Wisconsin

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 11/4 6:38 AM EDT 89% Reporting
Biden
Trump
Biden
Vote: 49.2% +0.2%
Polls: 51.4% +7.3%
Trump
Vote: 49%
Polls: 44.1%
85.4% Chance of Winning
14.6%  

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Wisconsin changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.




Wisconsin Pre-Election Forecast

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors
Test Polling Swings see how a swing changes the model

Likely Biden

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
97.7%
Polls: 51.4% +7.3%
Trump
2.3%
Polls: 44.1%
97.7%
2.3%



Swing

 
+8%
From 2016 Results
+1.5%
From 2016 Polls
 



Testing

Standard Deviation: 1.697 Testing Range: +/- 3.96%




Tipping Point



4.7%
of the time





Polls

 
51.4%
Biden (+7.3%)
44.1%
Trump
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 Swayable D- LV 253 Trump
44.9		 Biden
54.6		 +9.7% +9.7% 0.45
11/2/20 10/9-10/10 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 613 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +4% -
11/2/20 10/10-10/13 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 691 Trump
40		 Biden
53		 +13% +13% -
11/2/20 10/26-10/29 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 800 Trump
41		 Biden
53		 +12% +12% 0.61
11/2/20 10/29-11/1 Change Research C- LV 553 Trump
45		 Biden
53		 +8% +6.8% 0.88
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,475 Trump
44		 Biden
54		 +10% +5% 0.09
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,475 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
11/2/20 10/31-11/1 Research Co. B- LV 450 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +8.6% 1.06
11/2/20 10/22-10/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 1,002 Trump
40.5		 Biden
53.8		 +13.3% +13.1% 0.9
11/1/20 10/29-11/1 Civiqs B/C LV 789 Trump
47		 Biden
51		 +4% +4% 1.04
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,554 Trump
44		 Biden
54		 +10% +5% 0.06
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,554 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
11/1/20 10/27-11/1 Ipsos B- LV 696 Trump
43		 Biden
53		 +10% +9.6% 0.4
11/1/20 10/27-11/1 Ipsos B- LV 696 Trump
45		 Biden
53		 +8% +7.6% 0.4
11/1/20 10/30-10/31 AtlasIntel B/C LV 781 Trump
48.7		 Biden
50.6		 +1.9% +1.9% 1.04
11/1/20 10/26-10/30 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 1,253 Trump
41		 Biden
52		 +11% +11.4% 1.17
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,509 Trump
44		 Biden
54		 +10% +5% -
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,509 Trump
43		 Biden
54		 +11% +6% -
10/31/20 10/29-10/31 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 450 Trump
46		 Biden
49		 +3% +2% 0.85
10/31/20 10/23-10/30 CNN/SSRS B/C RV 920 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +5.8% -
10/31/20 10/23-10/30 CNN/SSRS B/C LV 873 Trump
44		 Biden
52		 +8% +6.8% 0.87
10/31/20 10/29-10/30 Emerson College A- LV 751 Trump
45.4		 Biden
52.7		 +7.3% +6.9% 1.12
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,456 Trump
44		 Biden
53		 +9% +4% -
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,456 Trump
43		 Biden
54		 +11% +6% -
10/30/20 10/24-10/25 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,082 Trump
47.1		 Biden
47.5		 +0.4% +1.4% 0.7
10/30/20 10/23-10/26 Swayable D- LV 313 Trump
44.9		 Biden
53.7		 +8.8% +8.8% 0.28
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,569 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,569 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/28/20 10/21-10/25 Marquette Law School A/B RV 806 Trump
43		 Biden
47		 +4% +3.8% -
10/28/20 10/21-10/25 Marquette Law School A/B LV 749 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% 0.81
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,531 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,531 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/28/20 10/20-10/25 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ LV 809 Trump
40		 Biden
57		 +17% +16.4% 0.93
10/28/20 10/20-10/25 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ RV 906 Trump
39		 Biden
56		 +17% +16.4% -
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,466 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,466 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/26/20 10/20-10/26 Ipsos B- LV 664 Trump
44		 Biden
53		 +9% +8.6% 0.25
10/26/20 10/20-10/26 Ipsos B- LV 664 Trump
44		 Biden
53		 +9% +8.6% 0.25
10/26/20 10/13-10/21 YouGov B RV 716 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.6% -
10/26/20 10/13-10/21 YouGov B LV 647 Trump
44		 Biden
53		 +9% +8.6% 0.56
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,465 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,465 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/24/20 10/23-10/23 Gravis Marketing C LV 677 Trump
43		 Biden
54		 +11% +10% 0.64
