Georgia
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 2/27 5:41 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Georgia changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Georgia Pre-Election Forecast
Toss Up
Win Probability
(with same polling error as 2016)
This version of the model assumes the same polling error (polls on election day vs actual result) as 2016.
In Georgia the polls are shifted 0.1% more Democratic.
Swing
+5.4%
From 2016 Results
+5.4%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
47.6%
Biden
(+0.2%)
47.4%
Trump
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 4:39 PM EST10/14
Georgia polling average leader changed to Biden (+0.6%)
10/9
Georgia polling average leader changed to Trump (+0.2%)
9/29
Georgia polling average leader changed to Biden (+0.1%)
9/22
Georgia polling average leader changed to Trump (+0.1%)
8/17
Georgia polling average leader changed to Trump (+0.6%)