Florida

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 11/21 2:56 PM EST
Winner
Trump
Trump

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Florida changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.





Florida Pre-Election Forecast

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Lean Biden

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
69.7%
Polls: 49% +2.2%
Trump
30.3%
Polls: 46.8%
69.7%
30.3%



Swing

 
+3.4%
From 2016 Results
+2.3%
From 2016 Polls
 



Testing

Standard Deviation: 1.966 Testing Range: +/- 4.6%




Tipping Point



9.8%
of the time





Polls

 
49%
Biden (+2.2%)
46.8%
Trump
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
11/2/20 10/24-10/25 Wick LV 1,000 Trump
50.1
Biden
47.2
+2.9% +2.9% 0.43
11/2/20 10/27-11/2 Swayable D- LV 1,261 Trump
45.5
Biden
53
+7.5% +7.5% 0.54
11/2/20 10/9-10/10 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 981 Trump
43
Biden
52
+9% +9% -
11/2/20 10/10-10/13 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,519 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +6% -
11/2/20 10/27-10/28 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,587 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +4% 0.61
11/2/20 10/29-11/1 Change Research C- LV 806 Trump
48
Biden
51
+3% +1.8% 0.89
11/2/20 11/1-11/2 InsiderAdvantage B- LV 400 Trump
48.2
Biden
47
+1.2% +2.4% 1.08
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 Data for Progress B- LV 1,202 Trump
48
Biden
51
+3% +3% 1.05
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- LV 7,796 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- RV 7,796 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 Ipsos B- LV 670 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +3.6% 0.31
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 Ipsos B- LV 670 Trump
47
Biden
51
+4% +3.6% 0.31
11/2/20 10/28-11/1 Quinnipiac University B+ LV 1,657 Trump
42
Biden
47
+5% +4.8% 1.17
11/2/20 10/30-11/1 AYTM LV 517 Trump
43
Biden
45
+2% +2% 0.64
11/2/20 10/30-10/31 Frederick Polls B/C LV 768 Trump
49
Biden
51
+2% +2% 1.01
11/2/20 10/22-10/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 4,451 Trump
45.4
Biden
51.5
+6.1% +5.9% 1.14
11/1/20 10/25-10/30 Targoz Market Research C/D LV 1,027 Trump
47.1
Biden
50.8
+3.7% +2.1% 0.72
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 7,807 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 7,807 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
11/1/20 9/29-10/27 CCES / YouGov B LV 3,755 Trump
47
Biden
49
+2% +1.6% 0.42
11/1/20 10/29-10/30 Emerson College A- LV 849 Trump
46.1
Biden
51.9
+5.8% +5.4% 1.13
11/1/20 10/29-10/31 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research C+ LV 800 Trump
47
Biden
48
+1% +2.6% 0.94
11/1/20 10/29-11/1 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 400 Trump
47
Biden
46
+1% +2% 0.85
11/1/20 10/29-10/30 St. Pete Polls C LV 2,758 Trump
48.1
Biden
49.2
+1.1% +1.5% 1.07
11/1/20 10/28-10/30 RMG Research B/C LV 1,200 Trump
47
Biden
51
+4% +4% 0.97
11/1/20 10/27-10/31 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 1,451 Trump
44
Biden
47
+3% +3.4% 1.23
11/1/20 10/24-10/29 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ LV 824 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +2.6% 1.06
11/1/20 10/24-10/29 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ RV 915 Trump
49
Biden
47
+2% +2.6% -
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 7,604 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 7,604 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/31/20 10/28-10/29 AtlasIntel B/C LV 786 Trump
48.5
Biden
48.6
+0.1% +0.1% 0.91
10/30/20 10/15-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- LV 7,726 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
10/30/20 10/15-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- RV 7,726 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/30/20 10/25-10/28 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,088 Trump
49.6
Biden
46.9
+2.7% +1.7% 0.74
