Rhode Island

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Biden

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
100%
Polls: 65.6% +32.2%
Trump
0%
Polls: 33.4%
100%



Swing

 
+16.7%
From 2016 Results
+18.7%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
65.6%
Biden (+32.2%)
33.4%
Trump
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 842 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% 0.13
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 842 Trump
30
Biden
68
+38% +33% -
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 835 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% 0.11
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 835 Trump
30
Biden
68
+38% +33% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 820 Trump
30
Biden
69
+39% +34% 0.09
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 820 Trump
30
Biden
68
+38% +33% -
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 786 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% 0.07
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 786 Trump
30
Biden
68
+38% +33% -
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 760 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% 0.06
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 760 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 716 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% 0.04
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 716 Trump
30
Biden
68
+38% +33% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 678 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% 0.02
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 678 Trump
31
Biden
67
+36% +31% -
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 654 Trump
32
Biden
68
+36% +31% 0.01
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 654 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 645 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 645 Trump
31
Biden
67
+36% +31% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 631 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 631 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 580 Trump
31
Biden
68
+37% +32% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 580 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 537 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 537 Trump
33
Biden
66
+33% +28% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 514 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 514 Trump
33
Biden
66
+33% +28% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 488 Trump
32
Biden
67
+35% +30% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 488 Trump
33
Biden
65
+32% +27% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 176 Trump
39.2
Biden
60
+20.8% +15.8% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 176 Trump
39.6
Biden
59.7
+20.1% +15.1% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 253 Trump
40.1
Biden
58.7
+18.5% +13.5% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 253 Trump
38.9
Biden
60.1
+21.2% +16.2% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 208 Trump
40.6
Biden
56.5
+15.9% +10.9% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 208 Trump
40.6
Biden
56.5
+16% +11% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 351 Trump
40.6
Biden
58.8
+18.3% +13.3% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 351 Trump
37.5
Biden
62.2
+24.7% +19.7% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 38.9 54.4 +15.5%
2012 Romney v Obama 35.2 62.7 +27.5%
2008 McCain v Obama 35.1 62.9 +27.8%
2004 Bush v Kerry 38.7 59.4 +20.8%
2000 Bush v Gore 31.9 61 +29.1%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/27 11:24 PM EDT
10/19
Rhode Island polls jumped 1.5% toward Biden (was D+28.9%, now D+30.4%)
10/17
Rhode Island polls jumped 1.6% toward Biden (was D+25.9%, now D+27.5%)
10/14
Rhode Island polls jumped 4.3% toward Biden (was D+20.1%, now D+24.4%)
10/13
Rhode Island polls jumped 6.3% toward Biden (was D+13.8%, now D+20.1%)