Maine
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Maine changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Maine Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Swing
+8.7%
From 2016 Results
+2.2%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
52.7%
Biden
(+11.6%)
41.1%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/29-11/2 | Change Research | C- | LV | 1,024 | Trump 40 |
Biden 52 |
+12% | +10.8% | 0.98 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,183 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | 0.23 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,183 | Trump 41 |
Biden 56 |
+15% | +10% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,242 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | 0.21 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,242 | Trump 41 |
Biden 56 |
+15% | +10% | - |
11/1/20 10/29-10/31 | Emerson College | A- | LV | 611 | Trump 42.9 |
Biden 54.3 |
+11.4% | +11% | 1.11 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,248 | Trump 43 |
Biden 55 |
+12% | +7% | 0.19 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,248 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,215 | Trump 43 |
Biden 55 |
+12% | +7% | 0.16 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,215 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,995 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,995 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/29/20 10/23-10/27 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 1,007 | Trump 40 |
Biden 53 |
+13% | +12.8% | 1 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,916 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,916 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/28/20 10/21-10/25 | Colby College | LV | 879 | Trump 38 |
Biden 51 |
+13% | +13% | 0.5 | |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,749 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,749 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,743 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,743 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,779 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,779 | Trump 41 |
Biden 57 |
+16% | +11% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,709 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,709 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,649 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,649 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,501 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,501 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,430 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,430 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,389 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,389 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,365 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,365 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,321 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,321 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,239 | Trump 42 |
Biden 57 |
+15% | +10% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,239 | Trump 41 |
Biden 57 |
+16% | +11% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,172 | Trump 42 |
Biden 57 |
+15% | +10% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,172 | Trump 41 |
Biden 57 |
+16% | +11% | - |
10/15/20 10/2-10/6 | Pan Atlantic Research | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 39.7 |
Biden 50.3 |
+10.6% | +9.8% | 0.3 |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,070 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,070 | Trump 42 |
Biden 56 |
+14% | +9% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 953 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 953 | Trump 43 |
Biden 56 |
+13% | +8% | - |
10/6/20 9/25-10/4 | Critical Insights | C/D | LV | 466 | Trump 40 |
Biden 51 |
+11% | +11.2% | - |
10/6/20 9/25-10/4 | Critical Insights | C/D | RV | 500 | Trump 39 |
Biden 50 |
+11% | +11.2% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 202 | Trump 48.2 |
Biden 48.8 |
+0.5% | +4.5% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 202 | Trump 45.5 |
Biden 51.2 |
+5.7% | +0.7% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 733 | Trump 42.9 |
Biden 55.6 |
+12.7% | +7.7% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 733 | Trump 41.4 |
Biden 57.5 |
+16.1% | +11.1% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 502 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59.6 |
+20.7% | +15.7% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 502 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 729 | Trump 40.4 |
Biden 57.6 |
+17.2% | +12.2% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 729 | Trump 38.3 |
Biden 59.8 |
+21.5% | +16.5% | - |
10/1/20 9/23-9/28 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 718 | Trump 41 |
Biden 55 |
+14% | +14% | 0.06 |
10/1/20 9/23-9/28 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 718 | Trump 39 |
Biden 53 |
+14% | +14% | 0.06 |
9/25/20 9/17-9/23 | Colby College | LV | 847 | Trump 39 |
Biden 50 |
+11% | +11% | - | |
9/21/20 9/17-9/20 | Suffolk University | A | LV | 500 | Trump 39.2 |
Biden 51.4 |
+12.2% | +11.6% | 0.09 |
9/21/20 9/17-9/20 | Suffolk University | A | LV | 500 | Trump 38.6 |
Biden 50.8 |
+12.2% | +11.6% | 0.09 |
9/18/20 9/11-9/16 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 663 | Trump 38 |
Biden 55 |
+17% | +17.4% | 0.27 |
9/16/20 9/10-9/14 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | LV | 1,183 | Trump 38 |
Biden 59 |
+21% | +20.8% | 0.13 |
9/10/20 8/30-9/5 | Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates | LV | 800 | Trump 40 |
Biden 54 |
+14% | +14% | - | |
8/12/20 7/28-8/9 | Critical Insights | C/D | LV | 453 | Trump 38 |
Biden 45 |
+7% | +7.2% | - |
8/11/20 7/28-8/9 | Critical Insights | C/D | RV | 500 | Trump 36 |
Biden 44 |
+8% | +8.2% | - |
8/10/20 7/27-8/2 | RMG Research | B/C | RV | 500 | Trump 39 |
Biden 50 |
+11% | +11% | - |
8/6/20 7/30-8/3 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | RV | 807 | Trump 37 |
Biden 52 |
+15% | +14.8% | - |
8/6/20 7/24-8/2 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 866 | Trump 43 |
Biden 53 |
+10% | +10% | - |
8/6/20 7/24-8/2 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 866 | Trump 42 |
Biden 49 |
+7% | +7% | - |
7/28/20 7/18-7/24 | Colby College | LV | 888 | Trump 38 |
Biden 50 |
+12% | +12% | - | |
7/28/20 7/23-7/24 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 962 | Trump 42 |
Biden 53 |
+11% | +10.6% | - |
7/6/20 7/2-7/3 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,022 | Trump 42 |
Biden 53 |
+11% | +10.6% | - |
3/5/20 3/2-3/3 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 872 | Trump 42 |
Biden 52 |
+10% | +9.6% | - |
10/15/19 10/11-10/13 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 939 | Trump 42 |
Biden 54 |
+12% | +11.6% | - |
9/17/19 7/29-7/31 | Fabrizio Ward LLC | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +5.8% | - |
6/28/19 6/24-6/24 | Gravis Marketing | C | RV | 767 | Trump 46 |
Biden 54 |
+8% | +7% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 44.9 | 47.8 | +3% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 41 | 56.3 | +15.3% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 40.4 | 57.7 | +17.3% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 44.6 | 53.6 | +9% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 44 | 49.1 | +5.1% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 2:37 AM EST10/1
9/29
9/16
8/6
8/3