Nebraska CD-2

Last Updated: 11/4 4:52 PM EDT

Winner

Biden

Here you can see how the forecast has in Nebraska CD-2 changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.

Nebraska CD-2 Pre-Election Forecast

Biden

67.5%

Polls: 50% +4.2%

Trump

32.5%

Polls: 45.8%

67.5%

32.5%

+6.5%

From 2016 Results

+11.7%

From 2016 Polls

Standard Deviation: 2.618 Testing Range: +/- 6.12%

0.3%

of the time

50%

Biden (+4.2%)

45.8%

Trump

Date	Pollster	Rating	Voters	Sample Size	Republican	Democrat	Diff	Diff (Adj)	Weight
11/2/20 10/29-11/2	Change Research	C-	LV	547	Trump 47	Biden 50	+3%	+1.8%	0.91
11/2/20 10/30-11/2	University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School		LV	191	Trump 44.3	Biden 50.2	+5.9%	+5.9%	0.73
10/31/20 10/29-10/30	Emerson College	A-	LV	806	Trump 47.8	Biden 50.4	+2.6%	+2.2%	1.14
10/8/20 10/1-10/4	FM3 Research	B/C	LV	450	Trump 42	Biden 53	+11%	+10.4%	0.29
9/28/20 9/25-9/27	Siena College/The New York Times Upshot	A+	LV	420	Trump 41	Biden 48	+7%	+7.4%	0.38
9/18/20 7/27-7/29	Global Strategy Group	B/C	LV	400	Trump 44	Biden 51	+7%	+5.2%	0.05
9/18/20 9/14-9/16	Global Strategy Group	B/C	LV	400	Trump 45	Biden 51	+6%	+4.2%	0.09
7/13/20 6/30-7/5	GQR Research	B	LV	502	Trump 44	Biden 51	+7%	+4.8%	0.05
5/12/20 5/7-5/10	DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department	B/C	LV	448	Trump 41	Biden 52	+11%	+10.8%	-

Year	Candidates	Republican	Democrat	Diff
2016	Trump v Clinton	47.2	44.9	+2.2%
2012	Romney v Obama	52.9	45.7	+7.2%
2008	McCain v Obama	48.8	50	+1.2%
2004	Bush v Kerry	60	38	+22%
2000	Bush v Gore	57	39	+18%

Last Updated: 11/3 12:54 AM EDT

10/31

Nebraska CD-2 polls jumped 3.1% toward Trump (was D+7.9%, now D+4.8%)

7/3

Nebraska CD-2 changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden

7/2

Nebraska CD-2 changed from Lean Biden to Toss Up

6/27

Nebraska CD-2 changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden

6/5

Nebraska CD-2 changed from Lean Biden to Toss Up