Washington
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 1/26 6:25 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in Washington changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
Washington Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Biden
Win Probability
Swing
+6%
From 2016 Results
+9.4%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
58.4%
Biden
(+21.7%)
36.7%
Trump
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/23-11/1 | Swayable | D- | LV | 489 | Trump 38.6 |
Biden 58.9 |
+20.3% | +20.3% | 0.51 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,666 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | 0.26 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,666 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,931 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | 0.24 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,931 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,899 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | 0.21 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,899 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,911 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | 0.19 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,911 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62 |
+27% | +22% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,424 | Trump 36 |
Biden 62 |
+26% | +21% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,424 | Trump 36 |
Biden 61 |
+25% | +20% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,406 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,406 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,360 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,360 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,371 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,371 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,382 | Trump 37 |
Biden 62 |
+25% | +20% | - |
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,382 | Trump 36 |
Biden 61 |
+25% | +20% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,493 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,493 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,528 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,528 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,521 | Trump 37 |
Biden 62 |
+25% | +20% | - |
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,521 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,652 | Trump 37 |
Biden 62 |
+25% | +20% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,652 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,668 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/19/20 9/20-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,668 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/19/20 10/14-10/15 | Public Policy Polling | B | LV | 610 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +22.6% | 0.59 |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,667 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,667 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,677 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,677 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,733 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/16/20 9/17-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,733 | Trump 38 |
Biden 60 |
+22% | +17% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,781 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,781 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,664 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/14/20 9/15-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,664 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,731 | Trump 37 |
Biden 61 |
+24% | +19% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,731 | Trump 37 |
Biden 60 |
+23% | +18% | - |
10/12/20 10/8-10/12 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 591 | Trump 34 |
Biden 55 |
+21% | +20.8% | 0.57 |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 3,939 | Trump 37.4 |
Biden 60.2 |
+22.8% | +17.8% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 3,939 | Trump 36.7 |
Biden 61.6 |
+24.9% | +19.9% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,691 | Trump 36.7 |
Biden 61.2 |
+24.5% | +19.5% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,691 | Trump 36.8 |
Biden 61.5 |
+24.7% | +19.7% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,489 | Trump 37.7 |
Biden 59.7 |
+22% | +17% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,489 | Trump 37.5 |
Biden 60.7 |
+23.2% | +18.2% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 7,953 | Trump 35 |
Biden 62.9 |
+27.9% | +22.9% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 7,953 | Trump 34.7 |
Biden 63.6 |
+28.9% | +23.9% | - |
9/22/20 9/8-9/14 | Strategies 360 | B/C | RV | 501 | Trump 36 |
Biden 58 |
+22% | +22.2% | 0.11 |
7/28/20 7/22-7/27 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 534 | Trump 28 |
Biden 62 |
+34% | +33.8% | 0.06 |
5/22/20 5/19-5/20 | Public Policy Polling | B | LV | 1,070 | Trump 37 |
Biden 59 |
+22% | +21.6% | - |
5/21/20 5/16-5/19 | SurveyUSA | A | LV | 530 | Trump 31 |
Biden 57 |
+26% | +25.8% | - |
4/20/20 3/31-4/6 | EMC Research | RV | 473 | Trump 39 |
Biden 52 |
+13% | +13% | - | |
3/10/20 3/4-3/6 | SurveyUSA | A | RV | 992 | Trump 34 |
Biden 57 |
+23% | +22.8% | 0.13 |
10/31/19 10/22-10/23 | Public Policy Polling | B | LV | 900 | Trump 37 |
Biden 59 |
+22% | +21.6% | - |
8/16/19 7/22-8/1 | Zogby Analytics | C+ | LV | 1,265 | Trump 30.7 |
Biden 51.9 |
+21.2% | +21.8% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 36.8 | 52.5 | +15.7% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 41.3 | 56.2 | +14.9% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 40.5 | 57.7 | +17.2% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 45.6 | 52.8 | +7.2% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 44.6 | 50.2 | +5.6% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 7:30 AM EST10/12
7/28
4/18