Idaho

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 37.4%
Trump
100%
Polls: 60.2% +22.8%
100%



Swing

 
+9%
From 2016 Results
+3.8%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
37.4%
Biden
60.2%
Trump (+22.8%)
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,679 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% 0.13
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,679 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,669 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% 0.12
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,669 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,651 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% 0.1
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,651 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,625 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% 0.08
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,625 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,607 Trump
57
Biden
40
+17% +22% 0.06
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,607 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,547 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% 0.04
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,547 Trump
57
Biden
40
+17% +22% -
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,510 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% 0.02
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,510 Trump
57
Biden
40
+17% +22% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,482 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,482 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,461 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,461 Trump
58
Biden
39
+19% +24% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,431 Trump
59
Biden
39
+20% +25% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,431 Trump
60
Biden
38
+22% +27% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,364 Trump
59
Biden
39
+20% +25% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,364 Trump
60
Biden
38
+22% +27% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,296 Trump
58
Biden
39
+19% +24% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,296 Trump
59
Biden
39
+20% +25% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,190 Trump
58
Biden
39
+19% +24% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,190 Trump
59
Biden
38
+21% +26% -
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,123 Trump
59
Biden
39
+20% +25% -
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,123 Trump
59
Biden
38
+21% +26% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 266 Trump
57.4
Biden
41.3
+16.1% +21.1% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 266 Trump
58.4
Biden
40.7
+17.7% +22.7% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 671 Trump
63
Biden
34.8
+28.2% +33.2% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 671 Trump
62.8
Biden
35.2
+27.6% +32.6% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 737 Trump
57.9
Biden
39.7
+18.2% +23.2% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 737 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 761 Trump
63.9
Biden
34.7
+29.3% +34.3% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 761 Trump
63.8
Biden
35
+28.8% +33.8% -
9/7/20 8/29-9/1 Spry Strategies B/C LV 600 Trump
59.7
Biden
34.5
+25.2% +24.8% 0.05


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 59.3 27.5 +31.8%
2012 Romney v Obama 64.5 32.6 +31.9%
2008 McCain v Obama 61.5 36.1 +25.4%
2004 Bush v Kerry 68.4 30.3 +38.1%
2000 Bush v Gore 67.2 27.6 +39.5%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/27 9:49 PM EDT