Massachusetts
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Massachusetts changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Massachusetts Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Swing
+7.4%
From 2016 Results
+11.4%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
64%
Biden
(+34.6%)
29.4%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/23-10/30 | MassINC Polling Group | A/B | LV | 929 | Trump 28 |
Biden 62 |
+34% | +34.8% | 1.01 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,293 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | 0.27 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,293 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,462 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | 0.24 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,462 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,432 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | 0.21 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,432 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,445 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | 0.19 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,445 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,848 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,848 | Trump 28 |
Biden 69 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,647 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,647 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,310 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,310 | Trump 28 |
Biden 69 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/26/20 10/14-10/21 | YouGov | B | LV | 713 | Trump 29 |
Biden 64 |
+35% | +34.6% | 0.66 |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,248 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,248 | Trump 28 |
Biden 69 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,198 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,198 | Trump 28 |
Biden 69 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,133 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,133 | Trump 28 |
Biden 69 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,030 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,030 | Trump 28 |
Biden 69 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,820 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,820 | Trump 28 |
Biden 69 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,600 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,600 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,467 | Trump 29 |
Biden 70 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,467 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,405 | Trump 28 |
Biden 70 |
+42% | +37% | - |
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,405 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,325 | Trump 29 |
Biden 70 |
+41% | +36% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,325 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,077 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,077 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,871 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,871 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,704 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,704 | Trump 29 |
Biden 68 |
+39% | +34% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,523 | Trump 30 |
Biden 68 |
+38% | +33% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,523 | Trump 30 |
Biden 68 |
+38% | +33% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,091 | Trump 27.7 |
Biden 70.2 |
+42.5% | +37.5% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,091 | Trump 27.5 |
Biden 70.8 |
+43.3% | +38.3% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,509 | Trump 26.8 |
Biden 70.6 |
+43.8% | +38.8% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,509 | Trump 26.3 |
Biden 71.8 |
+45.5% | +40.5% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,286 | Trump 28.6 |
Biden 68.1 |
+39.5% | +34.5% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,286 | Trump 29 |
Biden 69 |
+40% | +35% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,665 | Trump 32.1 |
Biden 65 |
+32.9% | +27.9% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,665 | Trump 31.8 |
Biden 66 |
+34.2% | +29.2% | - |
8/28/20 8/25-8/27 | Emerson College | A- | LV | 763 | Trump 30.6 |
Biden 69.4 |
+38.9% | +38.5% | 0.11 |
8/14/20 7/31-8/7 | YouGov | B | RV | 500 | Trump 28 |
Biden 61 |
+33% | +32.6% | - |
8/12/20 8/6-8/9 | MassINC Polling Group | A/B | LV | 501 | Trump 27 |
Biden 63 |
+36% | +36.8% | - |
7/28/20 7/17-7/20 | MassINC Polling Group | A/B | RV | 797 | Trump 23 |
Biden 55 |
+32% | +32.8% | 0.08 |
5/7/20 5/5-5/6 | Emerson College | A- | RV | 740 | Trump 33.1 |
Biden 66.9 |
+33.7% | +33.3% | 0.1 |
5/7/20 4/27-5/1 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | A/B | RV | 1,000 | Trump 30 |
Biden 58 |
+28% | +28.2% | 0.06 |
4/7/19 4/4-4/7 | Emerson College | A- | RV | 761 | Trump 31.2 |
Biden 68.8 |
+37.6% | +37.2% | 0.1 |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 32.8 | 60 | +27.2% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 37.5 | 60.7 | +23.1% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 36 | 61.8 | +25.8% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 36.8 | 61.9 | +25.2% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 32.5 | 59.8 | +27.3% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 12:50 AM EST10/3