Pennsylvania

Last Updated: 11/3 9:14 PM EDT 16% Reporting

Biden

Vote: 64.1% +29%

Polls: 50.2% +4.6%

Trump

Vote: 35.1%

Polls: 45.6%

93.1% Chance of Winning

6.9%

Here you can see how the forecast has in Pennsylvania changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.

Pennsylvania Pre-Election Forecast

Biden

89.3%

Polls: 50.3% +4.8%

Trump

10.7%

Polls: 45.5%

89.3%

10.7%

+5.5%

From 2016 Results

+1.8%

From 2016 Polls

Standard Deviation: 1.823 Testing Range: +/- 4.22%

51.8%

of the time

50.3%

Biden (+4.8%)

45.5%

Trump

Last Updated: 11/2 11:45 PM EDT

9/28

Pennsylvania changed from Lean Biden to Likely Biden

6/25

Pennsylvania polls jumped 2.5% toward Biden (was D+3.8%, now D+6.3%)

Pennsylvania changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden

6/3

Pennsylvania polls jumped 1.9% toward Trump (was D+5.2%, now D+3.3%)