Nebraska CD-3

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors
Test Polling Swings see how a swing changes the model

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 19.7%
Trump
100%
Polls: 73.9% +54.2%
100%



Swing

 
+0%
From 2016 Results
+9.8%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
19.7%
Biden
73.9%
Trump (+54.2%)
 



Updates

Last Updated: 10/27 10:42 PM EDT