New York

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Biden

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
100%
Polls: 60.6% +28.6%
Trump
0%
Polls: 32%
100%



Swing

 
+6.1%
From 2016 Results
+10.7%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
60.6%
Biden (+28.6%)
32%
Trump
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,937 Trump
34
Biden
64
+30% +25% 0.16
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,937 Trump
33
Biden
63
+30% +25% -
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,773 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% 0.1
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,773 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,750 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% 0.08
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,750 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% -
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,721 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% 0.06
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,721 Trump
32
Biden
64
+32% +27% -
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,813 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,813 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,873 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,873 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,973 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,973 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,962 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,962 Trump
32
Biden
64
+32% +27% -
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,958 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,958 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,914 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,914 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,878 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/17/20 9/18-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,878 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,675 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,675 Trump
32
Biden
65
+33% +28% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,500 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,500 Trump
32
Biden
64
+32% +27% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,406 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,406 Trump
32
Biden
64
+32% +27% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,405 Trump
33
Biden
64
+31% +26% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,405 Trump
32
Biden
64
+32% +27% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,555 Trump
32
Biden
64.6
+32.6% +27.6% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,555 Trump
33.1
Biden
64.7
+31.6% +26.6% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 10,280 Trump
33.5
Biden
63.3
+29.8% +24.8% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 10,280 Trump
34.4
Biden
63.3
+28.9% +23.9% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 9,969 Trump
33.3
Biden
63.2
+29.9% +24.9% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 9,969 Trump
34.1
Biden
63.5
+29.4% +24.4% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 10,007 Trump
32.9
Biden
63.7
+30.8% +25.8% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 10,007 Trump
33.5
Biden
64
+30.5% +25.5% -
10/2/20 9/27-9/29 Siena College A- LV 504 Trump
29
Biden
61
+32% +32.8% 0.45
8/25/20 8/21-8/22 Public Policy Polling B V 1,029 Trump
32
Biden
63
+31% +30.6% 0.14
6/30/20 6/23-6/25 Siena College A- RV 806 Trump
32
Biden
57
+25% +25.8% 0.13
5/27/20 5/17-5/21 Siena College A- RV 796 Trump
32
Biden
57
+25% +25.8% 0.12
5/6/20 4/30-5/4 Quinnipiac University B+ RV 915 Trump
32
Biden
55
+23% +22.8% -
4/27/20 4/19-4/23 Siena College A- RV 803 Trump
29
Biden
65
+36% +36.8% 0.12
3/30/20 3/22-3/26 Siena College A- RV 566 Trump
33
Biden
58
+25% +25.8% 0.1
2/24/20 2/16-2/20 Siena College A- RV 658 Trump
36
Biden
55
+19% +19.8% 0.11


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 36.5 59 +22.5%
2012 Romney v Obama 35.2 63.4 +28.2%
2008 McCain v Obama 36 62.9 +26.9%
2004 Bush v Kerry 40.1 58.4 +18.3%
2000 Bush v Gore 35.2 60.2 +25%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/28 11:33 AM EDT
10/2
New York polls jumped 2.1% toward Biden (was D+27.3%, now D+29.4%)
8/25
New York polls jumped 1.7% toward Biden (was D+26.4%, now D+28.1%)