Michigan
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 1/26 12:24 PM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Michigan changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Michigan Pre-Election Forecast
Likely Biden
Win Probability
Swing
+7.2%
From 2016 Results
+3.9%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
50.6%
Biden
(+7%)
43.6%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/24-10/25 | Wick | LV | 1,000 | Trump 48.1 |
Biden 48.4 |
+0.3% | +0.3% | 0.47 | |
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 | Swayable | D- | LV | 413 | Trump 44.9 |
Biden 53.6 |
+8.7% | +8.7% | 0.44 |
11/2/20 10/9-10/10 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 827 | Trump 41 |
Biden 51 |
+10% | +10% | - | |
11/2/20 10/10-10/13 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 972 | Trump 42 |
Biden 51 |
+9% | +9% | - | |
11/2/20 10/26-10/29 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 1,212 | Trump 41 |
Biden 54 |
+13% | +13% | 0.61 | |
11/2/20 10/29-11/1 | Change Research | C- | LV | 383 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +5.8% | 0.83 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,976 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,976 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
11/2/20 10/31-11/1 | Research Co. | B- | LV | 450 | Trump 43 |
Biden 50 |
+7% | +7.6% | 1.06 |
11/2/20 10/22-10/31 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,736 | Trump 44.5 |
Biden 51.8 |
+7.3% | +7.1% | 0.95 |
11/2/20 10/30-10/31 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,033 | Trump 48.3 |
Biden 45.8 |
+2.5% | +1.5% | 0.96 |
11/1/20 10/30-10/31 | AtlasIntel | B/C | LV | 686 | Trump 45.9 |
Biden 48.3 |
+2.4% | +2.4% | 1.03 |
11/1/20 10/25-10/30 | Targoz Market Research | C/D | LV | 993 | Trump 39 |
Biden 53 |
+14% | +12.4% | 0.75 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,202 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,202 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
11/1/20 10/27-11/1 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 654 | Trump 43 |
Biden 53 |
+10% | +9.6% | 0.35 |
11/1/20 10/30-10/31 | InsiderAdvantage | B- | LV | 500 | Trump 46.7 |
Biden 48.8 |
+2.1% | +0.9% | 1.01 |
11/1/20 10/27-11/1 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 654 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +7.6% | 0.35 |
11/1/20 10/29-10/29 | Mitchell Research & Communications | C- | LV | 817 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52.1 |
+7.1% | +6.3% | 0.82 |
11/1/20 10/29-10/31 | Emerson College | A- | LV | 700 | Trump 45.5 |
Biden 52 |
+6.5% | +6.1% | 1.12 |
11/1/20 10/25-10/28 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 41 |
Biden 48 |
+7% | +7.2% | 0.9 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,216 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,216 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/31/20 10/23-10/30 | CNN/SSRS | B/C | RV | 953 | Trump 40 |
Biden 54 |
+14% | +12.8% | - |
10/31/20 10/23-10/30 | CNN/SSRS | B/C | LV | 907 | Trump 41 |
Biden 53 |
+12% | +10.8% | 0.86 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,244 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,244 | Trump 44 |
Biden 52 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/30/20 10/25-10/28 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,058 | Trump 49.1 |
Biden 46.6 |
+2.5% | +1.5% | 0.77 |
10/30/20 10/27-10/29 | RMG Research | B/C | LV | 800 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +7% | 0.89 |
10/30/20 10/29-10/30 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 745 | Trump 44 |
Biden 54 |
+10% | +9.6% | 1.02 |
10/30/20 10/21-10/28 | Kiaer Research | LV | 669 | Trump 40.6 |
Biden 53.5 |
+12.9% | +12.9% | 0.42 | |
10/30/20 10/23-10/26 | Swayable | D- | LV | 394 | Trump 39.6 |
Biden 58.6 |
+19% | +19% | 0.23 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,541 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,541 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/29/20 10/17-10/20 | Citizen Data | LV | 1,000 | Trump 41.4 |