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,490 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,490 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,528 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,528 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,540 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,540 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/22/20 10/14-10/20 RMG Research B/C LV 800 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +6% 0.51
10/22/20 10/11-10/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 1,038 Trump
42		 Biden
54		 +12% +11.8% 0.48
10/21/20 10/17-10/20 Fox News A- RV 1,100 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +2.6% -
10/21/20 10/17-10/20 Fox News A- LV 1,037 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +3.6% 0.73
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,513 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,513 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/21/20 10/16-10/19 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 500 Trump
45		 Biden
45		 0% +1% 0.44
10/21/20 10/14-10/19 Latino Decisions B/C LV 400 Trump
45		 Biden
50		 +5% +5% 0.48
10/20/20 10/16-10/19 Change Research C- LV 447 Trump
44		 Biden
52		 +8% +6.8% 0.39
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,511 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,511 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,575 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,575 Trump
43		 Biden
54		 +11% +6% -
10/19/20 10/13-10/19 Ipsos B- LV 663 Trump
45		 Biden
51		 +6% +5.6% 0.12
10/19/20 10/13-10/19 Ipsos B- LV 663 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.6% 0.12
10/19/20 10/14-10/16 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,051 Trump
46.3		 Biden
47.6		 +1.3% +2.3% 0.32
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,571 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,571 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/18/20 10/13-10/16 YouGov B LV 1,112 Trump
46		 Biden
51		 +5% +4.6% 0.52
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,565 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,565 Trump
42		 Biden
55		 +13% +8% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,513 Trump
43		 Biden
55		 +12% +7% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,513 Trump
43		 Biden
54		 +11% +6% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,425 Trump
43		 Biden
54		 +11% +6% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,425 Trump
43		 Biden
54		 +11% +6% -
10/15/20 10/8-10/11 Civiqs B/C LV 560 Trump
45		 Biden
53		 +8% +8% 0.29
10/15/20 10/11-10/13 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,043 Trump
45.4		 Biden
47.3		 +1.9% +2.9% 0.22
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,414 Trump
44		 Biden
54		 +10% +5% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,414 Trump
44		 Biden
53		 +9% +4% -
10/14/20 10/10-10/13 David Binder Research B/C LV 200 Trump
43		 Biden
53		 +10% +10% 0.33
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,397 Trump
44		 Biden
54		 +10% +5% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,397 Trump
44		 Biden
53		 +9% +4% -
10/13/20 10/2-10/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 1,067 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +6.8% 0.23
10/12/20 10/6-10/11 Ipsos B- LV 577 Trump
45		 Biden
52		 +7% +6.6% -
10/12/20 10/6-10/11 Ipsos B- LV 577 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +6.6% -
10/12/20 10/8-10/11 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 789 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +10.4% 0.54
10/11/20 9/30-10/8 Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) C/D LV 883 Trump
42.5		 Biden
49.2		 +6.7% +5.9% -
10/9/20 10/4-10/7 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 688 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +10% -
10/7/20 9/30-10/4 Marquette Law School A/B RV 805 Trump
41		 Biden
46		 +5% +4.8% -
10/7/20 9/30-10/4 Marquette Law School A/B LV 700 Trump
42		 Biden
47		 +5% +4.8% 0.24
10/6/20 10/2-10/4 Change Research C- LV 442 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +5.8% -
10/5/20 9/29-10/5 Ipsos B- LV 601 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.6% 0.14
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 813 Trump
45.8		 Biden
51.7		 +5.8% +0.8% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 813 Trump
47.1		 Biden
50.6		 +3.5% +1.5% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,173 Trump
47.4		 Biden
49.7		 +2.3% +2.7% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,173 Trump
47.7		 Biden
50.2		 +2.5% +2.5% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,913 Trump
48.9		 Biden
48.3		 +0.7% +5.7% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,913 Trump
49.2		 Biden
48.4		 +0.8% +5.8% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 3,806 Trump
44.1		 Biden
52.9		 +8.9% +3.9% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 3,806 Trump
44.3		 Biden
53.5		 +9.2% +4.2% -
10/2/20 9/25-9/28 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,084 Trump
44.3		 Biden
47.2		 +2.9% +3.9% -
10/2/20 9/23-9/27 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 663 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +5% -
9/29/20 9/23-9/26 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 500 Trump
