Georgia
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 11/3 10:49 PM EDT 59% ReportingElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Georgia changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Georgia Pre-Election Forecast
Toss Up
Win Probability
Swing
+5.5%
From 2016 Results
+5.5%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
47.9%
Biden
(+0.3%)
47.6%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/24-10/25 | Wick | LV | 1,000 | Trump 49.4 |
Biden 46.9 |
+2.5% | +2.5% | 0.52 | |
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 | Swayable | D- | LV | 438 | Trump 44.3 |
Biden 53.6 |
+9.3% | +9.3% | 0.5 |
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 1,036 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +2% | 1.06 |
11/2/20 10/19-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,535 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | 0.11 |
11/2/20 10/19-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,535 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
11/2/20 11/1-11/1 | Landmark Communications | B | LV | 500 | Trump 50.1 |
Biden 46 |
+4.1% | +5.7% | 1.1 |
11/2/20 10/30-11/1 | AYTM | LV | 380 | Trump 48 |
Biden 52 |
+4% | +4% | 0.67 | |
11/2/20 10/22-10/31 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,743 | Trump 46.4 |
Biden 48.8 |
+2.4% | +2.2% | 0.96 |
11/1/20 10/30-10/31 | AtlasIntel | B/C | LV | 679 | Trump 48.3 |
Biden 46.1 |
+2.2% | +2.2% | 1.02 |
11/1/20 11/1-11/1 | InsiderAdvantage | B- | LV | 500 | Trump 48.1 |
Biden 46.1 |
+2% | +3.2% | 1.06 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,748 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +3% | 0.08 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,748 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
11/1/20 9/29-10/27 | CCES / YouGov | B | LV | 1,456 | Trump 47 |
Biden 48 |
+1% | +0.6% | 0.46 |
11/1/20 10/29-10/31 | Emerson College | A- | LV | 749 | Trump 49.4 |
Biden 48.8 |
+0.6% | +1% | 1.13 |
10/31/20 10/16-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,736 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +3% | - |
10/31/20 10/16-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,736 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,755 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +3% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,755 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
10/30/20 10/28-10/28 | Landmark Communications | B | LV | 750 | Trump 48 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +2.6% | 0.95 |
10/30/20 10/23-10/26 | Swayable | D- | LV | 373 | Trump 48.1 |
Biden 50.5 |
+2.4% | +2.4% | 0.3 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,019 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +3% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,019 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
10/29/20 10/27-10/28 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 661 | Trump 46 |
Biden 48 |
+2% | +1.6% | 0.91 |
10/29/20 10/17-10/20 | Citizen Data | LV | 1,000 | Trump 43.7 |
Biden 48.2 |
+4.4% | +4.4% | 0.26 | |
10/28/20 10/23-10/27 | Monmouth University | A+ | LV | 504 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +0.6% | 0.38 |
10/28/20 10/23-10/27 | Monmouth University | A+ | LV | 504 | Trump 46 |
Biden 50 |
+4% | +2.6% | 0.38 |
10/28/20 10/23-10/27 | Monmouth University | A+ | RV | 504 | Trump 45 |
Biden 50 |
+5% | +3.6% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,720 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +3% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,720 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/27/20 10/23-10/26 | Civiqs | B/C | LV | 1,041 | Trump 46 |
Biden 51 |
+5% | +5% | 0.82 |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,564 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,564 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/26/20 10/14-10/23 | University of Georgia | B/C | LV | 1,145 | Trump 46.2 |
Biden 46.5 |
+0.3% | +0.7% | 0.59 |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,530 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,530 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/25/20 10/20-10/23 | YouGov | B | LV | 1,090 | Trump 49 |
Biden 49 |
0% | +0.4% | 0.76 |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,507 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,507 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,533 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,533 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/23/20 10/21-10/21 | Landmark Communications | B | LV | 500 | Trump 49 |
Biden 45 |
+4% | +5.6% | 0.69 |
10/23/20 10/12-10/15 | Opinion Insight | A/B | LV | 800 | Trump 45 |
Biden 49 |
+4% | +4.6% | 0.54 |
10/23/20 8/30-9/2 | Opinion Insight | A/B | LV | 800 | Trump 46 |
Biden 46 |
0% | +0.6% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,420 | Trump 49 |
Biden 49 |
