Mississippi
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Mississippi changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Mississippi Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+1.1%
From 2016 Results
+1%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
38.9%
Biden
57.8%
Trump
(+18.9%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 | Data for Progress | B- | LV | 562 | Trump 55 |
Biden 41 |
+14% | +14% | 1 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,336 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | 0.25 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,336 | Trump 55 |
Biden 42 |
+13% | +18% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,369 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | 0.23 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,369 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,346 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | 0.21 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,346 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,342 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | 0.18 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,342 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,116 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | 0.06 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,116 | Trump 56 |
Biden 43 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,900 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,900 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/27/20 10/23-10/26 | Civiqs | B/C | LV | 507 | Trump 55 |
Biden 41 |
+14% | +14% | 0.81 |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,725 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,725 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,705 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,705 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,674 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,674 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,612 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,612 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,541 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,541 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,495 | Trump 61 |
Biden 38 |
+23% | +28% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,495 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,442 | Trump 60 |
Biden 39 |
+21% | +26% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,442 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,404 | Trump 60 |
Biden 39 |
+21% | +26% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,404 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,383 | Trump 60 |
Biden 39 |
+21% | +26% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,383 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,359 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,359 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,290 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,290 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,182 | Trump 60 |
Biden 39 |
+21% | +26% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,182 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,118 | Trump 59 |
Biden 40 |
+19% | +24% | - |
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,118 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,063 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,063 | Trump 52 |
Biden 46 |
+6% | +11% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 425 | Trump 55.7 |
Biden 41.5 |
+14.2% | +19.2% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 425 | Trump 62.9 |
Biden 34.7 |
+28.1% | +33.1% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 733 | Trump 53.9 |
Biden 43.9 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 733 | Trump 59.3 |
Biden 39.1 |
+20.3% | +25.3% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 607 | Trump 54.7 |
Biden 41.3 |
+13.3% | +18.3% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 607 | Trump 61 |
Biden 36 |
+25% | +30% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 782 | Trump 49.1 |
Biden 49.4 |
+0.3% | +4.8% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 782 | Trump 54.9 |
Biden 44.1 |
+10.8% | +15.8% | - |
9/21/20 8/28-8/30 | The Tyson Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 50 |
Biden 40 |
+10% | +10% | - |
8/13/20 7/30-8/9 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | B/C | LV | 600 | Trump 53 |
Biden 43 |
+10% | +11.4% | - |
6/16/20 6/2-6/4 | Millsaps College/Chism Strategies | LV | 568 | Trump 50.4 |
Biden 40.6 |
+9.8% | +9.8% | - | |
4/20/20 4/8-4/9 | Millsaps College/Chism Strategies | LV | 508 | Trump 48.7 |
Biden 38.1 |
+10.6% | +10.6% | - | |
3/5/20 2/26-2/28 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | B+ | RV | 625 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +14.4% | 0.05 |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 57.9 | 40.1 | +17.8% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 55.3 | 43.8 | +11.5% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 56.2 | 43 | +13.2% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 59.5 | 39.8 | +19.7% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 57.6 | 40.7 | +16.9% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 9:40 AM EST11/2
10/27
10/13
10/3
9/21