Oklahoma

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 36.2%
Trump
100%
Polls: 60.2% +24%
100%



Swing

 
+12.4%
From 2016 Results
+1%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
36.2%
Biden
60.2%
Trump (+24%)
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- LV 3,082 Trump
59
Biden
40
+19% +24% 0.15
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- RV 3,082 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,790 Trump
59
Biden
40
+19% +24% 0.11
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,790 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,762 Trump
59
Biden
40
+19% +24% 0.09
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,762 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,746 Trump
59
Biden
40
+19% +24% 0.08
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,746 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,670 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% 0.05
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,670 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/23/20 8/13-8/31 SoonerPoll B/C LV 379 Trump
59.6
Biden
34.7
+24.9% +26.9% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,471 Trump
58
Biden
41
+17% +22% 0.04
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,471 Trump
57
Biden
42
+15% +20% -
10/21/20 10/15-10/20 SoonerPoll B/C LV 5,466 Trump
58.5
Biden
36.5
+22% +24% 0.91
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,380 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,380 Trump
57
Biden
42
+15% +20% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,289 Trump
58
Biden
41
+17% +22% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,289 Trump
56
Biden
42
+14% +19% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,196 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,196 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,144 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,144 Trump
56
Biden
42
+14% +19% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,102 Trump
58
Biden
41
+17% +22% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,102 Trump
56
Biden
42
+14% +19% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,015 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,015 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,882 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,882 Trump
57
Biden
41
+16% +21% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,804 Trump
59
Biden
40
+19% +24% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,804 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,683 Trump
60
Biden
39
+21% +26% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,683 Trump
58
Biden
40
+18% +23% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 591 Trump
58.3
Biden
39.9
+18.4% +23.4% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 591 Trump
61.4
Biden
37
+24.4% +29.4% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,410 Trump
62.3
Biden
35.4
+26.9% +31.9% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,410 Trump
64.2
Biden
34.4
+29.8% +34.8% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,009 Trump
61.9
Biden
35.8
+26.1% +31.1% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,009 Trump
63.8
Biden
34.6
+29.1% +34.1% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,174 Trump
61.8
Biden
35.9
+25.9% +30.9% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,174 Trump
63.1
Biden
35.2
+27.9% +32.9% -
9/24/20 9/17-9/20 Amber Integrated LV 500 Trump
55
Biden
33
+22% +22% -
9/9/20 9/2-9/8 SoonerPoll B/C LV 486 Trump
59.6
Biden
35.2
+24.4% +26.4% 0.07
8/6/20 7/29-7/30 DFM Research B/C LV 572 Trump
56
Biden
36
+20% +21.6% -
6/8/20 6/3-6/4 Amber Integrated LV 500 Trump
55
Biden
36
+19% +19% -
3/11/20 3/5-3/8 Amber Integrated LV 500 Trump
57
Biden
33
+24% +24% -
2/18/20 2/10-2/13 Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates B/C RV 500 Trump
62
Biden
34
+28% +28.2% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 65.3 28.9 +36.4%
2012 Romney v Obama 66.8 33.2 +33.5%
2008 McCain v Obama 65.7 34.4 +31.3%
2004 Bush v Kerry 65.6 34.4 +31.1%
2000 Bush v Gore 60.3 38.4 +21.9%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/28 11:04 AM EDT
10/3
Oklahoma polls jumped 2% toward Biden (was R+28.1%, now R+26.1%)
9/24
Oklahoma polls jumped 2% toward Biden (was R+28.9%, now R+26.9%)