46		 Biden
48		 +2% +1% -
9/28/20 9/22-9/25 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,189 Trump
44.9		 Biden
47.7		 +2.8% +3.8% -
9/27/20 9/20-9/24 Marist College A+ RV 951 Trump
44		 Biden
52		 +8% +8.4% -
9/27/20 9/20-9/24 Marist College A+ LV 727 Trump
44		 Biden
54		 +10% +10.4% 0.19
9/25/20 9/17-9/19 Hart Research Associates B/C LV 400 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +5.6% -
9/24/20 9/10-9/21 YouGov B LV 664 Trump
46		 Biden
50		 +4% +3.6% -
9/24/20 9/10-9/21 YouGov B RV 770 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.6% -
9/23/20 9/8-9/22 Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) C/D LV 863 Trump
41		 Biden
50.3		 +9.3% +8.5% -
9/23/20 9/18-9/20 Change Research C- LV 571 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +7.8% -
9/21/20 6/20-6/24 Ogden & Fry B/C LV 825 Trump
44.4		 Biden
45.2		 +0.8% +0.8% -
9/21/20 9/11-9/16 Ipsos B- LV 609 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.6% -
9/18/20 9/12-9/16 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 636 Trump
41		 Biden
47		 +6% +6% -
9/18/20 9/11-9/15 Civiqs B/C RV 704 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +7% -
9/18/20 9/7-9/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 800 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/16/20 9/6-9/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 800 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/16/20 9/8-9/13 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ LV 605 Trump
46		 Biden
52		 +6% +5.4% 0.09
9/16/20 9/8-9/13 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ RV 702 Trump
46		 Biden
50		 +4% +3.4% -
9/15/20 9/5-9/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 809 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/15/20 9/9-9/13 CNN/SSRS B/C LV 816 Trump
42		 Biden
52		 +10% +8.8% -
9/15/20 9/9-9/13 CNN/SSRS B/C RV 916 Trump
41		 Biden
52		 +11% +9.8% -
9/14/20 9/4-9/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 774 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/13/20 9/3-9/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 769 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/13/20 9/2-9/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/12/20 9/8-9/10 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 760 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +5.4% 0.07
9/12/20 9/1-9/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/10/20 8/31-9/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 816 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7.8% -
9/10/20 9/6-9/8 Emerson College A- LV 823 Trump
44.8		 Biden
51.4		 +6.7% +6.2% -
9/10/20 8/28-9/8 Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group LV 1,200 Trump
45		 Biden
50		 +5% +5% -
9/9/20 8/30-9/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 799 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/9/20 8/30-9/3 Marquette Law School A/B RV 802 Trump
41		 Biden
48		 +7% +6.8% -
9/9/20 8/30-9/3 Marquette Law School A/B LV 688 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/9/20 9/4-9/6 Change Research C- LV 501 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +4.8% -
9/8/20 8/29-9/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 791 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.8% -
9/8/20 8/30-9/4 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 670 Trump
41		 Biden
50		 +9% +9% -
9/7/20 8/28-9/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 770 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.8% -
9/7/20 9/1-9/2 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research C+ LV 1,000 Trump
44.7		 Biden
53.1		 +8.4% +10% -
9/6/20 8/27-9/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 763 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.8% -
9/6/20 9/2-9/4 YouGov B LV 978 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.6% -
9/5/20 8/26-9/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 775 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +6.8% -
9/4/20 8/25-9/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
52		 +10% +9.8% -
9/4/20 8/17-8/20 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
43.7		 Biden
51.9		 +8.2% +8.2% -
9/3/20 8/24-9/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 810 Trump
42		 Biden
52		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/23-9/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 809 Trump
42		 Biden
52		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/22-8/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 819 Trump
42		 Biden
53		 +11% +10.8% -
9/2/20 8/20-8/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/19-8/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 8/18-8/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
52		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/17-8/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