10/30/20 10/16-10/26 YouGov B LV 1,200 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +1.6% 0.67
10/30/20 10/28-10/29 Public Policy Polling B V 941 Trump
45
Biden
52
+7% +6.6% 0.98
10/30/20 10/23-10/26 Swayable D- LV 605 Trump
50.6
Biden
46.4
+4.2% +4.2% 0.23
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,571 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,571 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/29/20 10/26-10/29 Harris Poll C LV 1,148 Trump
47
Biden
50
+3% +4.4% 0.84
10/29/20 10/23-10/27 Quinnipiac University B+ LV 1,324 Trump
42
Biden
45
+3% +2.8% 0.87
10/29/20 10/24-10/28 Monmouth University A+ LV 509 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +2.6% 0.32
10/29/20 10/24-10/28 Monmouth University A+ LV 509 Trump
45
Biden
51
+6% +4.6% 0.32
10/29/20 10/24-10/28 Monmouth University A+ RV 509 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +3.6% -
10/29/20 10/17-10/20 Citizen Data LV 1,000 Trump
44.7
Biden
49.6
+4.9% +4.9% 0.14
10/29/20 10/25-10/27 Marist College A+ RV 1,001 Trump
46
Biden
51
+5% +5.4% -
10/29/20 10/25-10/27 Marist College A+ LV 743 Trump
47
Biden
51
+4% +4.4% 1
10/28/20 10/21-10/27 Ipsos B- LV 704 Trump
47
Biden
48
+1% +0.6% 0.16
10/28/20 10/21-10/27 Ipsos B- LV 704 Trump
47
Biden
49
+2% +1.6% 0.16
10/28/20 10/17-10/25 Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research RV 743 Trump
46
Biden
49
+3% +3% 0.22
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,202 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,202 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/27/20 10/23-10/25 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 400 Trump
48.5
Biden
44
+4.5% +5.5% 0.58
10/27/20 10/24-10/25 Florida Atlantic University B/C LV 937 Trump
48.1
Biden
50.2
+2% +1.6% 0.76
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,053 Trump
49
Biden
48
+1% +6% -
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,053 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/26/20 10/20-10/22 RMG Research B/C LV 800 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +2% 0.57
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,042 Trump
49
Biden
48
+1% +6% -
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,042 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/25/20 10/20-10/23 YouGov B LV 1,228 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +1.6% 0.7
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,035 Trump
49
Biden
48
+1% +6% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,035 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,080 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,080 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/23/20 10/20-10/21 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research C+ LV 800 Trump
50
Biden
46
+4% +2.4% 0.55
10/23/20 10/21-10/22 St. Pete Polls C LV 2,527 Trump
47.4
Biden
48.9
+1.5% +1.9% 0.6
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,142 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,142 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/22/20 10/11-10/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 4,685 Trump
45
Biden
52
+7% +6.8% 0.48
10/21/20 10/14-10/20 Ipsos B- LV 662 Trump
46
Biden
51
+5% +4.6% -
10/21/20 10/14-10/20 Ipsos B- LV 662 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +3.6% -
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,175 Trump
49
Biden
49
0% +5% -
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,175 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/21/20 10/15-10/20 CNN/SSRS B/C RV 906 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +0.8% -
10/21/20 10/15-10/20 CNN/SSRS B/C LV 847 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +2.8% 0.46
10/21/20 10/17-10/20 Civiqs B/C LV 863 Trump
47
Biden
51
+4% +4% 0.5
10/20/20 10/16-10/19 Change Research C- LV 547 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +3.8% 0.33
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,196 Trump
49
Biden
49
