Wisconsin

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 11/21 2:56 PM EST
Winner
Biden
Biden

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Wisconsin changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.





Wisconsin Pre-Election Forecast

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Likely Biden

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
97.7%
Polls: 51.4% +7.3%
Trump
2.3%
Polls: 44.1%
97.7%
2.3%



Swing

 
+8%
From 2016 Results
+1.5%
From 2016 Polls
 



Testing

Standard Deviation: 1.697 Testing Range: +/- 3.96%




Tipping Point



4.7%
of the time





Polls

 
51.4%
Biden (+7.3%)
44.1%
Trump
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
11/2/20 10/27-11/1 Swayable D- LV 253 Trump
44.9
Biden
54.6
+9.7% +9.7% 0.45
11/2/20 10/9-10/10 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 613 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +4% -
11/2/20 10/10-10/13 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 691 Trump
40
Biden
53
+13% +13% -
11/2/20 10/26-10/29 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 800 Trump
41
Biden
53
+12% +12% 0.61
11/2/20 10/29-11/1 Change Research C- LV 553 Trump
45
Biden
53
+8% +6.8% 0.88
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,475 Trump
44
Biden
54
+10% +5% 0.09
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,475 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
11/2/20 10/31-11/1 Research Co. B- LV 450 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +8.6% 1.06
11/2/20 10/22-10/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 1,002 Trump
40.5
Biden
53.8
+13.3% +13.1% 0.9
11/1/20 10/29-11/1 Civiqs B/C LV 789 Trump
47
Biden
51
+4% +4% 1.04
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,554 Trump
44
Biden
54
+10% +5% 0.06
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,554 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
11/1/20 10/27-11/1 Ipsos B- LV 696 Trump
43
Biden
53
+10% +9.6% 0.4
11/1/20 10/27-11/1 Ipsos B- LV 696 Trump
45
Biden
53
+8% +7.6% 0.4
11/1/20 10/30-10/31 AtlasIntel B/C LV 781 Trump
48.7
Biden
50.6
+1.9% +1.9% 1.04
11/1/20 10/26-10/30 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 1,253 Trump
41
Biden
52
+11% +11.4% 1.17
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,509 Trump
44
Biden
54
+10% +5% -
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,509 Trump
43
Biden
54
+11% +6% -
10/31/20 10/29-10/31 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 450 Trump
46
Biden
49
+3% +2% 0.85
10/31/20 10/23-10/30 CNN/SSRS B/C RV 920 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +5.8% -
10/31/20 10/23-10/30 CNN/SSRS B/C LV 873 Trump
44
Biden
52
+8% +6.8% 0.87
10/31/20 10/29-10/30 Emerson College A- LV 751 Trump
45.4
Biden
52.7
+7.3% +6.9% 1.12
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,456 Trump
44
Biden
53
+9% +4% -
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,456 Trump
43
Biden
54
+11% +6% -
10/30/20 10/24-10/25 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,082 Trump
47.1
Biden
47.5
+0.4% +1.4% 0.7
10/30/20 10/23-10/26 Swayable D- LV 313 Trump
44.9
Biden
53.7
+8.8% +8.8% 0.28
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,569 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,569 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/28/20 10/21-10/25 Marquette Law School A/B RV 806 Trump
43
Biden
47
+4% +3.8% -
10/28/20 10/21-10/25 Marquette Law School A/B LV 749 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% 0.81
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,531 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,531 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/28/20 10/20-10/25 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ LV 809 Trump
40
Biden
57
+17% +16.4% 0.93
10/28/20 10/20-10/25 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ RV 906 Trump
39
Biden
56
+17% +16.4% -
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,466 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/26/20 9/27-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,466 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/26/20 10/20-10/26 Ipsos B- LV 664 Trump
44
Biden
53
+9% +8.6% 0.25
10/26/20 10/20-10/26 Ipsos B- LV 664 Trump
44
Biden
53
+9% +8.6% 0.25
10/26/20 10/13-10/21 YouGov B RV 716 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.6% -
10/26/20 10/13-10/21 YouGov B LV 647 Trump
44
Biden
53
+9% +8.6% 0.56
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,465 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,465 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/24/20 10/23-10/23 Gravis Marketing C LV 677 Trump
43
Biden
54
+11% +10% 0.64
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,490 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/24/20 9/25-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,490 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,528 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,528 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,540 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,540 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/22/20 10/14-10/20 RMG Research B/C LV 800 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +6% 0.51