0% | +5% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,420 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/22/20 10/11-10/20 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,672 | Trump 48 |
Biden 48 |
0% | +0.2% | 0.5 |
10/21/20 10/11-10/14 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +5.6% | 0.38 |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,145 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,145 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,979 | Trump 49 |
Biden 49 |
0% | +5% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,979 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/20/20 10/13-10/19 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 759 | Trump 45 |
Biden 45 |
0% | +0.4% | 0.7 |
10/19/20 10/17-10/19 | Emerson College | A- | LV | 506 | Trump 48.4 |
Biden 47 |
+1.4% | +1.8% | 0.66 |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,795 | Trump 48 |
Biden 50 |
+2% | +3% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,795 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,725 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,725 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,617 | Trump 49 |
Biden 49 |
0% | +5% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,617 | Trump 46 |
Biden 51 |
+5% | 0% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,376 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,376 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,029 | Trump 49 |
Biden 49 |
0% | +5% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,029 | Trump 46 |
Biden 51 |
+5% | 0% | - |
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,716 | Trump 49 |
Biden 50 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,716 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/14/20 10/8-10/11 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 782 | Trump 46 |
Biden 46 |
0% | 0% | 0.33 |
10/14/20 10/8-10/12 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | LV | 1,040 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +6.8% | 0.41 |
10/14/20 10/8-10/12 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 677 | Trump 46 |
Biden 48 |
+2% | +1.8% | 0.48 |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,544 | Trump 49 |
Biden 49 |
0% | +5% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,544 | Trump 46 |
Biden 51 |
+5% | 0% | - |
10/13/20 10/2-10/11 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,837 | Trump 49 |
Biden 47 |
+2% | +2.2% | 0.25 |
10/10/20 10/8-10/9 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 528 | Trump 46 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +0.6% | 0.37 |
10/9/20 10/7-10/7 | Landmark Communications | B | LV | 600 | Trump 48.6 |
Biden 46.8 |
+1.8% | +3.4% | 0.29 |
10/9/20 9/27-10/6 | University of Georgia | B/C | LV | 1,106 | Trump 47.5 |
Biden 46.4 |
+1.1% | +0.7% | 0.15 |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,059 | Trump 45.3 |
Biden 51.6 |
+6.3% | +1.3% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,059 | Trump 49.2 |
Biden 48.5 |
+0.6% | +5.6% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,745 | Trump 49 |
Biden 48.5 |
+0.5% | +5.5% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,745 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45.2 |
+7.8% | +12.8% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,772 | Trump 45.9 |
Biden 51.8 |
+5.9% | +0.9% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,772 | Trump 49 |
Biden 49 |
0% | +5% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,468 | Trump 44.8 |
Biden 51.7 |
+6.9% | +1.9% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,468 | Trump 48.4 |
Biden 49.1 |
+0.6% | +4.4% | - |
10/2/20 9/23-9/26 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 789 | Trump 44 |
Biden 45 |
+1% | +1% | - | |
10/2/20 9/24-9/27 | Hart Research Associates | B/C | LV | 400 | Trump 47 |
Biden 50 |
+3% | +1.6% | - |
10/1/20 9/30-9/30 | Landmark Communications | B | LV | 500 | Trump 44.9 |
Biden 46.6 |
+1.7% | +0.1% | 0.16 |
9/29/20 9/26-9/29 | Civiqs | B/C | LV | 969 | Trump 47 |
Biden 50 |
+3% | +3% | 0.07 |
9/29/20 9/23-9/27 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | LV | 1,125 | Trump 47 |
Biden 50 |
+3% | +2.8% | 0.12 |
9/27/20 9/22-9/25 | YouGov | B | LV | 1,164 | Trump 47 |
Biden 46 |
+1% | +1.4% | 0.08 |
9/24/20 9/14-9/19 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 800 | Trump 46 |
Biden 46 |
0% | 0% | - |
9/24/20 9/14-9/19 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 800 | Trump 45 |
Biden 45 |
0% | 0% | - |
9/24/20 9/16-9/21 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 523 | Trump 45 |
Biden 45 |
0% | +0.4% | 0.18 |
9/23/20 9/17-9/21 | Monmouth University | A+ | LV | 402 | Trump 50 |
Biden 45 |
+5% | +6.4% | - |
9/23/20 9/17-9/21 | Monmouth University | A+ | LV | 402 | Trump 48 |
Biden 46 |
+2% | +3.4% | - |
9/23/20 9/17-9/21 | Monmouth University | A+ | RV | 402 | Trump 47 |
Biden 46 |
+1% | +2.4% | - |
9/22/20 9/11-9/20 | University of Georgia | B/C | LV | 1,150 | Trump 47.3 |
Biden 47 |
+0.3% | +0.1% | - |
