Maine CD-2
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 1/26 7:49 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Maine CD-2 changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Maine CD-2 Pre-Election Forecast
Toss Up
Win Probability
Swing
+12.4%
From 2016 Results
+4%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
48.3%
Biden
(+2.1%)
46.2%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/29-11/2 | Change Research | C- | LV | 475 | Trump 50 |
Biden 50 |
0% | +1.2% | 0.44 |
11/2/20 10/29-11/2 | Change Research | C- | LV | 475 | Trump 46 |
Biden 47 |
+1% | +0.2% | 0.44 |
11/1/20 10/29-10/31 | Emerson College | A- | LV | 301 | Trump 46.8 |
Biden 49.8 |
+3% | +2.6% | 1.05 |
10/29/20 10/23-10/27 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 509 | Trump 48.6 |
Biden 51.4 |
+2.8% | +2.6% | 0.47 |
10/29/20 10/23-10/27 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 509 | Trump 45 |
Biden 48 |
+3% | +2.8% | 0.47 |
10/28/20 10/21-10/25 | Colby College | LV | 453 | Trump 42 |
Biden 46 |
+4% | +4% | 0.48 | |
10/15/20 10/2-10/6 | Pan Atlantic Research | B/C | LV | 300 | Trump 43 |
Biden 46.5 |
+3.5% | +2.7% | 0.3 |
10/6/20 9/25-10/4 | Critical Insights | C/D | LV | 234 | Trump 49 |
Biden 41 |
+8% | +7.8% | 0.07 |
10/6/20 9/25-10/4 | Critical Insights | C/D | RV | 248 | Trump 49 |
Biden 40 |
+9% | +8.8% | - |
9/25/20 9/17-9/23 | Colby College | LV | 425 | Trump 43 |
Biden 46 |
+3% | +3% | - | |
9/21/20 9/17-9/20 | Suffolk University | A | LV | 233 | Trump 45.5 |
Biden 46.8 |
+1.3% | +0.7% | 0.11 |
9/21/20 9/17-9/20 | Suffolk University | A | LV | 233 | Trump 45.5 |
Biden 46.8 |
+1.3% | +0.7% | 0.11 |
9/18/20 9/11-9/16 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 440 | Trump 45 |
Biden 47 |
+2% | +2.4% | 0.26 |
9/16/20 9/10-9/14 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | LV | 476 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +8.8% | 0.14 |
9/10/20 8/30-9/5 | Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates | LV | 367 | Trump 45 |
Biden 49 |
+4% | +4% | - | |
9/8/20 8/25-8/28 | LOC Wick | LV | 400 | Trump 49.3 |
Biden 47.5 |
+1.8% | +1.8% | - | |
8/11/20 7/28-8/9 | Critical Insights | C/D | RV | 249 | Trump 38 |
Biden 39 |
+1% | +1.2% | - |
8/6/20 7/30-8/3 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | RV | 382 | Trump 45 |
Biden 44 |
+1% | +1.2% | 0.06 |
7/28/20 7/18-7/24 | Colby College | LV | 449 | Trump 42 |
Biden 45 |
+3% | +3% | - | |
10/15/19 10/11-10/13 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 461 | Trump 46 |
Biden 49 |
+3% | +2.6% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 51.3 | 41 | +10.3% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 44.4 | 52.9 | +8.6% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 43.4 | 54.6 | +11.3% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 46 | 52 | +6% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 45.6 | 47.4 | +1.9% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 1:33 AM EST10/21
Maine CD-2 projected winner changed to Biden (50.1% chance of winning)
10/15
Maine CD-2 projected winner changed to Biden (50.6% chance of winning)
10/9
Maine CD-2 projected winner changed to Trump (51.3% chance of winning)
10/8
Maine CD-2 projected winner changed to Biden (50.2% chance of winning)
10/6
Maine CD-2 projected winner changed to Trump (50.4% chance of winning)