52		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/16-8/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 8/15-8/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/14-8/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/13-8/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 8/12-8/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/11-8/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/10-8/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 8/9-8/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/8-8/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 8/6-8/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/5-8/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/4-8/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/3-8/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/2-8/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/1-8/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/31-8/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/30-8/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 7/29-8/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/28-8/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/27-8/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/26-8/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/25-8/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/24-8/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
52		 +11% +10.8% -
9/2/20 7/23-8/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/22-7/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 7/21-7/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/20-7/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
50		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/19-7/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 7/18-7/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/16-7/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 7/15-7/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 7/14-7/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 7/13-7/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
47		 +2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 7/12-7/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 7/11-7/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
46		 Biden
48		 +2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 7/10-7/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 7/9-7/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 7/8-7/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 7/7-7/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
49		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/6-7/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
49		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/5-7/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
50		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/4-7/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
50		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/3-7/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
50		 +9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/2-7/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
40		 Biden
50		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/1-7/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
40		 Biden
51		 +11% +10.8% -
9/2/20 6/30-7/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
40		 Biden
50		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 6/29-7/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 6/28-7/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41		 Biden
51		 +10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 6/27-7/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 6/26-7/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 6/25-7/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/24-7/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/23-7/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/22-7/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/21-6/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/20-6/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
46		 Biden
48		 +2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 6/19-6/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/18-6/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/17-6/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/16-6/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/15-6/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/14-6/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/13-6/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/12-6/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/11-6/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/10-6/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/9-6/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/8-6/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/7-6/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/6-6/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/5-6/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/4-6/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/3-6/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/2-6/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/1-6/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/31-6/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/30-6/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/29-6/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/28-6/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/27-6/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/26-6/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/25-6/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/24-6/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/23-6/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/22-5/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/21-5/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/20-5/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 