0% +5% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,196 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/20/20 10/12-10/16 University of North Florida A/B LV 863 Trump
47
Biden
48
+1% +0.2% 0.45
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,184 Trump
49
Biden
49
0% +5% -
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,184 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,126 Trump
49
Biden
49
0% +5% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,126 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 14,081 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 14,081 Trump
47
Biden
50
+3% +2% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 13,616 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 13,616 Trump
47
Biden
50
+3% +2% -
10/16/20 10/12-10/15 Harris Poll C LV 965 Trump
48
Biden
48
0% +1.4% 0.26
10/16/20 10/8-10/12 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy B+ LV 625 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +3.6% 0.3
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 13,016 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +4% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 13,016 Trump
47
Biden
50
+3% +2% -
10/14/20 10/7-10/12 Clearview Research LV 550 Trump
40
Biden
47
+7% +7% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 12,736 Trump
49
Biden
49
0% +5% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 12,736 Trump
47
Biden
50
+3% +2% -
10/14/20 10/7-10/14 Ipsos B- LV 653 Trump
47
Biden
50
+3% +2.6% -
10/14/20 10/7-10/14 Ipsos B- LV 653 Trump
47
Biden
49
+2% +1.6% -
10/14/20 10/11-10/12 St. Pete Polls C LV 2,215 Trump
47.2
Biden
49.2
+2% +2.4% 0.21
10/14/20 10/11-10/13 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,051 Trump
48.4
Biden
46.1
+2.3% +1.3% 0.11
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 12,604 Trump
49
Biden
49
0% +5% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 12,604 Trump
48
Biden
50
+2% +3% -
10/13/20 10/4-10/8 RMG Research B/C LV 800 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +2% 0.09
10/13/20 10/9-10/10 Florida Atlantic University B/C LV 644 Trump
47
Biden
51.2
+4.2% +3.8% 0.19
10/13/20 10/2-10/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 4,785 Trump
46
Biden
51
+5% +4.8% 0.18
10/12/20 10/10-10/12 Emerson College A- LV 690 Trump
48.4
Biden
50.6
+2.2% +1.8% 0.39
10/12/20 9/27-10/2 Saint Leo University C/D RV 500 Trump
43.4
Biden
49.2
+5.8% +4% -
10/9/20 10/4-10/6 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 998 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +5% -
10/8/20 10/6-10/7 InsiderAdvantage B- LV 400 Trump
46
Biden
43
+3% +4.2% 0.12
10/7/20 9/27-10/2 Saint Leo University C/D LV 489 Trump
43.9
Biden
49.9
+6% +4.2% -
10/7/20 9/29-10/7 Ipsos B- LV 678 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.6% -
10/7/20 10/1-10/5 Quinnipiac University B+ LV 1,256 Trump
40
Biden
51
+11% +10.8% 0.13
10/7/20 9/23-9/29 Cherry Communications B/C LV 604 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +5.6% -
10/6/20 10/2-10/4 Change Research C- LV 560 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +2.8% -
10/6/20 10/1-10/4 Suffolk University A LV 500 Trump
45
Biden
45
0% +0.6% 0.24
10/6/20 10/1-10/4 University of North Florida A/B LV 3,142 Trump
45
Biden
51
+6% +5.2% 0.2
10/3/20 9/30-10/1 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 710 Trump
42
Biden
47
+5% +5.4% 0.25
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 5,663 Trump
48.8
Biden
48.4
+0.4% +5.4% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 5,663 Trump
51.1
Biden
46.9
+4.2% +9.2% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 13,945 Trump
46
Biden
50.8
+4.8% +0.2% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 13,945 Trump
48
Biden
49.3
+1.3% +3.7% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 12,286 Trump
48.1
Biden
49.1
+1% +4% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 12,286 Trump
50
Biden
48
+2% +7% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 12,962 Trump
45.6
Biden
51.3
+5.7% +0.7% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 12,962 Trump
47.2
Biden
50.5
