |
Biden 86 |
+75% | +70% | - |
| 10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 543 | Trump 10 |
Biden 87 |
+77% | +72% | - |
| 10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 543 | Trump 11 |
Biden 85 |
+74% | +69% | - |
| 10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 151 | Trump 9.6 |
Biden 87 |
+77.5% | +72.5% | - |
| 10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 151 | Trump 10.5 |
Biden 87 |
+76.4% | +71.4% | - |
| 10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 290 | Trump 8 |
Biden 89.1 |
+81.1% | +76.1% | - |
| 10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 290 | Trump 8 |
Biden 90.5 |
+82.5% | +77.5% | - |
| 10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 252 | Trump 16.5 |
Biden 81.4 |
+64.9% | +59.9% | - |
| 10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 252 | Trump 16 |
Biden 83 |
+67% | +62% | - |
| 10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 343 | Trump 13.6 |
Biden 84.4 |
+70.8% | +65.8% | - |
| 10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 343 | Trump 12 |
Biden 86.3 |
+74.3% | +69.3% | - |
Past Results
| Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Trump v Clinton | 4.1 | 90.5 | +86.4% |
| 2012 | Romney v Obama | 7.3 | 90.9 | +83.6% |
| 2008 | McCain v Obama | 6.5 | 92.5 | +85.9% |
| 2004 | Bush v Kerry | 9.3 | 89.2 | +79.8% |
| 2000 | Bush v Gore | 9 | 85.2 | +76.2% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 6:52 AM EDT10/31
10/30
10/14
