Indiana

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 8/15 7:30 AM EDT
Winner
Trump
Trump

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Indiana changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.




Indiana Pre-Election Forecast

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors
Test Polling Swings see how a swing changes the model

Safe Trump

Win Probability
(with same polling error as 2016)

This version of the model assumes the same polling error (polls on election day vs actual result) as 2016.
In Indiana the polls are shifted 8% more Republican.

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 37.4%
Trump
100%
Polls: 56.2% +18.8%
100%



Swing

 
+0.1%
From 2016 Results
+0.1%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
37.4%
Biden
56.2%
Trump (+18.8%)
 



Updates

Last Updated: 11/3 10:07 AM EDT
10/14
Indiana polls jumped 5.7% toward Biden (was R+23.4%, now R+17.7%)
10/3
Indiana polls jumped 2.3% toward Biden (was R+25.8%, now R+23.5%)
9/10
Indiana polls jumped 1.6% toward Biden (was R+26.8%, now R+25.2%)