Nebraska

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 43.3%
Trump
100%
Polls: 54.8% +11.5%
100%



Swing

 
+13.6%
From 2016 Results
+6.4%
From 2016 Polls
 



Testing

Standard Deviation: 1.639 Testing Range: +/- 3.84%






Polls

 
43.3%
Biden
54.8%
Trump (+11.5%)
 



Updates

Last Updated: 10/27 8:45 PM EDT
10/13
Nebraska polls jumped 1.6% toward Biden (was R+15.6%, now R+14%)
10/3
Nebraska polls jumped 1.5% toward Trump (was R+15.3%, now R+16.8%)