Biden 49.5 |
+8.1% | +8.1% | 0.18 | |
10/28/20 10/25-10/27 | Mitchell Research & Communications | C- | LV | 759 | Trump 42 |
Biden 52.4 |
+10.4% | +9.6% | 0.67 |
10/28/20 10/23-10/26 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 856 | Trump 41 |
Biden 49 |
+8% | +8.4% | 1 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,272 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,272 | Trump 43 |
Biden 53 |
+10% | +5% | - |
10/28/20 10/20-10/25 | ABC News/The Washington Post | A+ | LV | 789 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +6.4% | 0.91 |
10/28/20 10/20-10/25 | ABC News/The Washington Post | A+ | RV | 902 | Trump 44 |
Biden 49 |
+5% | +4.4% | - |
10/27/20 10/23-10/25 | Glengariff Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 41.6 |
Biden 49.3 |
+7.7% | +7.3% | 0.71 |
10/27/20 10/20-10/26 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 652 | Trump 43 |
Biden 53 |
+10% | +9.6% | 0.16 |
10/27/20 10/20-10/26 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 652 | Trump 43 |
Biden 52 |
+9% | +8.6% | 0.16 |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,094 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,094 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/26/20 10/13-10/21 | YouGov | B | RV | 745 | Trump 42 |
Biden 51 |
+9% | +8.6% | - |
10/26/20 10/13-10/21 | YouGov | B | LV | 681 | Trump 42 |
Biden 52 |
+10% | +9.6% | 0.53 |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,965 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,965 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/25/20 10/24-10/24 | Gravis Marketing | C | LV | 679 | Trump 42 |
Biden 55 |
+13% | +12% | 0.63 |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,891 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,891 | Trump 43 |
Biden 53 |
+10% | +5% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,767 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,767 | Trump 43 |
Biden 53 |
+10% | +5% | - |
10/23/20 10/3-10/6 | Opinion Insight | A/B | LV | 800 | Trump 42 |
Biden 51 |
+9% | +9.6% | 0.24 |
10/23/20 8/30-9/2 | Opinion Insight | A/B | LV | 800 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +6.6% | - |
10/23/20 10/11-10/18 | Zia Poll | C/D | LV | 2,851 | Trump 49 |
Biden 45 |
+4% | +3.4% | 0.21 |
10/23/20 10/15-10/19 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 39 |
Biden 48 |
+9% | +9.2% | 0.55 |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,607 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,607 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/22/20 10/21-10/22 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 804 | Trump 43 |
Biden 50 |
+7% | +6.6% | 0.7 |
10/22/20 10/15-10/18 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,034 | Trump 46.7 |
Biden 44.9 |
+1.8% | +0.8% | 0.34 |
10/22/20 10/11-10/20 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,717 | Trump 44 |
Biden 52 |
+8% | +7.8% | 0.45 |
10/21/20 10/17-10/20 | Fox News | A- | RV | 1,104 | Trump 40 |
Biden 51 |
+11% | +9.6% | - |
10/21/20 10/17-10/20 | Fox News | A- | LV | 1,032 | Trump 40 |
Biden 52 |
+12% | +10.6% | 0.69 |
10/21/20 10/15-10/18 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 830 | Trump 45 |
Biden 50 |
+5% | +5% | 0.5 |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,519 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,519 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/20/20 10/14-10/20 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 686 | Trump 44 |
Biden 52 |
+8% | +7.6% | 0.06 |
10/20/20 10/16-10/19 | Change Research | C- | LV | 718 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +5.8% | 0.36 |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,222 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,222 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/20/20 10/14-10/20 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 686 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +6.6% | 0.06 |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 6,026 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 6,026 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/19/20 10/18-10/18 | Mitchell Research & Communications | C- | LV | 900 | Trump 41 |
Biden 51 |
+10% | +9.2% | 0.38 |
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,930 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,930 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,794 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,794 | Trump 44 |
Biden 53 |
+9% | +4% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,448 | Trump 45 |
Biden 53 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,448 | Trump 44 |
Biden 52 |
+8% | +3% | - |
10/16/20 10/12-10/15 | Harris Poll | C | LV | 1,289 | Trump 43 |
Biden 54 |
+11% | +12.4% | 0.29 |
10/16/20 10/11-10/14 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,025 | Trump 46.5 |
Biden 45.9 |
+0.6% | +0.4% | 0.19 |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,093 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,093 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
10/15/20 10/8-10/11 | Civiqs | B/C | LV | 543 | Trump 43 |
Biden 52 |
+9% | +9% | 0.22 |
10/15/20 10/8-10/13 | RMG Research | B/C | LV | 800 | Trump 42 |
Biden 48 |
+6% | +6% | 0.27 |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,848 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,848 | Trump 45 |
Biden 52 |
+7% | +2% | - |
10/14/20 10/8-10/12 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 39 |
Biden 48 |
+9% | +9.2% | 0.33 |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,656 | Trump 46 |
Biden 51 |
+5% | 0% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,656 | Trump 45 |
Biden 51 |
+6% | +1% | - |
10/13/20 10/7-10/13 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 620 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +6.6% | - |
10/13/20 10/7-10/13 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 620 | Trump 43 |
Biden 51 |
+8% | +7.6% | - |
10/13/20 10/2-10/11 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,710 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +6.8% | 0.17 |
10/12/20 10/6-10/11 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 614 | Trump 40 |
Biden 48 |
+8% | +8.4% | 0.46 |
10/11/20 10/6-10/9 | YouGov | B | LV | 1,190 | Trump 46 |
Biden 52 |
+6% | +5.6% | 0.27 |
10/11/20 9/30-10/8 | Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) | C/D | LV | 1,134 | Trump 43.2 |
Biden 50.2 |
+7% | +6.2% | - |
10/9/20 10/4-10/6 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 700 | Trump 42 |
Biden 50 |
+8% | +8% | - | |
10/8/20 10/6-10/7 | Emerson College | A- | LV | 716 | Trump 43.4 |
Biden 54.2 |
+10.8% | +10.4% | 0.32 |
10/6/20 9/29-10/6 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 709 | Trump 43 |
Biden 51 |
+8% | +7.6% | 0.09 |
10/6/20 10/2-10/4 | Change Research | C- | LV | 676 | Trump 43 |
Biden 51 |
+8% | +6.8% | - |
10/5/20 9/30-10/3 | Glengariff Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 39.2 |
Biden 48 |
+8.8% | +8.4% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,238 | Trump 43.9 |
Biden 52.4 |
+8.5% | +3.5% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,238 | Trump 45.9 |
Biden 51 |
+5.2% | +0.1% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,083 | Trump 47 |
Biden 50.4 |
+3.5% | +1.5% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,083 | Trump 48.3 |
Biden 49.5 |
+1.2% | +3.8% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,962 | Trump 47.1 |
Biden 49.5 |
+2.4% | +2.6% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,962 | Trump 48 |
Biden 49 |
+1% | +4% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,297 | Trump 43.6 |
Biden 53.1 |
+9.5% | +4.5% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,297 | Trump 44.4 |
Biden 52.7 |
+8.3% | +3.3% | - |
10/2/20 9/30-10/1 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 746 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +5.6% | 0.14 |
10/2/20 9/23-9/26 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 785 | Trump 42 |
Biden 51 |
+9% | +9% | - | |
9/30/20 9/17-9/23 | ALG Research | B/C | LV | 800 | Trump 44 |
Biden 52 |
+8% | +6.4% | - |
9/30/20 9/26-9/28 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,042 | Trump 47.1 |
Biden 48.7 |
+1.6% | +2.6% | - |
9/27/20 9/19-9/23 | Marist College | A+ | LV | 799 | Trump 44 |
Biden 52 |
+8% | +8.4% | 0.11 |
9/27/20 9/19-9/23 | Marist College | A+ | RV | 1,082 | Trump 43 |
Biden 52 |
+9% | +9.4% | - |
9/25/20 9/17-9/19 | Hart Research Associates | B/C | LV | 400 | Trump 45 |
Biden 50 |
+5% | +3.6% | - |
9/24/20 9/20-9/22 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,015 | Trump 46.7 |
Biden 46 |
+0.7% | +0.3% | - |
9/24/20 9/14-9/19 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 455 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +6% | - |
9/24/20 9/14-9/19 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 455 | Trump 42 |
Biden 48 |
+6% | +6% | - |
9/24/20 9/10-9/21 | YouGov | B | LV | 641 | Trump 45 |
Biden 51 |
+6% | +5.6% | - |
9/24/20 9/10-9/21 | YouGov | B | RV | 737 | Trump 42 |
Biden 50 |
+8% | +7.6% | - |
9/23/20 9/8-9/22 | Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) | C/D | LV | 1,001 | Trump 41.9 |
Biden 49.9 |
+8% | +7.2% | - |
9/23/20 9/18-9/20 | Change Research | C- | LV | 568 | Trump 43 |
Biden 51 |
+8% | +6.8% | - |
9/22/20 9/11-9/16 | Ipsos | B- | LV | 637 | Trump 44 |
Biden 49 |
+5% | +4.6% | - |
9/22/20 9/14-9/19 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 41 |
Biden 46 |
+5% | +4.6% | - |
9/18/20 9/12-9/14 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 930 | Trump 39 |
Biden 49 |
+10% | +10% | - | |
9/18/20 9/11-9/15 | Civiqs | B/C | RV | 517 | Trump 42 |
Biden 53 |
+11% | +11% | - |
9/18/20 9/10-9/15 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 40 |
Biden 48 |
+8% | +8.2% | - |
9/10/20 9/2-9/3 | Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research | C+ | LV | 1,000 | Trump 44.3 |
Biden 52.9 |
+8.6% | +10.2% | - |
9/10/20 8/28-9/8 | Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group | LV | 1,600 | Trump 43 |
Biden 50 |
+7% | +7% | - | |
9/9/20 8/29-9/7 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,455 | Trump 42 |
Biden 52 |
+10% | +9.8% | - |
9/9/20 9/4-9/6 | Change Research | C- | LV | 876 | Trump 43 |
Biden 49 |
+6% | +4.8% | - |
9/8/20 9/1-9/3 | Glengariff Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 42.3 |
Biden 47 |
+4.7% | +4.3% | - |
9/8/20 8/30-9/3 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 967 | Trump 40 |
Biden 51 |
+11% | +11% | - | |
9/4/20 8/11-8/15 | Hodas & Associates | LV | 600 | Trump 40.9 |
Biden 52.3 |
+11.3% | +11.3% | - | |
9/1/20 8/28-8/29 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 897 | Trump 44 |
Biden 48 |
+4% | +3.6% | - |
9/1/20 8/21-8/30 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,424 | Trump 42 |
Biden 52 |
+10% | +9.8% | - |
9/1/20 8/7-8/16 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,212 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +5.8% | - |
8/28/20 8/14-8/23 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,048 | Trump 46.6 |
Biden 45.2 |
+1.4% | +0.4% | - |
8/26/20 8/21-8/23 | Change Research | C- | LV | 809 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +4.8% | - |
8/21/20 8/16-8/18 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 812 | Trump 38 |
Biden 50 |
+12% | +12% | - | |
8/21/20 8/13-8/17 | Civiqs | B/C | RV | 631 | Trump 46 |
Biden 49 |
+3% | +3% | - |
8/18/20 7/30-8/4 | GQR Research | B | LV | 500 | Trump 43 |
Biden 52 |
+9% | +6.8% | - |
8/12/20 8/7-8/9 | Change Research | C- | LV | 413 | Trump 43 |
Biden 48 |
+5% | +3.8% | - |
8/10/20 7/27-8/6 | YouGov | B | RV | 761 | Trump 43 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +3.6% | - |
8/7/20 7/25-7/30 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 40 |
Biden 51 |
+11% | +11.2% | - |
8/6/20 7/30-7/31 | David Binder Research | B/C | LV | 200 | Trump 41 |
Biden 51 |
+10% | +10% | - |
8/5/20 7/13-7/16 | Hodas & Associates | LV | 600 | Trump 40.5 |
Biden 52.5 |
+12% | +12% | - | |
8/3/20 7/28-7/29 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 876 | Trump 43 |
Biden 49 |
+6% | +5.6% | - |
7/30/20 7/19-7/24 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 811 | Trump 37 |
Biden 49 |
+12% | +12% | - | |
7/29/20 6/11-6/16 | TargetPoint | B/C | A | 1,000 | Trump 33 |
Biden 49 |
+16% | +16% | - |
7/29/20 7/24-7/26 | Change Research | C- | LV | 413 | Trump 42 |
Biden 46 |
+4% | +2.8% | - |
7/28/20 5/17-5/26 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,325 | Trump 42 |
Biden 50 |
+8% | +7.8% | - |
7/28/20 7/17-7/26 | Morning Consult | B/C | LV | 1,320 | Trump 42 |
Biden 52 |
+10% | +9.8% | - |
7/26/20 7/21-7/24 | YouGov | B | LV | 1,156 | Trump 42 |
Biden 48 |
+6% | +5.6% | - |
7/26/20 7/18-7/24 | CNN/SSRS | B/C | RV | 927 | Trump 40 |
Biden 52 |
+12% | +10.8% | - |
7/24/20 7/22-7/22 | Gravis Marketing | C | LV | 754 | Trump 42 |
Biden 51 |
+9% | +8% | - |
7/23/20 7/18-7/20 | Fox News | A- | RV | 756 | Trump 40 |
Biden 49 |
+9% | +7.6% | - |
7/22/20 7/11-7/16 | Spry Strategies | B/C | LV | 700 | Trump 49.6 |
Biden 45.4 |
+4.2% | +3.8% | - |
7/18/20 7/9-7/10 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,041 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +6.6% | - |
7/15/20 7/10-7/12 | Change Research | C- | LV | 824 | Trump 42 |
Biden 48 |
+6% | +4.8% | - |
7/1/20 6/26-6/27 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,237 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +5.6% | - |
7/1/20 6/26-6/28 | Change Research | C- | LV | 699 | Trump 43 |
Biden 48 |
+5% | +3.8% | - |
6/25/20 6/14-6/16 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 826 | Trump 36 |
Biden 47 |
+11% | +11% | - | |
6/25/20 6/17-6/20 | Hodas & Associates | LV | 600 | Trump 37.5 |
Biden 55.5 |
+18% | +18% | - | |
6/25/20 6/8-6/17 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | RV | 610 | Trump 36 |
Biden 47 |
+11% | +11.4% | - |
6/22/20 6/16-6/18 | Trafalgar Group | C- | LV | 1,101 | Trump 45.3 |
Biden 46.2 |
+0.9% | +1.9% | - |
6/17/20 6/12-6/14 | Change Research | C- | LV | 353 | Trump 45 |
Biden 47 |
+2% | +0.8% | - |
6/16/20 6/9-6/12 | TIPP | A/B | LV | 859 | Trump 38 |
Biden 51 |
+13% | +13.8% | - |
6/16/20 6/9-6/12 | TIPP | A/B | RV | 907 | Trump 37 |
Biden 50 |
+13% | +13.8% | - |
6/16/20 5/31-6/4 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 39 |
Biden 55 |
+16% | +16.2% | - |
6/9/20 5/31-6/7 | Kiaer Research | LV | 543 | Trump 35 |
Biden 50 |
+15% | +15% | - | |
6/7/20 5/30-6/3 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 41 |
Biden 53 |
+12% | +12.2% | - |
6/3/20 5/29-5/31 | Change Research | C- | LV | 620 | Trump 46 |
Biden 48 |
+2% | +0.8% | - |
6/1/20 5/29-5/30 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,582 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +5.6% | - |
5/21/20 5/10-5/14 | Redfield & Wilton Strategies | LV | 970 | Trump 39 |
Biden 47 |
+8% | +8% | - | |
5/21/20 5/18-5/19 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,234 | Trump 45 |
Biden 51 |
+6% | +5.6% | - |
5/21/20 5/11-5/17 | Change Research | C- | LV | 3,070 | Trump 44.2 |
Biden 46.7 |
+2.5% | +1.3% | - |
5/21/20 5/11-5/17 | Change Research | C- | LV | 3,070 | Trump 46 |
Biden 49 |
+3% | +1.8% | - |
5/21/20 5/1-5/5 | Hodas & Associates | LV | 600 | Trump 42.2 |
Biden 51.8 |
+9.7% | +9.7% | - | |
4/30/20 4/28-4/29 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,270 | Trump 42 |
Biden 50 |
+8% | +7.6% | - |
4/24/20 4/9-4/11 | Hodas & Associates | LV | 600 | Trump 43.3 |
Biden 49.7 |
+6.3% | +6.3% | - | |
4/23/20 4/20-4/21 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,277 | Trump 44 |
Biden 51 |
+7% | +6.6% | - |
4/23/20 4/15-4/20 | Ipsos | B- | A | 642 | Trump 36 |
Biden 45 |
+9% | +8.6% | - |
4/22/20 4/15-4/20 | Ipsos | B- | RV | 612 | Trump 38 |
Biden 46 |
+8% | +7.6% | - |
4/22/20 4/18-4/21 | Fox News | A- | RV | 801 | Trump 41 |
Biden 49 |
+8% | +6.6% | - |
4/13/20 4/6-4/8 | Hart Research Associates | B/C | LV | 303 | Trump 41 |
Biden 50 |
+9% | +7.6% | - |
4/3/20 3/30-4/1 | Spry Strategies | B/C | LV | 602 | Trump 46.1 |
Biden 45.8 |
+0.3% | +0.1% | - |
4/2/20 3/31-4/1 | Public Policy Polling | B | V | 1,019 | Trump 45 |
Biden 48 |
+3% | +2.6% | - |
3/27/20 3/12-3/16 | Hodas & Associates | LV | 600 | Trump 44.7 |
Biden 51.8 |
+7.2% | +7.2% | - | |
3/26/20 3/17-3/25 | Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) | C/D | RV | 997 | Trump 42.2 |
Biden 47.3 |
+5.1% | +4.3% | - |
3/25/20 3/16-3/20 | Marketing Resource Group (MRG) | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 41 |
Biden 44 |
+3% | +2.6% | - |
3/9/20 3/7-3/9 | AtlasIntel | B/C | RV | 1,100 | Trump 45.5 |
Biden 44.1 |
+1.4% | +1.4% | - |
3/9/20 3/6-3/8 | YouGov | B | RV | 566 | Trump 41 |
Biden 45 |
+4% | +3.6% | - |
3/9/20 3/5-3/8 | Monmouth University | A+ | RV | 977 | Trump 41 |
Biden 48 |
+7% | +5.6% | - |
3/9/20 3/5-3/7 | Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | B/C | LV | 550 | Trump 46.5 |
Biden 44.3 |
+2.2% | +0.7% | - |
3/7/20 2/6-2/18 | Expedition Strategies | RV | 500 | Trump 43 |
Biden 43 |
0% | 0% | - | |
2/23/20 2/11-2/20 | YouGov | B | RV | 1,249 | Trump 43 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +3.6% | - |
2/20/20 2/12-2/18 | Quinnipiac University | B+ | RV | 845 | Trump 43 |
Biden 47 |
+4% | +3.8% | - |
1/15/20 1/9-1/12 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 44 |
Biden 50 |
+6% | +6.2% | - |
1/8/20 1/3-1/7 | Glengariff Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 43.2 |
Biden 50.1 |
+6.9% | +6.5% | - |
12/9/19 12/3-12/5 | Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | B/C | LV | 551 | Trump 46.3 |
Biden 40.9 |
+5.4% | +4% | - |
11/4/19 10/13-10/25 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | LV | 501 | Trump 44.1 |
Biden 45.4 |
+1.3% | +1.7% | - |
11/4/19 10/13-10/25 | Siena College/The New York Times Upshot | A+ | RV | 501 | Trump 44.7 |
Biden 44.4 |
+0.2% | +0.2% | - |
11/3/19 10/31-11/3 | Emerson College | A- | RV | 1,051 | Trump 44.2 |
Biden 55.8 |
+11.6% | +11.2% | - |
9/30/19 9/25-9/26 | Target Insyght | C/D | LV | 804 | Trump 35 |
Biden 54 |
+19% | +19.6% | - |
9/12/19 9/7-9/9 | Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | B/C | LV | 529 | Trump 41 |
Biden 42 |
+1% | +2.4% | - |
8/28/19 8/17-8/21 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 41 |
Biden 51 |
+10% | +10.2% | - |
7/29/19 7/14-7/17 | Climate Nexus | RV | 820 | Trump 36 |
Biden 49 |
+13% | +13% | - | |
6/18/19 6/11-6/13 | Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | B/C | LV | 587 | Trump 43 |
Biden 46 |
+3% | +4.4% | - |
6/14/19 6/8-6/12 | EPIC-MRA | B+ | LV | 600 | Trump 41 |
Biden 52 |
+11% | +11.2% | - |
6/4/19 5/28-5/30 | Glengariff Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 41.4 |
Biden 53.3 |
+11.9% | +11.5% | - |
6/4/19 5/28-5/30 | Glengariff Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 38.5 |
Biden 45.2 |
+6.7% | +6.3% | - |
5/11/19 4/27-4/30 | WPA Intelligence | B/C | LV | 200 | Trump 42 |
Biden 45 |
+3% | +3.8% | - |
3/26/19 3/19-3/21 | Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus | B/C | LV | 530 | Trump 46 |
Biden 45 |
+1% | +0.4% | - |
3/10/19 3/7-3/10 | Emerson College | A- | RV | 743 | Trump 44.3 |
Biden 51.8 |
+7.5% | +7.1% | - |
3/10/19 3/7-3/10 | Emerson College | A- | RV | 743 | Trump 46.3 |
Biden 53.7 |
+7.4% | +7% | - |
1/29/19 1/24-1/26 | Glengariff Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 40.3 |
Biden 53.3 |
+13% | +12.6% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 47.5 | 47.3 | +0.2% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 44.7 | 54.2 | +9.5% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 41 | 57.4 | +16.5% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 47.8 | 51.2 | +3.4% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 46.2 | 51.3 | +5.1% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 1:01 AM EST11/1
10/31
9/10
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6/16