Nebraska CD-1

Win Probability

Biden

25.1%

Polls: 46.1%

Trump

74.9%

Polls: 47.9% +1.8%

25.1%

74.9%

+18.9%

From 2016 Results

+21.5%

From 2016 Polls

Standard Deviation: 3.909 Testing Range: +/- 9.11%

0.1%

of the time

46.1%

Biden

47.9%

Trump (+1.8%)

Date	Pollster	Rating	Voters	Sample Size	Republican	Democrat	Diff	Diff (Adj)	Weight
8/10/20 7/16-7/22	Strategies 360	B/C	LV	400	Trump 48	Biden 46	+2%	+1.8%	0.05

Year	Candidates	Republican	Democrat	Diff
2016	Trump v Clinton	56.2	35.5	+20.7%
2012	Romney v Obama	57.4	40.8	+16.6%
2008	McCain v Obama	54.1	44.3	+9.8%
2004	Bush v Kerry	63	36	+27%
2000	Bush v Gore	59	36	+23%

Last Updated: 10/27 9:54 PM EDT

8/1

Nebraska CD-1 changed from Toss Up to Lean Trump

7/31

Nebraska CD-1 changed from Lean Trump to Toss Up

7/26

Nebraska CD-1 changed from Toss Up to Lean Trump

7/25

Nebraska CD-1 changed from Lean Trump to Toss Up

7/22

Nebraska CD-1 changed from Toss Up to Lean Trump