Maryland
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Maryland changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Maryland Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Swing
+3%
From 2016 Results
+6.4%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
62.2%
Biden
(+29.4%)
32.8%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/23-11/1 | Swayable | D- | LV | 503 | Trump 31.1 |
Biden 67 |
+35.9% | +35.9% | 0.51 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,918 | Trump 32 |
Biden 65 |
+33% | +28% | 0.26 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,918 | Trump 30 |
Biden 66 |
+36% | +31% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,150 | Trump 31 |
Biden 66 |
+35% | +30% | 0.24 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,150 | Trump 30 |
Biden 66 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,154 | Trump 31 |
Biden 66 |
+35% | +30% | 0.21 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,154 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,185 | Trump 31 |
Biden 66 |
+35% | +30% | 0.19 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,185 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,820 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | 0.07 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,820 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,665 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,665 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/26/20 10/19-10/24 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | B/C | RV | 820 | Trump 32.9 |
Biden 58 |
+25.1% | +25.5% | 0.74 |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,456 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,456 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,359 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,359 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,324 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,324 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,194 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,194 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,892 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,892 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,780 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,780 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,647 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,647 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,483 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,483 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,385 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,385 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,302 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,302 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,105 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,105 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,878 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,878 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,707 | Trump 33 |
Biden 66 |
+33% | +28% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,707 | Trump 31 |
Biden 66 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,564 | Trump 32 |
Biden 66 |
+34% | +29% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,564 | Trump 31 |
Biden 66 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/8/20 9/30-10/4 | Goucher College | LV | 776 | Trump 30 |
Biden 61 |
+31% | +31% | - | |
10/7/20 9/29-10/1 | Change Research | C- | V | 650 | Trump 32 |
Biden 61 |
+29% | +27.8% | 0.18 |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,175 | Trump 32.2 |
Biden 65.7 |
+33.5% | +28.5% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,175 | Trump 34.2 |
Biden 64 |
+29.7% | +24.7% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,911 | Trump 30.4 |
Biden 66.6 |
+36.2% | +31.2% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,911 | Trump 31.7 |
Biden 66.3 |
+34.6% | +29.6% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,813 | Trump 31.2 |
Biden 64.5 |
+33.4% | +28.4% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,813 | Trump 31 |
Biden 66 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,364 | Trump 29.9 |
Biden 68 |
+38.1% | +33.1% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,364 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67.1 |
+36.1% | +31.1% | - |
9/25/20 9/4-9/11 | OpinionWorks | B/C | RV | 838 | Trump 29 |
Biden 61 |
+32% | +32.6% | - |
9/25/20 9/4-9/11 | OpinionWorks | B/C | LV | 753 | Trump 30 |
Biden 62 |
+32% | +32.6% | - |
5/26/20 5/19-5/23 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | B/C | LV | 810 | Trump 35.3 |
Biden 59.1 |
+23.8% | +24.2% | - |
2/25/20 2/13-2/19 | Goucher College | LV | 718 | Trump 35 |
Biden 60 |
+25% | +25% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 33.9 | 60.3 | +26.4% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 35.9 | 62 | +26.1% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 36.5 | 61.9 | +25.5% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 42.9 | 55.9 | +13% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 40.2 | 56.6 | +16.4% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 3:03 AM EST11/2
10/26
10/7
10/3