Idaho
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 11/5 8:24 PM EDTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Idaho changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Idaho Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+6.8%
From 2016 Results
+6%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
36.5%
Biden
61.5%
Trump
(+25%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 824 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | 0.25 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 824 | Trump 57 |
Biden 40 |
+17% | +22% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 878 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | 0.23 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 878 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 882 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | 0.21 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 882 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 911 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | 0.19 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 911 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,799 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | 0.07 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,799 | Trump 57 |
Biden 40 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,758 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | 0.06 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,758 | Trump 57 |
Biden 40 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,679 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | 0.03 |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,679 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,669 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | 0.01 |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,669 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,651 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,651 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,625 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,625 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,607 | Trump 57 |
Biden 40 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,607 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,547 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,547 | Trump 57 |
Biden 40 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,510 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,510 | Trump 57 |
Biden 40 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,482 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,482 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,461 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,461 | Trump 58 |
Biden 39 |
+19% | +24% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,431 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,431 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,364 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,364 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,296 | Trump 58 |
Biden 39 |
+19% | +24% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,296 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,190 | Trump 58 |
Biden 39 |
+19% | +24% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,190 | Trump 59 |
Biden 38 |
+21% | +26% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,123 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,123 | Trump 59 |
Biden 38 |
+21% | +26% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 266 | Trump 57.4 |
Biden 41.3 |
+16.1% | +21.1% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 266 | Trump 58.4 |
Biden 40.7 |
+17.7% | +22.7% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 671 | Trump 63 |
Biden 34.8 |
+28.2% | +33.2% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 671 | Trump 62.8 |
Biden 35.2 |
+27.6% | +32.6% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 737 | Trump 57.9 |
Biden 39.7 |
+18.2% | +23.2% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 737 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 761 | Trump 63.9 |
Biden 34.7 |
+29.3% | +34.3% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 761 | Trump 63.8 |
Biden 35 |
+28.8% | +33.8% | - |
9/7/20 8/29-9/1 | Spry Strategies | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 59.7 |
Biden 34.5 |
+25.2% | +24.8% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 59.3 | 27.5 | +31.8% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 64.5 | 32.6 | +31.9% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 61.5 | 36.1 | +25.4% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 68.4 | 30.3 | +38.1% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 67.2 | 27.6 | +39.5% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 1:38 AM EDT10/30