Oregon
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 5/15 1:11 AM EDTWinner
Biden
Election Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Oregon changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Oregon Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Biden
100%
Polls: 57.8%
+17.9%
Trump
0%
Polls: 39.9%
Swing
+6.9%
From 2016 Results
+7.2%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
57.8%
Biden
(+17.9%)
39.9%
Trump
| Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/2/20 10/23-11/1 | Swayable | D- | LV | 324 | Trump 37.2 |
Biden 60.4 |
+23.2% | +23.2% | 0.49 |
| 11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,252 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | 0.27 |
| 11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,252 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,451 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | 0.25 |
| 11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,451 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,468 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | 0.22 |
| 10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,468 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,425 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | 0.19 |
| 10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,425 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,422 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | 0.07 |
| 10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,422 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/28/20 9/29-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 5,193 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | 0.04 |
| 10/28/20 9/29-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 5,193 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,932 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
| 10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,932 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,862 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
| 10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,862 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,803 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,803 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,716 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,716 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,512 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,512 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | - |
| 10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 4,175 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 4,175 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | - |
| 10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,909 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,909 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | - |
| 10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,754 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,754 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | - |
| 10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,689 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,689 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | - |
| 10/17/20 9/18-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,607 | Trump 38 |
Biden 61 |
+23% | +18% | - |
| 10/17/20 9/18-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,607 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,444 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,444 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,273 | Trump 39 |
Biden 60 |
+21% | +16% | - |
| 10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,273 | Trump 40 |
Biden 59 |
+19% | +14% | - |
| 10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,041 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,041 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,902 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
| 10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,902 | Trump 39 |
Biden 59 |
+20% | +15% | - |
| 10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 872 | Trump 38.2 |
Biden 59 |
+20.8% | +15.8% | - |
| 10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 872 | Trump 39.2 |
Biden 58.6 |
+19.4% | +14.4% | - |
| 10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,890 | Trump 38.9 |
Biden 59.7 |
+20.8% | +15.8% | - |
| 10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,890 | Trump 37.8 |
Biden 61.1 |
+23.3% | +18.3% | - |
| 10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,648 | Trump 37 |
Biden 59.8 |
+22.8% | +17.8% | - |
| 10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,648 | Trump 37.7 |
Biden 60.2 |
+22.5% | +17.5% | - |
| 10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 2,109 | Trump 37.9 |
Biden 59.5 |
+21.6% | +16.6% | - |
| 10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 2,109 | Trump 37.5 |
Biden 60.6 |
+23.1% | +18.1% | - |
| 9/30/20 9/26-9/29 | Civiqs | B/C | LV | 944 | Trump 39 |
Biden 56 |
+17% | +17% | 0.23 |
| 9/11/20 9/3-9/8 | DHM Research | B/C | LV | 502 | Trump 39 |
Biden 51 |
+12% | +12.2% | - |
Past Results
| Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Trump v Clinton | 39.1 | 50.1 | +11% |
| 2012 | Romney v Obama | 42.2 | 54.2 | +12.1% |
| 2008 | McCain v Obama | 40.4 | 56.8 | +16.4% |
| 2004 | Bush v Kerry | 47.2 | 51.4 | +4.2% |
| 2000 | Bush v Gore | 46.5 | 47 | +0.4% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 4:13 AM EDT11/2
9/2