10/22/20 10/11-10/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 1,038 Trump
42
Biden
54
+12% +11.8% 0.48
10/21/20 10/17-10/20 Fox News A- RV 1,100 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +2.6% -
10/21/20 10/17-10/20 Fox News A- LV 1,037 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +3.6% 0.73
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,513 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/21/20 9/22-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,513 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/21/20 10/16-10/19 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 500 Trump
45
Biden
45
0% +1% 0.44
10/21/20 10/14-10/19 Latino Decisions B/C LV 400 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +5% 0.48
10/20/20 10/16-10/19 Change Research C- LV 447 Trump
44
Biden
52
+8% +6.8% 0.39
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,511 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/20/20 9/21-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,511 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,575 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,575 Trump
43
Biden
54
+11% +6% -
10/19/20 10/13-10/19 Ipsos B- LV 663 Trump
45
Biden
51
+6% +5.6% 0.12
10/19/20 10/13-10/19 Ipsos B- LV 663 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.6% 0.12
10/19/20 10/14-10/16 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,051 Trump
46.3
Biden
47.6
+1.3% +2.3% 0.32
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,571 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,571 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/18/20 10/13-10/16 YouGov B LV 1,112 Trump
46
Biden
51
+5% +4.6% 0.52
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,565 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,565 Trump
42
Biden
55
+13% +8% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,513 Trump
43
Biden
55
+12% +7% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,513 Trump
43
Biden
54
+11% +6% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,425 Trump
43
Biden
54
+11% +6% -
10/15/20 9/17-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,425 Trump
43
Biden
54
+11% +6% -
10/15/20 10/8-10/11 Civiqs B/C LV 560 Trump
45
Biden
53
+8% +8% 0.29
10/15/20 10/11-10/13 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,043 Trump
45.4
Biden
47.3
+1.9% +2.9% 0.22
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,414 Trump
44
Biden
54
+10% +5% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,414 Trump
44
Biden
53
+9% +4% -
10/14/20 10/10-10/13 David Binder Research B/C LV 200 Trump
43
Biden
53
+10% +10% 0.33
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 4,397 Trump
44
Biden
54
+10% +5% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 4,397 Trump
44
Biden
53
+9% +4% -
10/13/20 10/2-10/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 1,067 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +6.8% 0.23
10/12/20 10/6-10/11 Ipsos B- LV 577 Trump
45
Biden
52
+7% +6.6% -
10/12/20 10/6-10/11 Ipsos B- LV 577 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +6.6% -
10/12/20 10/8-10/11 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 789 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +10.4% 0.54
10/11/20 9/30-10/8 Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) C/D LV 883 Trump
42.5
Biden
49.2
+6.7% +5.9% -
10/9/20 10/4-10/7 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 688 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +10% -
10/7/20 9/30-10/4 Marquette Law School A/B RV 805 Trump
41
Biden
46
+5% +4.8% -
10/7/20 9/30-10/4 Marquette Law School A/B LV 700 Trump
42
Biden
47
+5% +4.8% 0.24
10/6/20 10/2-10/4 Change Research C- LV 442 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +5.8% -
10/5/20 9/29-10/5 Ipsos B- LV 601 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.6% 0.14
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 813 Trump
45.8
Biden
51.7
+5.8% +0.8% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 813 Trump
47.1
Biden
50.6
+3.5% +1.5% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 2,173 Trump
47.4
Biden
49.7
+2.3% +2.7% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 2,173 Trump
47.7
Biden
50.2
+2.5% +2.5% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 1,913 Trump
48.9
Biden
48.3
+0.7% +5.7% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 1,913 Trump
49.2
Biden
48.4
+0.8% +5.8% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 3,806 Trump
44.1
Biden
52.9
+8.9% +3.9% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 3,806 Trump
44.3
Biden
53.5
+9.2% +4.2% -
10/2/20 9/25-9/28 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,084 Trump
44.3
Biden
47.2
+2.9% +3.9% -
