West Virginia
Live Election Night Forecast
Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM ESTElection Night Forecast Changes
Here you can see how the forecast has in West Virginia changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.
West Virginia Pre-Election Forecast
Safe Trump
Win Probability
Swing
+12.6%
From 2016 Results
+3.8%
From 2016 Polls
Polls
33.6%
Biden
63.1%
Trump
(+29.5%)
Date | Pollster | Rating | Voters | Sample Size | Republican | Democrat | Diff | Diff (Adj) | Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 738 | Trump 67 |
Biden 32 |
+35% | +40% | 0.24 |
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 738 | Trump 67 |
Biden 31 |
+36% | +41% | - |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 798 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | 0.22 |
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 798 | Trump 67 |
Biden 32 |
+35% | +40% | - |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 805 | Trump 66 |
Biden 32 |
+34% | +39% | 0.2 |
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 805 | Trump 67 |
Biden 32 |
+35% | +40% | - |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 791 | Trump 67 |
Biden 32 |
+35% | +40% | 0.18 |
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 791 | Trump 67 |
Biden 32 |
+35% | +40% | - |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,359 | Trump 66 |
Biden 32 |
+34% | +39% | 0.06 |
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,359 | Trump 66 |
Biden 32 |
+34% | +39% | - |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,315 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | 0.04 |
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,315 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,271 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,271 | Trump 65 |
Biden 33 |
+32% | +37% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,250 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/25/20 9/27-10/24 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,250 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,223 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,223 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,203 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/23/20 9/24-10/22 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,203 | Trump 65 |
Biden 33 |
+32% | +37% | - |
10/23/20 10/19-10/20 | Triton Polling & Research | LV | 544 | Trump 58 |
Biden 37.9 |
+20.1% | +20.1% | 0.41 | |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,154 | Trump 67 |
Biden 32 |
+35% | +40% | - |
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,154 | Trump 66 |
Biden 32 |
+34% | +39% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,115 | Trump 67 |
Biden 32 |
+35% | +40% | - |
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,115 | Trump 66 |
Biden 32 |
+34% | +39% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,075 | Trump 66 |
Biden 32 |
+34% | +39% | - |
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,075 | Trump 66 |
Biden 32 |
+34% | +39% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,020 | Trump 66 |
Biden 33 |
+33% | +38% | - |
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,020 | Trump 65 |
Biden 34 |
+31% | +36% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 1,002 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 1,002 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 972 | Trump 63 |
Biden 35 |
+28% | +33% | - |
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 972 | Trump 63 |
Biden 35 |
+28% | +33% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 914 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 914 | Trump 63 |
Biden 34 |
+29% | +34% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 857 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 857 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 824 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 824 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 771 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 771 | Trump 64 |
Biden 34 |
+30% | +35% | - |
10/13/20 10/1-10/6 | Research America Inc. | B/C | LV | 450 | Trump 53 |
Biden 39 |
+14% | +14.2% | 0.32 |
10/7/20 9/29-9/30 | Triton Polling & Research | RV | 525 | Trump 56 |
Biden 38 |
+18% | +18% | - | |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 264 | Trump 70.3 |
Biden 28.2 |
+42.1% | +47.1% | - |
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 264 | Trump 71.7 |
Biden 27.1 |
+44.6% | +49.6% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 494 | Trump 66.4 |
Biden 31.5 |
+34.9% | +39.9% | - |
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 494 | Trump 67.3 |
Biden 31.8 |
+35.5% | +40.5% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 496 | Trump 65.3 |
Biden 31.4 |
+33.9% | +38.9% | - |
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 496 | Trump 65.2 |
Biden 32.5 |
+32.7% | +37.7% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | RV | 516 | Trump 62.4 |
Biden 35.9 |
+26.5% | +31.5% | - |
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 | SurveyMonkey | D- | LV | 516 | Trump 62.3 |
Biden 36 |
+26.3% | +31.3% | - |
1/15/20 1/7-1/9 | WPA Intelligence | B/C | LV | 500 | Trump 66 |
Biden 31 |
+35% | +34.2% | - |
Past Results
Year | Candidates | Republican | Democrat | Diff |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016 | Trump v Clinton | 68.5 | 26.4 | +42.1% |
2012 | Romney v Obama | 62.3 | 35.5 | +26.8% |
2008 | McCain v Obama | 55.7 | 42.6 | +13.1% |
2004 | Bush v Kerry | 56.1 | 43.2 | +12.9% |
2000 | Bush v Gore | 51.9 | 45.6 | +6.3% |
Updates
Last Updated: 11/3 9:14 AM EST11/1
10/30
10/23
10/13
10/7