+3.3% +1.7% -
10/2/20 9/23-9/25 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,073 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +5% -
9/29/20 9/23-9/26 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 500 Trump
42
Biden
46
+4% +3% -
9/25/20 9/17-9/19 Hart Research Associates B/C LV 400 Trump
45
Biden
51
+6% +4.6% -
9/25/20 9/15-9/22 Data for Progress B- LV 620 Trump
43
Biden
46
+3% +3% -
9/23/20 9/11-9/16 Ipsos B- LV 586 Trump
47
Biden
47
0% +0.4% -
9/23/20 9/18-9/20 Change Research C- LV 702 Trump
46
Biden
49
+3% +1.8% -
9/23/20 9/21-9/22 St. Pete Polls C LV 2,906 Trump
46.5
Biden
49.7
+3.2% +3.6% -
9/23/20 9/15-9/20 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ LV 613 Trump
51
Biden
47
+4% +4.6% -
9/23/20 9/15-9/20 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ RV 765 Trump
47
Biden
48
+1% +0.4% -
9/21/20 8/11-8/15 The Tyson Group B/C LV 750 Trump
44
Biden
46
+2% +2% -
9/20/20 9/15-9/18 YouGov B LV 1,205 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +1.6% -
9/18/20 9/12-9/14 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,158 Trump
44
Biden
47
+3% +3% -
9/17/20 8/29-9/13 Kaiser Family Foundation RV 1,009 Trump
42
Biden
43
+1% +1% -
9/15/20 9/10-9/13 Monmouth University A+ LV 428 Trump
46
Biden
49
+3% +1.6% -
9/15/20 9/10-9/13 Monmouth University A+ LV 428 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +3.6% -
9/15/20 9/10-9/13 Monmouth University A+ RV 428 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +3.6% -
9/15/20 9/11-9/12 Florida Atlantic University B/C LV 631 Trump
50
Biden
49.8
+0.1% +0.5% -
9/10/20 8/30-9/8 Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group LV 1,600 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +2% -
9/9/20 9/7-9/8 St. Pete Polls C LV 2,689 Trump
47.1
Biden
49.6
+2.5% +2.9% -
9/9/20 8/29-9/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 3,914 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +4.8% -
9/9/20 9/4-9/6 Change Research C- LV 1,144 Trump
46
Biden
49
+3% +1.8% -
9/8/20 8/30-9/3 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,093 Trump
44
Biden
47
+3% +3% -
9/8/20 8/26-9/3 GQR Research B LV 800 Trump
46
Biden
51
+5% +2.8% -
9/8/20 8/31-9/6 Marist College A+ LV 766 Trump
48
Biden
48
0% +0.4% -
9/8/20 8/31-9/6 Marist College A+ RV 1,047 Trump
48
Biden
47
+1% +0.6% -
9/4/20 9/1-9/3 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,022 Trump
48.7
Biden
45.6
+3.1% +2.1% -
9/3/20 8/28-9/1 Quinnipiac University B+ LV 1,235 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 8/21-8/26 Opinium LV 684 Trump
43.1
Biden
50.4
+7.3% +7.3% -
9/1/20 8/21-8/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 3,790 Trump
47
Biden
49
+2% +1.8% -
9/1/20 8/7-8/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 3,484 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +4.8% -
8/26/20 8/21-8/23 Change Research C- LV 1,262 Trump
46
Biden
49
+3% +1.8% -
8/25/20 8/21-8/22 Public Policy Polling B V 671 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.6% -
8/21/20 8/16-8/16 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,280 Trump
41
Biden
49
+8% +8% -
8/18/20 8/2-8/4 OnMessage Inc. B/C LV 400 Trump
49
Biden
49
0% +1.4% -
8/12/20 8/7-8/9 Change Research C- LV 469 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +4.8% -
8/5/20 7/21-7/23 Zogby Analytics C+ LV 811 Trump
43
Biden
43
0% +0.6% -
7/30/20 7/19-7/21 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,121 Trump
41
Biden
48
+7% +7% -
7/30/20 7/20-7/23 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy B+ LV 625 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +4.6% -
7/29/20 7/24-7/26 Change Research C- LV 685 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +1.8% -
7/28/20 5/17-5/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 3,593 Trump
48
Biden
47
+1% +1.2% -
7/28/20 7/17-7/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 3,760 Trump
46
Biden
49
+3% +2.8% -
7/26/20 7/18-7/24 CNN/SSRS B/C RV 880 Trump
46
Biden
51
+5% +3.8% -
7/23/20 7/16-7/20 Quinnipiac University B+ RV 924 Trump
