Rhode Island
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 11/5 5:30 PM EDTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Rhode Island changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Rhode Island Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Swing
+7.9%
From 2016 Results
+9.9%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
60.8%
Biden
(+23.4%)
37.4%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 517 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | 0.23 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 517 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 551 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | 0.22 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 551 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 547 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | 0.2 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 547 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 569 | Trump 35 |
Biden 63 |
+28% | +23% | 0.18 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 569 | Trump 34 |
Biden 63 |
+29% | +24% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 910 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | 0.07 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 910 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 863 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | 0.05 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 863 | Trump 30 |
Biden 67 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 842 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | 0.01 |
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 842 | Trump 30 |
Biden 68 |
+38% | +33% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 835 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | 0.01 |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 835 | Trump 30 |
Biden 68 |
+38% | +33% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 820 | Trump 30 |
Biden 69 |
+39% | +34% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 820 | Trump 30 |
Biden 68 |
+38% | +33% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 786 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 786 | Trump 30 |
Biden 68 |
+38% | +33% | - |
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 760 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/22/20 9/23-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 760 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 716 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 716 | Trump 30 |
Biden 68 |
+38% | +33% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 678 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 678 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 654 | Trump 32 |
Biden 68 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 654 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 645 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 645 | Trump 31 |
Biden 67 |
+36% | +31% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 631 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 631 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 580 | Trump 31 |
Biden 68 |
+37% | +32% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 580 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 537 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 537 | Trump 33 |
Biden 66 |
+33% | +28% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 514 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 514 | Trump 33 |
Biden 66 |
+33% | +28% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 488 | Trump 32 |
Biden 67 |
+35% | +30% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 488 | Trump 33 |
Biden 65 |
+32% | +27% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 176 | Trump 39.2 |
Biden 60 |
+20.8% | +15.8% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 176 | Trump 39.6 |
Biden 59.7 |
+20.1% | +15.1% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 253 | Trump 40.1 |
Biden 58.7 |
+18.5% | +13.5% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 253 | Trump 38.9 |
Biden 60.1 |
+21.2% | +16.2% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 208 | Trump 40.6 |
Biden 56.5 |
+15.9% | +10.9% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 208 | Trump 40.6 |
Biden 56.5 |
+16% | +11% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 351 | Trump 40.6 |
Biden 58.8 |
+18.3% | +13.3% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 351 | Trump 37.5 |
Biden 62.2 |
+24.7% | +19.7% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 38.9 | 54.4 | +15.5% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 35.2 | 62.7 | +27.5% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 35.1 | 62.9 | +27.8% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 38.7 | 59.4 | +20.8% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 31.9 | 61 | +29.1% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 12:27 AM EDT11/1
10/31
10/30
10/19
10/17