10/2/20 9/23-9/27 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 663 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +5% -
9/29/20 9/23-9/26 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. C LV 500 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +1% -
9/28/20 9/22-9/25 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,189 Trump
44.9
Biden
47.7
+2.8% +3.8% -
9/27/20 9/20-9/24 Marist College A+ RV 951 Trump
44
Biden
52
+8% +8.4% -
9/27/20 9/20-9/24 Marist College A+ LV 727 Trump
44
Biden
54
+10% +10.4% 0.19
9/25/20 9/17-9/19 Hart Research Associates B/C LV 400 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +5.6% -
9/24/20 9/10-9/21 YouGov B LV 664 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +3.6% -
9/24/20 9/10-9/21 YouGov B RV 770 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.6% -
9/23/20 9/8-9/22 Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) C/D LV 863 Trump
41
Biden
50.3
+9.3% +8.5% -
9/23/20 9/18-9/20 Change Research C- LV 571 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +7.8% -
9/21/20 6/20-6/24 Ogden & Fry B/C LV 825 Trump
44.4
Biden
45.2
+0.8% +0.8% -
9/21/20 9/11-9/16 Ipsos B- LV 609 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.6% -
9/18/20 9/12-9/16 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 636 Trump
41
Biden
47
+6% +6% -
9/18/20 9/11-9/15 Civiqs B/C RV 704 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +7% -
9/18/20 9/7-9/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 800 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/16/20 9/6-9/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 800 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/16/20 9/8-9/13 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ LV 605 Trump
46
Biden
52
+6% +5.4% 0.09
9/16/20 9/8-9/13 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ RV 702 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +3.4% -
9/15/20 9/5-9/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 809 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/15/20 9/9-9/13 CNN/SSRS B/C LV 816 Trump
42
Biden
52
+10% +8.8% -
9/15/20 9/9-9/13 CNN/SSRS B/C RV 916 Trump
41
Biden
52
+11% +9.8% -
9/14/20 9/4-9/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 774 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/13/20 9/3-9/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 769 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/13/20 9/2-9/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/12/20 9/8-9/10 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 760 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +5.4% 0.07
9/12/20 9/1-9/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/10/20 8/31-9/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 816 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7.8% -
9/10/20 9/6-9/8 Emerson College A- LV 823 Trump
44.8
Biden
51.4
+6.7% +6.2% -
9/10/20 8/28-9/8 Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group LV 1,200 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +5% -
9/9/20 8/30-9/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 799 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/9/20 8/30-9/3 Marquette Law School A/B RV 802 Trump
41
Biden
48
+7% +6.8% -
9/9/20 8/30-9/3 Marquette Law School A/B LV 688 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/9/20 9/4-9/6 Change Research C- LV 501 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +4.8% -
9/8/20 8/29-9/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 791 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.8% -
9/8/20 8/30-9/4 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 670 Trump
41
Biden
50
+9% +9% -
9/7/20 8/28-9/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 770 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.8% -
9/7/20 9/1-9/2 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research C+ LV 1,000 Trump
44.7
Biden
53.1
+8.4% +10% -
9/6/20 8/27-9/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 763 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.8% -
9/6/20 9/2-9/4 YouGov B LV 978 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.6% -
9/5/20 8/26-9/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 775 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +6.8% -
9/4/20 8/25-9/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
52
+10% +9.8% -
9/4/20 8/17-8/20 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
43.7
Biden
51.9
+8.2% +8.2% -
9/3/20 8/24-9/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 810 Trump
42
Biden
52
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/23-9/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 809 Trump
42
Biden
52
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/22-8/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 819 Trump
42
Biden
53
+11% +10.8% -
9/2/20 8/20-8/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/19-8/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 8/18-8/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
52