9/21/20 9/14-9/16 | GBAO | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 46 |
Biden 49 |
+3% | +3% | - |
9/20/20 9/12-9/16 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 800 | Trump 46 |
Biden 45 |
+1% | +1% | - | |
9/15/20 8/20-8/30 | HarrisX | C | RV | 1,616 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52.2 |
+6.2% | +7.6% | - |
9/10/20 8/30-9/5 | Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates | LV | 800 | Trump 46 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +1% | - | |
9/9/20 8/29-9/7 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,486 | Trump 48 |
Biden 46 |
+2% | +2.2% | - |
9/1/20 8/29-8/31 | Landmark Communications | B | LV | 500 | Trump 47.9 |
Biden 40.5 |
+7.4% | +9% | - |
9/1/20 8/21-8/30 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,392 | Trump 46 |
Biden 49 |
+3% | +2.8% | - |
9/1/20 8/7-8/16 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,265 | Trump 47 |
Biden 46 |
+1% | +1.2% | - |
8/31/20 8/24-8/25 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 782 | Trump 46 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +0.6% | - |
8/17/20 8/14-8/15 | Landmark Communications | B | LV | 500 | Trump 47.4 |
Biden 44.5 |
+2.9% | +4.5% | - |
8/11/20 8/6-8/8 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 623 | Trump 44 |
Biden 46 |
+2% | +1.8% | - |
8/10/20 7/23-7/31 | HIT Strategies | RV | 400 | Trump 40 |
Biden 44 |
+4% | +4% | - | |
8/2/20 7/28-7/31 | YouGov | B | LV | 1,109 | Trump 45 |
Biden 46 |
+1% | +0.6% | - |
7/29/20 7/23-7/27 | Monmouth University | A+ | LV | 402 | Trump 49 |
Biden 46 |
+3% | +4.4% | - |
7/29/20 7/23-7/27 | Monmouth University | A+ | LV | 402 | Trump 48 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +2.4% | - |
7/29/20 7/23-7/27 | Monmouth University | A+ | RV | 402 | Trump 47 |
Biden 47 |
0% | +1.4% | - |
7/28/20 5/17-5/26 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,396 | Trump 49 |
Biden 47 |
+2% | +2.2% | - |
7/28/20 7/23-7/24 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 722 | Trump 45 |
Biden 46 |
+1% | +0.6% | - |
7/28/20 7/17-7/26 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,337 | Trump 46 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +0.8% | - |
7/22/20 7/11-7/16 | Spry Strategies | B/C | LV | 701 | Trump 48.8 |
Biden 45.7 |
+3.1% | +2.6% | - |
7/22/20 7/9-7/15 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | B/C | LV | 800 | Trump 43 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +2.6% | - |
7/20/20 7/15-7/18 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,023 | Trump 49.8 |
Biden 43.3 |
+6.5% | +5.5% | - |
7/12/20 7/2-7/2 | Gravis Marketing | C | LV | 513 | Trump 48 |
Biden 45 |
+3% | +4% | - |
6/29/20 6/25-6/26 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 734 | Trump 45 |
Biden 49 |
+4% | +3.6% | - |
6/25/20 6/20-6/23 | Fox News | A- | RV | 1,013 | Trump 45 |
Biden 47 |
+2% | +0.6% | - |
6/16/20 6/12-6/13 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 661 | Trump 46 |
Biden 48 |
+2% | +1.6% | - |
6/11/20 5/21-5/27 | TargetSmart | B/C | RV | 321 | Trump 44 |
Biden 40 |
+4% | +4.6% | - |
5/19/20 5/16-5/18 | Civiqs | B/C | RV | 1,339 | Trump 47 |
Biden 48 |
+1% | +1% | - |
5/15/20 5/11-5/13 | BK Strategies | B/C | LV | 700 | Trump 48 |
Biden 46 |
+2% | +2.4% | - |
5/13/20 5/4-5/7 | Public Opinion Strategies | B+ | LV | 500 | Trump 46 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +2.6% | - |
5/1/20 4/25-4/27 | Cygnal | A/B | LV | 591 | Trump 45.1 |
Biden 44 |
+1.1% | +2.1% | - |
4/3/20 3/31-4/1 | Battleground Connect | LV | 1,035 | Trump 48 |
Biden 46 |
+2% | +2% | - | |
3/4/20 2/24-3/2 | University of Georgia | B/C | LV | 1,117 | Trump 51.4 |
Biden 43.1 |
+8.3% | +7.9% | - |
1/9/20 12/19-12/23 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | B+ | RV | 625 | Trump 51 |
Biden 44 |
+7% | +6.4% | - |
11/19/19 11/15-11/18 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 1,303 | Trump 43 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +3.8% | - |
11/19/19 11/4-11/10 | Climate Nexus | LV | 688 | Trump 47 |
Biden 48 |
+1% | +1% | - | |
11/13/19 10/28-10/30 | Zogby Analytics | C+ | LV | 550 | Trump 44 |
Biden 46 |
+2% | +2.6% | - |
11/13/19 10/30-11/8 | University of Georgia | B/C | RV | 1,028 | Trump 42.5 |
Biden 51.1 |
+8.6% | +9% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 50.8 | 45.6 | +5.1% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 53.3 | 45.5 | +7.8% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 52.2 | 47 | +5.2% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 58 | 41.4 | +16.6% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 54.7 | 43 | +11.7% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/2 11:45 PM EDT10/14
Georgia polling average leader changed to Biden (+0.5%)
10/9
Georgia polling average leader changed to Trump (+0.2%)
9/29
Georgia polling average leader changed to Biden (+0.1%)
9/22
Georgia polling average leader changed to Trump (+0.1%)
8/17
Georgia polling average leader changed to Trump (+0.6%)