Washington

Safe Biden

Win Probability

Swing

Polls

Date	Pollster	Rating	Voters	Sample Size	Republican	Democrat	Diff	Diff (Adj)	Weight
10/26/20 9/27-10/25	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,360	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	0.11
10/26/20 9/27-10/25	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,360	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/25/20 9/26-10/24	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,371	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	0.09
10/25/20 9/26-10/24	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,371	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/24/20 9/25-10/23	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,382	Trump 37	Biden 62	+25%	+20%	0.07
10/24/20 9/25-10/23	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,382	Trump 36	Biden 61	+25%	+20%	-
10/23/20 9/24-10/22	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,493	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/23/20 9/24-10/22	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,493	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/22/20 9/24-10/21	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,528	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/22/20 9/24-10/21	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,528	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/21/20 9/22-10/20	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,521	Trump 37	Biden 62	+25%	+20%	-
10/21/20 9/22-10/20	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,521	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/20/20 9/22-10/19	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,652	Trump 37	Biden 62	+25%	+20%	-
10/20/20 9/22-10/19	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,652	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/19/20 9/20-10/18	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,668	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/19/20 9/20-10/18	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,668	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/19/20 10/14-10/15	Public Policy Polling	B	LV	610	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+22.6%	0.72
10/18/20 9/20-10/17	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,667	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/18/20 9/20-10/17	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,667	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/17/20 9/19-10/16	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,677	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/17/20 9/19-10/16	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,677	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/16/20 9/17-10/15	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,733	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/16/20 9/17-10/15	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,733	Trump 38	Biden 60	+22%	+17%	-
10/15/20 9/17-10/14	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,781	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/15/20 9/17-10/14	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,781	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/14/20 9/15-10/13	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,664	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/14/20 9/15-10/13	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,664	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/13/20 9/15-10/12	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,731	Trump 37	Biden 61	+24%	+19%	-
10/13/20 9/15-10/12	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,731	Trump 37	Biden 60	+23%	+18%	-
10/12/20 10/8-10/12	SurveyUSA	A	LV	591	Trump 34	Biden 55	+21%	+20.8%	0.71
10/3/20 6/8-6/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	3,939	Trump 37.4	Biden 60.2	+22.8%	+17.8%	-
10/3/20 6/8-6/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	3,939	Trump 36.7	Biden 61.6	+24.9%	+19.9%	-
10/3/20 7/1-7/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,691	Trump 36.7	Biden 61.2	+24.5%	+19.5%	-
10/3/20 7/1-7/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,691	Trump 36.8	Biden 61.5	+24.7%	+19.7%	-
10/3/20 8/1-8/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,489	Trump 37.7	Biden 59.7	+22%	+17%	-
10/3/20 8/1-8/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,489	Trump 37.5	Biden 60.7	+23.2%	+18.2%	-
10/2/20 9/1-9/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	7,953	Trump 35	Biden 62.9	+27.9%	+22.9%	-
10/2/20 9/1-9/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	7,953	Trump 34.7	Biden 63.6	+28.9%	+23.9%	-
9/22/20 9/8-9/14	Strategies 360	B/C	RV	501	Trump 36	Biden 58	+22%	+22.2%	0.18
7/28/20 7/22-7/27	SurveyUSA	A	LV	534	Trump 28	Biden 62	+34%	+33.8%	0.09
5/22/20 5/19-5/20	Public Policy Polling	B	LV	1,070	Trump 37	Biden 59	+22%	+21.6%	-
5/21/20 5/16-5/19	SurveyUSA	A	LV	530	Trump 31	Biden 57	+26%	+25.8%	-
4/20/20 3/31-4/6	EMC Research		RV	473	Trump 39	Biden 52	+13%	+13%	-
3/10/20 3/4-3/6	SurveyUSA	A	RV	992	Trump 34	Biden 57	+23%	+22.8%	0.15
10/31/19 10/22-10/23	Public Policy Polling	B	LV	900	Trump 37	Biden 59	+22%	+21.6%	-
8/16/19 7/22-8/1	Zogby Analytics	C+	LV	1,265	Trump 30.7	Biden 51.9	+21.2%	+21.8%	-

Past Results

Year	Candidates	Republican	Democrat	Diff
2016	Trump v Clinton	36.8	52.5	+15.7%
2012	Romney v Obama	41.3	56.2	+14.9%
2008	McCain v Obama	40.5	57.7	+17.2%
2004	Bush v Kerry	45.6	52.8	+7.2%
2000	Bush v Gore	44.6	50.2	+5.6%

Updates

Last Updated: 10/28 10:01 AM EDT