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/17-8/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
52
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 8/16-8/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 8/15-8/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/14-8/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/13-8/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 8/12-8/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/11-8/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/10-8/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 8/9-8/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/8-8/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 8/6-8/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/5-8/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/4-8/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 8/3-8/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/2-8/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 8/1-8/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/31-8/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/30-8/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 7/29-8/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/28-8/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/27-8/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/26-8/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/25-8/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/24-8/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
52
+11% +10.8% -
9/2/20 7/23-8/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/22-7/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 7/21-7/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/20-7/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
50
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/19-7/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 7/18-7/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/16-7/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 7/15-7/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 7/14-7/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 7/13-7/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
47
+2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 7/12-7/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 7/11-7/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 7/10-7/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 7/9-7/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 7/8-7/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 7/7-7/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
49
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/6-7/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
49
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 7/5-7/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
50
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/4-7/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
50
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/3-7/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
50
+9% +8.8% -
9/2/20 7/2-7/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
40
Biden
50
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 7/1-7/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
40
Biden
51
+11% +10.8% -
9/2/20 6/30-7/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
40
Biden
50
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 6/29-7/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 6/28-7/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
41
Biden
51
+10% +9.8% -
9/2/20 6/27-7/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 6/26-7/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 6/25-7/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/24-7/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/23-7/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/22-7/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/21-6/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/20-6/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
46
Biden
48
+2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 6/19-6/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/18-6/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/17-6/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/16-6/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/15-6/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 6/14-6/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/13-6/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 6/12-6/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/11-6/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/10-6/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/9-6/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/8-6/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 6/7-6/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/6-6/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/5-6/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/4-6/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/3-6/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/2-6/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 