West Virginia

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 36%
Trump
100%
Polls: 59.6% +23.6%
100%



Swing

 
+18.5%
From 2016 Results
+2.1%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
36%
Biden
59.6%
Trump (+23.6%)
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,315 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.14
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,315 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,271 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.1
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,271 Trump
65
Biden
33
+32% +37% -
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,250 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.08
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,250 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,223 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.06
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,223 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,203 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.05
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,203 Trump
65
Biden
33
+32% +37% -
10/23/20 10/19-10/20 Triton Polling & Research LV 544 Trump
58
Biden
37.9
+20.1% +20.1% 0.55
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,154 Trump
67
Biden
32
+35% +40% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,154 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,115 Trump
67
Biden
32
+35% +40% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,115 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,075 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,075 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,020 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,020 Trump
65
Biden
34
+31% +36% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,002 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,002 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 972 Trump
63
Biden
35
+28% +33% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 972 Trump
63
Biden
35
+28% +33% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 914 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 914 Trump
63
Biden
34
+29% +34% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 857 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 857 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 824 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 824 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 771 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 771 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/13/20 10/1-10/6 Research America Inc. B/C LV 450 Trump
53
Biden
39
+14% +14.2% 0.4
10/7/20 9/29-9/30 Triton Polling & Research RV 525 Trump
56
Biden
38
+18% +18% 0.1
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 264 Trump
70.3
Biden
28.2
+42.1% +47.1% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 264 Trump
71.7
Biden
27.1
+44.6% +49.6% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 494 Trump
66.4
Biden
31.5
+34.9% +39.9% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 494 Trump
67.3
Biden
31.8
+35.5% +40.5% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 496 Trump
65.3
Biden
31.4
+33.9% +38.9% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 496 Trump
65.2
Biden
32.5
+32.7% +37.7% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 516 Trump
62.4
Biden
35.9
+26.5% +31.5% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 516 Trump
62.3
Biden
36
+26.3% +31.3% -
1/15/20 1/7-1/9 WPA Intelligence B/C LV 500 Trump
66
Biden
31
+35% +34.2% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 68.5 26.4 +42.1%
2012 Romney v Obama 62.3 35.5 +26.8%
2008 McCain v Obama 55.7 42.6 +13.1%
2004 Bush v Kerry 56.1 43.2 +12.9%
2000 Bush v Gore 51.9 45.6 +6.3%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/28 10:45 AM EDT
10/23
West Virginia polls jumped 2.1% toward Biden (was R+25.1%, now R+23%)
10/13
West Virginia polls jumped 5.6% toward Biden (was R+26.4%, now R+20.8%)
10/7
West Virginia polls jumped 12.1% toward Biden (was R+37.6%, now R+25.5%)
10/3
West Virginia polls jumped 3.5% toward Biden (was R+40.7%, now R+37.2%)