Oklahoma
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Oklahoma changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Oklahoma Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+7.5%
From 2016 Results
+5.9%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
34.2%
Biden
63.1%
Trump
(+28.9%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,745 | Trump 64 |
Biden 35 |
+29% | +34% | 0.26 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,745 | Trump 62 |
Biden 36 |
+26% | +31% | - |
11/1/20 10/17-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,880 | Trump 64 |
Biden 35 |
+29% | +34% | 0.22 |
11/1/20 10/17-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,880 | Trump 62 |
Biden 36 |
+26% | +31% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,865 | Trump 63 |
Biden 36 |
+27% | +32% | 0.21 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,865 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,866 | Trump 64 |
Biden 35 |
+29% | +34% | 0.19 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,866 | Trump 62 |
Biden 37 |
+25% | +30% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,191 | Trump 59 |
Biden 40 |
+19% | +24% | 0.07 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,191 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,082 | Trump 59 |
Biden 40 |
+19% | +24% | 0.05 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,082 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,790 | Trump 59 |
Biden 40 |
+19% | +24% | 0.02 |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,790 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,762 | Trump 59 |
Biden 40 |
+19% | +24% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,762 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,746 | Trump 59 |
Biden 40 |
+19% | +24% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,746 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,670 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,670 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/23/20 8/13-8/31 | SoonerPoll | B/C | LV | 379 | Trump 59.6 |
Biden 34.7 |
+24.9% | +26.9% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,471 | Trump 58 |
Biden 41 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,471 | Trump 57 |
Biden 42 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/21/20 10/15-10/20 | SoonerPoll | B/C | LV | 5,466 | Trump 58.5 |
Biden 36.5 |
+22% | +24% | 0.71 |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,380 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,380 | Trump 57 |
Biden 42 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,289 | Trump 58 |
Biden 41 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,289 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,196 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,196 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,144 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,144 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,102 | Trump 58 |
Biden 41 |
+17% | +22% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,102 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,015 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,015 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,882 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,882 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,804 | Trump 59 |
Biden 40 |
+19% | +24% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,804 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,683 | Trump 60 |
Biden 39 |
+21% | +26% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,683 | Trump 58 |
Biden 40 |
+18% | +23% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 591 | Trump 58.3 |
Biden 39.9 |
+18.4% | +23.4% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 591 | Trump 61.4 |
Biden 37 |
+24.4% | +29.4% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,410 | Trump 62.3 |
Biden 35.4 |
+26.9% | +31.9% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,410 | Trump 64.2 |
Biden 34.4 |
+29.8% | +34.8% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,009 | Trump 61.9 |
Biden 35.8 |
+26.1% | +31.1% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,009 | Trump 63.8 |
Biden 34.6 |
+29.1% | +34.1% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,174 | Trump 61.8 |
Biden 35.9 |
+25.9% | +30.9% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,174 | Trump 63.1 |
Biden 35.2 |
+27.9% | +32.9% | - |
9/24/20 9/17-9/20 | Amber Integrated | LV | 500 | Trump 55 |
Biden 33 |
+22% | +22% | - | |
9/9/20 9/2-9/8 | SoonerPoll | B/C | LV | 486 | Trump 59.6 |
Biden 35.2 |
+24.4% | +26.4% | - |
8/6/20 7/29-7/30 | DFM Research | B/C | LV | 572 | Trump 56 |
Biden 36 |
+20% | +21.6% | - |
6/8/20 6/3-6/4 | Amber Integrated | LV | 500 | Trump 55 |
Biden 36 |
+19% | +19% | - | |
3/11/20 3/5-3/8 | Amber Integrated | LV | 500 | Trump 57 |
Biden 33 |
+24% | +24% | - | |
2/18/20 2/10-2/13 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | B/C | RV | 500 | Trump 62 |
Biden 34 |
+28% | +28.2% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 65.3 | 28.9 | +36.4% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 66.8 | 33.2 | +33.5% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 65.7 | 34.4 | +31.3% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 65.6 | 34.4 | +31.1% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 60.3 | 38.4 | +21.9% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 2:15 AM EST10/30
10/3
9/24