6/1-6/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/31-6/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/30-6/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/29-6/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/28-6/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/27-6/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/26-6/4 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/25-6/3 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/24-6/2 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/23-6/1 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/22-5/31 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/21-5/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/20-5/29 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7.8% -
9/2/20 5/19-5/28 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 5/18-5/27 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/16-5/25 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/15-5/24 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 5/14-5/23 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/13-5/22 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/12-5/21 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
48
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/11-5/20 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/10-5/19 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/9-5/18 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
47
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 5/8-5/17 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 5/7-5/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/6-5/15 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
42
Biden
49
+7% +6.8% -
9/2/20 5/5-5/14 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 5/4-5/13 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
47
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 5/3-5/12 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
47
+3% +2.8% -
9/2/20 5/2-5/11 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
47
+2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 5/1-5/10 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
47
+2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 4/30-5/9 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
45
Biden
47
+2% +1.8% -
9/2/20 4/29-5/8 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 4/28-5/7 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +3.8% -
9/2/20 4/27-5/6 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +4.8% -
9/2/20 4/26-5/5 Morning Consult B/C LV 797 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
9/2/20 8/29-9/1 Fox News A- LV 801 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +6.6% -
9/2/20 8/29-9/1 Fox News A- RV 853 Trump
41
Biden
49
+8% +6.6% -
9/2/20 8/21-8/28 Opinium LV 700 Trump
40
Biden
53.5
+13.5% +13.5% -
9/1/20 8/21-8/30 Morning Consult B/C LV 811 Trump
43
Biden
52
+9% +8.8% -
8/26/20 8/21-8/23 Change Research C- LV 925 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +3.8% -
8/25/20 8/14-8/23 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,011 Trump
46.2
Biden
45.4
+0.8% +0.2% -
8/21/20 8/16-8/19 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 672 Trump
39
Biden
49
+10% +10% -
8/21/20 8/13-8/17 Civiqs B/C RV 754 Trump
45
Biden
51
+6% +6% -
8/18/20 8/2-8/4 OnMessage Inc. B/C LV 400 Trump
47
Biden
47
0% +1.4% -
8/17/20 8/7-8/16 Morning Consult B/C LV 788 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.8% -
8/13/20 8/5-8/6 Pulse Opinion Research C+ LV 750 Trump
42.6
Biden
55.2
+12.6% +14.2% -
8/12/20 8/7-8/9 Change Research C- LV 384 Trump
43
Biden
47
+4% +2.8% -
8/11/20 8/4-8/9 Marquette Law School A/B RV 801 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +4.8% -
8/11/20 8/4-8/9 Marquette Law School A/B LV 694 Trump
46
Biden
50
+4% +3.8% -
8/10/20 7/27-8/6 YouGov B RV 734 Trump
43
Biden
49
+6% +5.6% -
8/9/20 8/4-8/7 YouGov B LV 994 Trump
42
Biden
48
+6% +5.6% -
8/6/20 7/30-7/31 David Binder Research B/C LV 200 Trump
42
Biden
53
+11% +11% -
8/5/20 6/14-6/18 Marquette Law School A/B LV 686 Trump
44
Biden
52
+8% +7.8% -
8/5/20 5/3-5/7 Marquette Law School A/B LV 650 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
8/5/20 7/22-7/27 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
37.9
Biden
52.1
+14.2% +14.2% -
8/3/20 7/11-7/17 Global Strategy Group B/C LV 600 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +7.2% -
7/30/20 7/19-7/24 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 742 Trump
35
Biden
45
+10% +10% -
7/29/20 7/24-7/26 Change Research C- LV 392 Trump
43
Biden
48
+5% +3.8% -
7/28/20 5/17-5/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 740 Trump
44
Biden
49
+5% +4.8% -
7/28/20 7/17-7/26 Morning Consult B/C LV 809 Trump
43
Biden
50
+7% +6.8% -
7/24/20 7/22-7/22 Gravis Marketing C LV 796 Trump
42
Biden
50
+8% +7% -
