Kansas
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 1/26 7:51 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Kansas changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Kansas Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+8%
From 2016 Results
+3.9%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
41%
Biden
53.6%
Trump
(+12.6%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 1,121 | Trump 55 |
Biden 41 |
+14% | +14% | 1.08 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,159 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | 0.25 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,159 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,384 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | 0.22 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,384 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,603 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | 0.2 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,603 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,569 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | 0.17 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,569 | Trump 53 |
Biden 44 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,442 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,442 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,359 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,359 | Trump 50 |
Biden 47 |
+3% | +8% | - |
10/27/20 9/21-10/1 | Fort Hays State University | C/D | RV | 306 | Trump 52 |
Biden 37.6 |
+14.4% | +13% | 0.06 |
10/27/20 9/21-10/1 | Fort Hays State University | C/D | A | 417 | Trump 46.2 |
Biden 35.7 |
+10.5% | +9.1% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,143 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,143 | Trump 50 |
Biden 48 |
+2% | +7% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,126 | Trump 52 |
Biden 47 |
+5% | +10% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,126 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,097 | Trump 52 |
Biden 47 |
+5% | +10% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,097 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,041 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,041 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,922 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,922 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/22/20 10/18-10/20 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 755 | Trump 48 |
Biden 41 |
+7% | +6.6% | 0.82 |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,825 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,825 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/21/20 10/19-10/20 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 897 | Trump 54 |
Biden 42 |
+12% | +12.4% | 0.73 |
10/21/20 10/18-10/20 | co/efficient | C/D | LV | 2,453 | Trump 56 |
Biden 39 |
+17% | +17.2% | 0.51 |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,718 | Trump 51 |
Biden 48 |
+3% | +8% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,718 | Trump 50 |
Biden 48 |
+2% | +7% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,581 | Trump 51 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +9% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,581 | Trump 51 |
Biden 48 |
+3% | +8% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,348 | Trump 52 |
Biden 47 |
+5% | +10% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,348 | Trump 51 |
Biden 48 |
+3% | +8% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,071 | Trump 53 |
Biden 46 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,071 | Trump 52 |
Biden 47 |
+5% | +10% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,972 | Trump 53 |
Biden 46 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,972 | Trump 53 |
Biden 46 |
+7% | +12% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,838 | Trump 54 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,838 | Trump 54 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,717 | Trump 55 |
Biden 44 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,717 | Trump 54 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,657 | Trump 55 |
Biden 44 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,657 | Trump 54 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 466 | Trump 51.4 |
Biden 46.2 |
+5.2% | +10.2% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 466 | Trump 52.6 |
Biden 45 |
+7.7% | +12.7% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,295 | Trump 49 |
Biden 48.9 |
+0.1% | +5.1% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,295 | Trump 50.6 |
Biden 47.4 |
+3.2% | +8.2% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 922 | Trump 53.5 |
Biden 44.9 |
+8.6% | +13.6% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 922 | Trump 54 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +14% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,135 | Trump 50.7 |
Biden 48.1 |
+2.6% | +7.6% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,135 | Trump 51.9 |
Biden 47.1 |
+4.8% | +9.8% | - |
9/30/20 9/26-9/29 | Civiqs | B/C | LV | 677 | Trump 52 |
Biden 42 |
+10% | +10% | 0.21 |
9/30/20 9/15-9/16 | co/efficient | C/D | LV | 794 | Trump 53 |
Biden 41 |
+12% | +12.2% | - |
9/24/20 9/14-9/19 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 883 | Trump 49 |
Biden 45 |
+4% | +4% | - |
9/24/20 9/14-9/19 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 883 | Trump 48 |
Biden 42 |
+6% | +6% | - |
8/12/20 8/5-8/9 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 1,202 | Trump 48 |
Biden 41 |
+7% | +7.2% | 0.09 |
8/7/20 8/5-8/6 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 864 | Trump 50 |
Biden 43 |
+7% | +7.4% | - |
6/2/20 5/30-6/1 | Civiqs | B/C | RV | 699 | Trump 52 |
Biden 40 |
+12% | +12% | - |
3/12/20 3/10-3/11 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,567 | Trump 52 |
Biden 40 |
+12% | +12.4% | - |
2/10/20 1/30-2/6 | DFM Research | B/C | A | 600 | Trump 51 |
Biden 43 |
+8% | +9.6% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 56.7 | 36.1 | +20.6% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 59.7 | 38 | +21.7% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 56.6 | 41.7 | +15% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 62 | 36.6 | +25.4% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 58 | 37.2 | +20.8% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 1:14 AM EST10/22
10/21
10/19
10/15
10/1