5/19-5/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 5/18-5/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/16-5/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/15-5/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/14-5/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/13-5/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/12-5/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
48		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/11-5/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/10-5/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/9-5/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
47		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 5/8-5/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/7-5/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/6-5/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42		 Biden
49		 +7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 5/5-5/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/4-5/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
47		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 5/3-5/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
47		 +3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 5/2-5/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
47		 +2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 5/1-5/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
47		 +2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 4/30-5/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45		 Biden
47		 +2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 4/29-5/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 4/28-5/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 4/27-5/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 4/26-5/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 8/29-9/1 Fox News A- LV 801 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +6.6% -
9/2/20 8/29-9/1 Fox News A- RV 853 Trump
41		 Biden
49		 +8% +6.6% -
9/2/20 8/21-8/28 Opinium LV 700 Trump
40		 Biden
53.5		 +13.5% +13.5% -
9/1/20 8/21-8/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 811 Trump
43		 Biden
52		 +9% +8.8% -
8/26/20 8/21-8/23 Change Research C- LV 925 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +3.8% -
8/25/20 8/14-8/23 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,011 Trump
46.2		 Biden
45.4		 +0.8% +0.2% -
8/21/20 8/16-8/19 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 672 Trump
39		 Biden
49		 +10% +10% -
8/21/20 8/13-8/17 Civiqs B/C RV 754 Trump
45		 Biden
51		 +6% +6% -
8/18/20 8/2-8/4 OnMessage Inc. B/C LV 400 Trump
47		 Biden
47		 0% +1.4% -
8/17/20 8/7-8/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 788 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.8% -
8/13/20 8/5-8/6 Pulse Opinion Research C+ LV 750 Trump
42.6		 Biden
55.2		 +12.6% +14.2% -
8/12/20 8/7-8/9 Change Research C- LV 384 Trump
43		 Biden
47		 +4% +2.8% -
8/11/20 8/4-8/9 Marquette Law School A/B RV 801 Trump
45		 Biden
50		 +5% +4.8% -
8/11/20 8/4-8/9 Marquette Law School A/B LV 694 Trump
46		 Biden
50		 +4% +3.8% -
8/10/20 7/27-8/6 YouGov B RV 734 Trump
43		 Biden
49		 +6% +5.6% -
8/9/20 8/4-8/7 YouGov B LV 994 Trump
42		 Biden
48		 +6% +5.6% -
8/6/20 7/30-7/31 David Binder Research B/C LV 200 Trump
42		 Biden
53		 +11% +11% -
8/5/20 6/14-6/18 Marquette Law School A/B LV 686 Trump
44		 Biden
52		 +8% +7.8% -
8/5/20 5/3-5/7 Marquette Law School A/B LV 650 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
8/5/20 7/22-7/27 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
37.9		 Biden
52.1		 +14.2% +14.2% -
8/3/20 7/11-7/17 Global Strategy Group B/C LV 600 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +7.2% -
7/30/20 7/19-7/24 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 742 Trump
35		 Biden
45		 +10% +10% -
7/29/20 7/24-7/26 Change Research C- LV 392 Trump
43		 Biden
48		 +5% +3.8% -
7/28/20 5/17-5/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 740 Trump
44		 Biden
49		 +5% +4.8% -
7/28/20 7/17-7/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 809 Trump
43		 Biden
50		 +7% +6.8% -
7/24/20 7/22-7/22 Gravis Marketing C LV 796 Trump
42		 Biden
50		 +8% +7% -
7/22/20 7/15-7/20 Spry Strategies B/C LV 700 Trump
45.4		 Biden
46.3		 +0.9% +1.3% -
7/15/20 7/10-7/12 Change Research C- LV 601 Trump
42		 Biden
48		 +6% +4.8% -
7/1/20 6/26-6/28 Change Research C- LV 502 Trump
43		 Biden
51		 +8% +6.8% -
6/28/20 6/23-6/25 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,021 Trump
45.5		 Biden
44.6		 +0.9% +0.1% -
6/25/20 6/14-6/19 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 846 Trump
36		 Biden
45		 +9% +9% -
6/25/20 6/12-6/16 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
38.7		 Biden
55.3		 +16.7% +16.7% -
6/25/20 6/8-6/15 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ RV 655 Trump
38		 Biden
49		 +11% +11.4% -
6/24/20 6/14-6/18 Marquette Law School A/B RV 805 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
6/23/20 1/8-1/12 Marquette Law School A/B LV 701 Trump
47		 Biden
48		 +1% +0.8% -
6/23/20 12/3-12/8 Marquette Law School A/B LV 652 Trump
47		 Biden
49		 +2% +1.8% -
6/23/20 11/13-11/17 Marquette Law School A/B LV 685 Trump
48		 Biden
45		 +3% +3.2% -
6/23/20 10/13-10/17 Marquette Law School A/B LV 657 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +6.8% -
6/23/20 8/25-8/29 Marquette Law School A/B LV 672 Trump
44		 Biden
51		 +7% +6.8% -
6/17/20 6/12-6/14 Change Research C- LV 231 Trump
44		 Biden
48		 +4% +2.8% -
6/3/20 5/30-6/2 Fox News A- RV 801 Trump
40		 Biden
49		 +9% +7.6% -
6/3/20 5/29-5/31 Change Research C- LV 382 Trump
45		 Biden
45		 0% +1.2% -
5/21/20 5/10-5/14 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 875 Trump
38		 Biden
48		 +10% +10% -
5/21/20 5/6-5/8 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
42.2		 Biden
51.5		 +9.3% +9.3% -
5/12/20 5/3-5/7 Marquette Law School A/B RV 811 Trump
43		 Biden
46		 +3% +2.8% -
4/24/20 4/13-4/15 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
45.8		 Biden
50		 +4.2% +4.2% -
4/23/20 4/20-4/21 Public Policy Polling B V 1,415 Trump
45		 Biden
50		 +5% +4.6% -
4/23/20 4/15-4/20 Ipsos B- A 711 Trump
37		 Biden
39		 +2% +1.6% -
4/22/20 4/15-4/20 Ipsos B- RV 645 Trump
40		 Biden
43		 +3% +2.6% -
4/13/20 4/6-4/8 Hart Research Associates B/C LV 301 Trump
47		 Biden
48		 +1% +0.4% -
4/1/20 3/24-3/29 Marquette Law School A/B RV 813 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.8% -
3/27/20 3/17-3/19 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
49.2		 Biden
46.5		 +2.7% +2.7% -
3/26/20 3/17-3/25 Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) C/D RV 822 Trump
44.8		 Biden
44.9		 +0.1% +0.7% -
3/12/20 3/10-3/11 Public Policy Polling B V 1,727 Trump
45		 Biden
48		 +3% +2.6% -
3/9/20 3/6-3/8 YouGov B RV 459 Trump
42		 Biden
44		 +2% +1.6% -
3/9/20 3/5-3/7 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 502 Trump
44.6		 Biden
43.1		 +1.5% +0.1% -
3/7/20 2/6-2/18 Expedition Strategies RV 500 Trump
44		 Biden
42		 +2% +2% -
2/27/20 2/19-2/23 Marquette Law School A/B RV 1,000 Trump
46		 Biden
46		 0% +0.2% -
2/23/20 2/11-2/20 YouGov B RV 936 Trump
43		 Biden
45		 +2% +1.6% -
2/20/20 2/12-2/18 Quinnipiac University B+ RV 823 Trump
49		 Biden
42		 +7% +7.2% -
2/13/20 1/14-1/16 Tarrance Group B/C LV 500 Trump
46		 Biden
47		 +1% +2% -
1/15/20 1/8-1/12 Marquette Law School A/B RV 800 Trump
45		 Biden
49		 +4% +3.8% -
1/9/20 1/5-1/8 Fox News A- RV 1,504 Trump
41		 Biden
46		 +5% +3.6% -
12/12/19 12/3-12/8 Marquette Law School A/B RV 800 Trump
46		 Biden
47		 +1% +0.8% -
12/9/19 12/3-12/5 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 610 Trump
48.2		 Biden
39.1		 +9.2% +7.8% -
11/20/19 11/13-11/17 Marquette Law School A/B RV 801 Trump
47		 Biden
44		 +3% +3.2% -
11/4/19 10/13-10/26 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 651 Trump
44.3		 Biden
46.2		 +1.8% +2.2% -
11/4/19 10/13-10/26 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ RV 651 Trump
43.3		 Biden
46.8		 +3.5% +3.9% -
10/23/19 10/13-10/17 Marquette Law School A/B RV 799 Trump
44		 Biden
50		 +6% +5.8% -
10/6/19 9/29-10/2 Fox News A- RV 1,512 Trump
39		 Biden
48		 +9% +7.6% -
9/12/19 9/7-9/9 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 534 Trump
42		 Biden
44		 +2% +3.4% -
9/4/19 8/25-8/29 Marquette Law School A/B RV 800 Trump
42		 Biden
51		 +9% +8.8% -
6/18/19 6/11-6/13 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 535 Trump
40		 Biden
46		 +6% +7.4% -
5/11/19 4/27-4/30 WPA Intelligence B/C LV 200 Trump
46		 Biden
42		 +4% +3.2% -
4/24/19 4/15-4/18 Zogby Analytics C+ LV 802 Trump
40		 Biden
50		 +10% +10.6% -
3/26/19 3/19-3/21 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 616 Trump
40		 Biden
53		 +13% +14.4% -
3/17/19 3/15-3/17 Emerson College A- RV 775 Trump
44.4		 Biden
51.2		 +6.8% +6.4% -
3/17/19 3/15-3/17 Emerson College A- RV 775 Trump
45.7		 Biden
54.3		 +8.6% +8.2% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 47.2 46.5 +0.8%
2012 Romney v Obama 45.9 52.8 +6.9%
2008 McCain v Obama 42.3 56.2 +13.9%
2004 Bush v Kerry 49.3 49.7 +0.4%
2000 Bush v Gore 47.6 47.8 +0.2%




Updates

Last Updated: 11/2 11:58 PM EDT
9/2
Wisconsin polls jumped 1.7% toward Biden (was D+5.9%, now D+7.6%)
Wisconsin changed from Lean Biden to Likely Biden
7/28
Wisconsin changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden
6/25
Wisconsin polls jumped 3.1% toward Biden (was D+2.9%, now D+6%)
5/21
Wisconsin polls jumped 1.6% toward Biden (was D+2.4%, now D+4%)