7/22/20 7/15-7/20 Spry Strategies B/C LV 700 Trump
45.4
Biden
46.3
+0.9% +1.3% -
7/15/20 7/10-7/12 Change Research C- LV 601 Trump
42
Biden
48
+6% +4.8% -
7/1/20 6/26-6/28 Change Research C- LV 502 Trump
43
Biden
51
+8% +6.8% -
6/28/20 6/23-6/25 Trafalgar Group C- LV 1,021 Trump
45.5
Biden
44.6
+0.9% +0.1% -
6/25/20 6/14-6/19 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 846 Trump
36
Biden
45
+9% +9% -
6/25/20 6/12-6/16 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
38.7
Biden
55.3
+16.7% +16.7% -
6/25/20 6/8-6/15 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ RV 655 Trump
38
Biden
49
+11% +11.4% -
6/24/20 6/14-6/18 Marquette Law School A/B RV 805 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
6/23/20 1/8-1/12 Marquette Law School A/B LV 701 Trump
47
Biden
48
+1% +0.8% -
6/23/20 12/3-12/8 Marquette Law School A/B LV 652 Trump
47
Biden
49
+2% +1.8% -
6/23/20 11/13-11/17 Marquette Law School A/B LV 685 Trump
48
Biden
45
+3% +3.2% -
6/23/20 10/13-10/17 Marquette Law School A/B LV 657 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +6.8% -
6/23/20 8/25-8/29 Marquette Law School A/B LV 672 Trump
44
Biden
51
+7% +6.8% -
6/17/20 6/12-6/14 Change Research C- LV 231 Trump
44
Biden
48
+4% +2.8% -
6/3/20 5/30-6/2 Fox News A- RV 801 Trump
40
Biden
49
+9% +7.6% -
6/3/20 5/29-5/31 Change Research C- LV 382 Trump
45
Biden
45
0% +1.2% -
5/21/20 5/10-5/14 Redfield & Wilton Strategies LV 875 Trump
38
Biden
48
+10% +10% -
5/21/20 5/6-5/8 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
42.2
Biden
51.5
+9.3% +9.3% -
5/12/20 5/3-5/7 Marquette Law School A/B RV 811 Trump
43
Biden
46
+3% +2.8% -
4/24/20 4/13-4/15 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
45.8
Biden
50
+4.2% +4.2% -
4/23/20 4/20-4/21 Public Policy Polling B V 1,415 Trump
45
Biden
50
+5% +4.6% -
4/23/20 4/15-4/20 Ipsos B- A 711 Trump
37
Biden
39
+2% +1.6% -
4/22/20 4/15-4/20 Ipsos B- RV 645 Trump
40
Biden
43
+3% +2.6% -
4/13/20 4/6-4/8 Hart Research Associates B/C LV 301 Trump
47
Biden
48
+1% +0.4% -
4/1/20 3/24-3/29 Marquette Law School A/B RV 813 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.8% -
3/27/20 3/17-3/19 Hodas & Associates LV 600 Trump
49.2
Biden
46.5
+2.7% +2.7% -
3/26/20 3/17-3/25 Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll) C/D RV 822 Trump
44.8
Biden
44.9
+0.1% +0.7% -
3/12/20 3/10-3/11 Public Policy Polling B V 1,727 Trump
45
Biden
48
+3% +2.6% -
3/9/20 3/6-3/8 YouGov B RV 459 Trump
42
Biden
44
+2% +1.6% -
3/9/20 3/5-3/7 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 502 Trump
44.6
Biden
43.1
+1.5% +0.1% -
3/7/20 2/6-2/18 Expedition Strategies RV 500 Trump
44
Biden
42
+2% +2% -
2/27/20 2/19-2/23 Marquette Law School A/B RV 1,000 Trump
46
Biden
46
0% +0.2% -
2/23/20 2/11-2/20 YouGov B RV 936 Trump
43
Biden
45
+2% +1.6% -
2/20/20 2/12-2/18 Quinnipiac University B+ RV 823 Trump
49
Biden
42
+7% +7.2% -
2/13/20 1/14-1/16 Tarrance Group B/C LV 500 Trump
46
Biden
47
+1% +2% -
1/15/20 1/8-1/12 Marquette Law School A/B RV 800 Trump
45
Biden
49
+4% +3.8% -
1/9/20 1/5-1/8 Fox News A- RV 1,504 Trump
41
Biden
46
+5% +3.6% -
12/12/19 12/3-12/8 Marquette Law School A/B RV 800 Trump
46
Biden
47
+1% +0.8% -
12/9/19 12/3-12/5 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 610 Trump
48.2
Biden
39.1
+9.2% +7.8% -
11/20/19 11/13-11/17 Marquette Law School A/B RV 801 Trump
47
Biden
44
+3% +3.2% -
11/4/19 10/13-10/26 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ LV 651 Trump
44.3
Biden
46.2
+1.8% +2.2% -
11/4/19 10/13-10/26 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ RV 651 Trump
43.3
Biden
46.8
+3.5% +3.9% -
10/23/19 10/13-10/17 Marquette Law School A/B RV 799 Trump
44
Biden
50
+6% +5.8% -
10/6/19 9/29-10/2 Fox News A- RV 1,512 Trump
39
Biden
48
+9% +7.6% -
9/12/19 9/7-9/9 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 534 Trump
42
Biden
44
+2% +3.4% -
9/4/19 8/25-8/29 Marquette Law School A/B RV 800 Trump
42
Biden
51
+9% +8.8% -
6/18/19 6/11-6/13 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 535 Trump
40
Biden
46
+6% +7.4% -
5/11/19 4/27-4/30 WPA Intelligence B/C LV 200 Trump
46
Biden
42
+4% +3.2% -
4/24/19 4/15-4/18 Zogby Analytics C+ LV 802 Trump
40
Biden
50
+10% +10.6% -
3/26/19 3/19-3/21 Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus B/C LV 616 Trump
40
Biden
53
+13% +14.4% -
3/17/19 3/15-3/17 Emerson College A- RV 775 Trump
44.4
Biden
51.2
+6.8% +6.4% -
3/17/19 3/15-3/17 Emerson College A- RV 775 Trump
45.7
Biden
54.3
+8.6% +8.2% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 47.2 46.5 +0.8%
2012 Romney v Obama 45.9 52.8 +6.9%
2008 McCain v Obama 42.3 56.2 +13.9%
2004 Bush v Kerry 49.3 49.7 +0.4%
2000 Bush v Gore 47.6 47.8 +0.2%




Updates

Last Updated: 11/2 11:58 PM EST
9/2
Wisconsin polls jumped 1.7% toward Biden (was D+5.9%, now D+7.6%)
Wisconsin changed from Lean Biden to Likely Biden
7/28
Wisconsin changed from Toss Up to Lean Biden
6/25
Wisconsin polls jumped 3.1% toward Biden (was D+2.9%, now D+6%)
5/21
Wisconsin polls jumped 1.6% toward Biden (was D+2.4%, now D+4%)