38
Biden
51
+13% +12.8% -
7/23/20 7/13-7/14 St. Pete Polls C LV 3,018 Trump
44.4
Biden
50.4
+6% +6.4% -
7/15/20 7/10-7/12 Change Research C- LV 1,128 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +5.8% -
7/14/20 7/13-7/13 Gravis Marketing C LV 529 Trump
43
Biden
53
+10% +9% -
7/12/20 7/7-7/10 YouGov B LV 1,206 Trump
42
Biden
48
+6% +5.6% -
7/3/20 6/29-7/2 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,072 Trump
45.9
Biden
45.9
0% +1% -
7/1/20 6/26-6/28 Change Research C- LV 951 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +3.8% -
6/25/20 6/20-6/23 Fox News A- RV 1,010 Trump
40
Biden
49
+9% +7.6% -
6/25/20 6/14-6/15 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,079 Trump
41
Biden
45
+4% +4% -
6/25/20 6/8-6/18 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ RV 651 Trump
41
Biden
47
+6% +6.4% -
6/17/20 6/12-6/14 Change Research C- LV 713 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +5.8% -
6/16/20 6/9-6/11 TIPP A/B LV 875 Trump
40
Biden
51
+11% +11.8% -
6/16/20 6/9-6/11 TIPP A/B RV 910 Trump
40
Biden
50
+10% +10.8% -
6/11/20 5/18-5/30 Cygnal A/B LV 881 Trump
43.8
Biden
47
+3.2% +2.2% -
6/3/20 5/29-5/31 Change Research C- LV 1,186 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +1.8% -
5/28/20 5/26-5/27 St. Pete Polls C RV 4,763 Trump
46.7
Biden
47.5
+0.8% +1.2% -
5/21/20 5/10-5/14 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 1,014 Trump
43
Biden
45
+2% +2% -
5/19/20 5/14-5/17 Point Blank Political C/D LV 2,149 Trump
47.7
Biden
52.3
+4.6% +4.6% -
5/19/20 5/14-5/17 Point Blank Political C/D LV 2,149 Trump
43.9
Biden
44.5
+0.6% +0.6% -
5/15/20 5/8-5/12 Florida Atlantic University B/C RV 928 Trump
47.4
Biden
52.7
+5.3% +4.9% -
4/23/20 4/18-4/21 Fox News A- RV 1,004 Trump
43
Biden
46
+3% +1.6% -
4/22/20 4/16-4/20 Quinnipiac University B+ RV 1,385 Trump
42
Biden
46
+4% +3.8% -
4/18/20 4/16-4/17 St. Pete Polls C RV 5,659 Trump
47.5
Biden
48.3
+0.8% +1.2% -
4/6/20 3/31-4/4 University of North Florida A/B RV 3,244 Trump
40
Biden
46
+6% +5.2% -
3/16/20 3/14-3/16 AtlasIntel B/C RV 1,100 Trump
44.9
Biden
45.4
+0.5% +0.5% -
3/16/20 3/6-3/12 Latino Decisions B/C RV 1,071 Trump
48
Biden
45
+3% +3% -
3/10/20 3/5-3/7 Florida Atlantic University B/C RV 1,216 Trump
50.6
Biden
49.4
+1.2% +1.6% -
3/2/20 2/17-2/22 Saint Leo University C/D LV 900 Trump
40.3
Biden
51.2
+10.9% +9.1% -
2/19/20 2/10-2/18 University of North Florida A/B RV 668 Trump
48
Biden
49
+1% +0.2% -
1/21/20 1/3-1/12 Cherry Communications B/C LV 608 Trump
49
Biden
45
+4% +3.4% -
1/15/20 1/9-1/12 Florida Atlantic University B/C RV 1,285 Trump
48.6
Biden
51.4
+2.8% +2.4% -
12/31/19 12/11-12/16 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy B+ RV 625 Trump
45
Biden
47
+2% +2.6% -
11/4/19 10/13-10/26 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 650 Trump
44.5
Biden
46
+1.5% +1.9% -
11/4/19 10/13-10/26 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ RV 650 Trump
44.2
Biden
45.7
+1.5% +1.9% -
10/22/19 10/14-10/20 University of North Florida A/B RV 644 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.2% -
9/18/19 9/12-9/15 Florida Atlantic University B/C RV 934 Trump
50.5
Biden
49.5
+1% +1.4% -
6/19/19 6/15-6/16 St. Pete Polls C LV 3,095 Trump
46.8
Biden
47.3
+0.5% +0.9% -
6/18/19 6/12-6/17 Quinnipiac University B+ RV 1,279 Trump
41
Biden
50
+9% +8.8% -
5/22/19 5/16-5/19 Florida Atlantic University B/C RV 1,007 Trump
50.2
Biden
49.8
+0.4% +0.8% -
5/11/19 4/27-4/30 WPA Intelligence B/C LV 200 Trump
48
Biden
44
+4% +3.2% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 49 47.8 +1.2%
2012 Romney v Obama 49.1 50 +0.9%
2008 McCain v Obama 48.2 51 +2.8%
2004 Bush v Kerry 52.1 47.1 +5%
2000 Bush v Gore 48.9 48.8 0%




Updates

Last Updated: 11/3 12:59 PM EST
10/7
Florida changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden
9/4
Florida changed from Lean Biden to Toss Up
9/1
Florida changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden
8/31
Florida changed from Lean Biden to Toss Up
8/30
Florida changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden