Mississippi

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 39%
Trump
100%
Polls: 57.9% +18.9%
100%



Swing

 
+1.1%
From 2016 Results
+1%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
39%
Biden
57.9%
Trump (+18.9%)
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/27/20 10/23-10/26 Civiqs B/C LV 507 Trump
55
Biden
41
+14% +14% 1.01
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,725 Trump
62
Biden
37
+25% +30% 0.13
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,725 Trump
55
Biden
43
+12% +17% -
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,705 Trump
62
Biden
37
+25% +30% 0.11
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,705 Trump
55
Biden
43
+12% +17% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,674 Trump
62
Biden
37
+25% +30% 0.09
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,674 Trump
55
Biden
43
+12% +17% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,612 Trump
61
Biden
37
+24% +29% 0.07
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,612 Trump
55
Biden
43
+12% +17% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,541 Trump
61
Biden
37
+24% +29% 0.05
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,541 Trump
55
Biden
43
+12% +17% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,495 Trump
61
Biden
38
+23% +28% 0.04
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,495 Trump
54
Biden
44
+10% +15% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,442 Trump
60
Biden
39
+21% +26% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,442 Trump
54
Biden
44
+10% +15% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,404 Trump
60
Biden
39
+21% +26% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,404 Trump
54
Biden
44
+10% +15% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,383 Trump
60
Biden
39
+21% +26% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,383 Trump
54
Biden
44
+10% +15% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,359 Trump
59
Biden
39
+20% +25% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,359 Trump
53
Biden
45
+8% +13% -
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,290 Trump
59
Biden
39
+20% +25% -
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,290 Trump
53
Biden
45
+8% +13% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,182 Trump
60
Biden
39
+21% +26% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,182 Trump
54
Biden
44
+10% +15% -
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,118 Trump
59
Biden
40
+19% +24% -
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,118 Trump
53
Biden
45
+8% +13% -
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,063 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,063 Trump
52
Biden
46
+6% +11% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 425 Trump
55.7
Biden
41.5
+14.2% +19.2% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 425 Trump
62.9
Biden
34.7
+28.1% +33.1% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 733 Trump
53.9
Biden
43.9
+10% +15% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 733 Trump
59.3
Biden
39.1
+20.3% +25.3% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 607 Trump
54.7
Biden
41.3
+13.3% +18.3% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 607 Trump
61
Biden
36
+25% +30% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 782 Trump
49.1
Biden
49.4
+0.3% +4.8% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 782 Trump
54.9
Biden
44.1
+10.8% +15.8% -
9/21/20 8/28-8/30 The Tyson Group B/C LV 600 Trump
50
Biden
40
+10% +10% -
8/13/20 7/30-8/9 Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group B/C LV 600 Trump
53
Biden
43
+10% +11.4% -
6/16/20 6/2-6/4 Millsaps College/Chism Strategies LV 568 Trump
50.4
Biden
40.6
+9.8% +9.8% -
4/20/20 4/8-4/9 Millsaps College/Chism Strategies LV 508 Trump
48.7
Biden
38.1
+10.6% +10.6% -
3/5/20 2/26-2/28 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy B+ RV 625 Trump
56
Biden
41
+15% +14.4% 0.06


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 57.9 40.1 +17.8%
2012 Romney v Obama 55.3 43.8 +11.5%
2008 McCain v Obama 56.2 43 +13.2%
2004 Bush v Kerry 59.5 39.8 +19.7%
2000 Bush v Gore 57.6 40.7 +16.9%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/27 9:48 PM EDT
10/27
Mississippi polls jumped 8.2% toward Biden (was R+27.1%, now R+18.9%)
10/13
Mississippi polls jumped 2.3% toward Trump (was R+16.5%, now R+18.8%)
10/3
Mississippi polls jumped 6% toward Biden (was R+21.3%, now R+15.3%)
9/21
Mississippi polls jumped 3.5% toward Biden (was R+22.6%, now R+19.1%)
8/13
Mississippi polls jumped 4.9% toward Biden (was R+23.5%, now R+18.6%)