Massachusetts

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 2/27 5:01 AM EST
Winner
Biden
Biden

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Massachusetts changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.





Massachusetts Pre-Election Forecast

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Biden

Win Probability
(with same polling error as 2016)

This version of the model assumes the same polling error (polls on election day vs actual result) as 2016.
In Massachusetts the polls are shifted 4.1% more Democratic.

Biden
Trump
Biden
100%
Polls: 66.8% +38.6%
Trump
0%
Polls: 28.2%
100%



Swing

 
+11.4%
From 2016 Results
+11.4%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
66.8%
Biden (+38.6%)
28.2%
Trump
 



Updates

Last Updated: 11/3 10:15 AM EST
10/3
Massachusetts polls jumped 1.8% toward Trump (was D+40.6%, now D+38.8%)