South Dakota
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in South Dakota changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
South Dakota Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+10.2%
From 2016 Results
+1.9%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
37.6%
Biden
57.2%
Trump
(+19.6%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/24-10/28 | Nielson Brothers Polling | C/D | LV | 484 | Trump 55 |
Biden 40 |
+15% | +18% | 0.68 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 556 | Trump 62 |
Biden 36 |
+26% | +31% | 0.23 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 556 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 597 | Trump 62 |
Biden 36 |
+26% | +31% | 0.21 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 597 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 594 | Trump 61 |
Biden 37 |
+24% | +29% | 0.19 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 594 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38 |
+22% | +27% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 609 | Trump 61 |
Biden 38 |
+23% | +28% | 0.17 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 609 | Trump 59 |
Biden 39 |
+20% | +25% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,098 | Trump 57 |
Biden 41 |
+16% | +21% | 0.06 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,098 | Trump 56 |
Biden 41 |
+15% | +20% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,066 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | 0.04 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,066 | Trump 55 |
Biden 42 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 964 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 964 | Trump 54 |
Biden 43 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 948 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 948 | Trump 54 |
Biden 43 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/25/20 10/19-10/21 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | B+ | LV | 625 | Trump 51 |
Biden 40 |
+11% | +10.4% | 0.74 |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 928 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 928 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 910 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 910 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 847 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 847 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 828 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 828 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 817 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 817 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 785 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 785 | Trump 53 |
Biden 45 |
+8% | +13% | - |
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 773 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/18/20 9/19-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 773 | Trump 54 |
Biden 43 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 766 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 766 | Trump 55 |
Biden 43 |
+12% | +17% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 723 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 723 | Trump 54 |
Biden 43 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 669 | Trump 54 |
Biden 44 |
+10% | +15% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 669 | Trump 54 |
Biden 43 |
+11% | +16% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 622 | Trump 56 |
Biden 43 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 622 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 547 | Trump 56 |
Biden 43 |
+13% | +18% | - |
10/13/20 9/14-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 547 | Trump 56 |
Biden 42 |
+14% | +19% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 160 | Trump 60.7 |
Biden 37.1 |
+23.5% | +28.5% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 160 | Trump 60.8 |
Biden 37.5 |
+23.3% | +28.3% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 396 | Trump 63.9 |
Biden 33.5 |
+30.4% | +35.4% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 396 | Trump 62.5 |
Biden 35.2 |
+27.3% | +32.3% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 277 | Trump 59.1 |
Biden 38.2 |
+20.9% | +25.9% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 277 | Trump 59.2 |
Biden 38.3 |
+20.9% | +25.9% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 354 | Trump 60 |
Biden 38.5 |
+21.6% | +26.6% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 354 | Trump 58.2 |
Biden 40.7 |
+17.5% | +22.5% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 61.5 | 31.7 | +29.8% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 57.9 | 39.9 | +18% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 53.2 | 44.8 | +8.4% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 59.9 | 38.4 | +21.5% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 60.3 | 37.6 | +22.7% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 10:08 AM EST11/1
10/31
10/30
10/25
10/18