Wyoming

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 28.5%
Trump
100%
Polls: 69.6% +41.1%
100%



Swing

 
+4.7%
From 2016 Results
+7.1%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
28.5%
Biden
69.6%
Trump (+41.1%)
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 654 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% 0.12
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 654 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 649 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% 0.11
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 649 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 638 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% 0.09
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 638 Trump
67
Biden
30
+37% +42% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 616 Trump
68
Biden
30
+38% +43% 0.07
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 616 Trump
67
Biden
30
+37% +42% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 605 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% 0.05
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 605 Trump
66
Biden
31
+35% +40% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 597 Trump
67
Biden
32
+35% +40% 0.04
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 597 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 579 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% 0.02
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 579 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 558 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.01
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 558 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 553 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 553 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 531 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 531 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 499 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 499 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 450 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 450 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 416 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 416 Trump
62
Biden
36
+26% +31% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 409 Trump
63
Biden
35
+28% +33% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 409 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 98 Trump
78.3
Biden
21.5
+56.8% +61.8% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 98 Trump
77.7
Biden
22.2
+55.5% +60.5% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 246 Trump
69.6
Biden
27.8
+41.9% +46.9% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 246 Trump
70.3
Biden
27.7
+42.6% +47.6% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 211 Trump
72.7
Biden
26.5
+46.2% +51.2% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 211 Trump
74.1
Biden
25.1
+49% +54% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 236 Trump
65.2
Biden
32.8
+32.4% +37.4% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 236 Trump
64.9
Biden
33.9
+31.1% +36.1% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 67.4 21.6 +45.8%
2012 Romney v Obama 68.6 27.8 +40.8%
2008 McCain v Obama 64.8 32.5 +32.2%
2004 Bush v Kerry 68.9 29.1 +39.8%
2000 Bush v Gore 67.8 27.7 +40.1%




Updates

Last Updated: 10/27 9:48 PM EDT
10/14
Wyoming polls jumped 3.5% toward Biden (was R+42%, now R+38.5%)
10/13
Wyoming polls jumped 9.2% toward Biden (was R+51.2%, now R+42%)
10/3
Wyoming polls jumped 4% toward Biden (was R+52%, now R+48%)
10/2
Wyoming polls jumped 2.7% toward Trump (was R+49.3%, now R+52%)