Wyoming

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 11/21 2:56 PM EST
Winner
Trump
Trump

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Wyoming changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.





Wyoming Pre-Election Forecast

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 30.7%
Trump
100%
Polls: 65.5% +34.8%
100%



Swing

 
+11%
From 2016 Results
+0.8%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
30.7%
Biden
65.5%
Trump (+34.8%)
 

Date Pollster Rating Voters Sample Size Republican Democrat Diff Diff (Adj) Weight
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- LV 330 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.22
11/2/20 10/20-11/1 SurveyMonkey D- RV 330 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 361 Trump
65
Biden
34
+31% +36% 0.2
11/1/20 10/18-10/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 361 Trump
65
Biden
33
+32% +37% -
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 378 Trump
65
Biden
33
+32% +37% 0.19
10/31/20 10/17-10/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 378 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- LV 394 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% 0.17
10/30/20 10/16-10/29 SurveyMonkey D- RV 394 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/30/20 10/8-10/28 University of Wyoming LV 614 Trump
59
Biden
31
+28% +28% 0.35
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- LV 739 Trump
68
Biden
31
+37% +42% 0.06
10/29/20 10/1-10/28 SurveyMonkey D- RV 739 Trump
68
Biden
30
+38% +43% -
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- LV 713 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% 0.04
10/28/20 9/30-10/27 SurveyMonkey D- RV 713 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- LV 654 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% 0.02
10/26/20 9/28-10/25 SurveyMonkey D- RV 654 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- LV 649 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% -
10/25/20 9/26-10/24 SurveyMonkey D- RV 649 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- LV 638 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% -
10/24/20 9/26-10/23 SurveyMonkey D- RV 638 Trump
67
Biden
30
+37% +42% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- LV 616 Trump
68
Biden
30
+38% +43% -
10/23/20 9/25-10/22 SurveyMonkey D- RV 616 Trump
67
Biden
30
+37% +42% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- LV 605 Trump
67
Biden
31
+36% +41% -
10/22/20 9/24-10/21 SurveyMonkey D- RV 605 Trump
66
Biden
31
+35% +40% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- LV 597 Trump
67
Biden
32
+35% +40% -
10/21/20 9/23-10/20 SurveyMonkey D- RV 597 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- LV 579 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/20/20 9/22-10/19 SurveyMonkey D- RV 579 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- LV 558 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/19/20 9/21-10/18 SurveyMonkey D- RV 558 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- LV 553 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/18/20 9/20-10/17 SurveyMonkey D- RV 553 Trump
66
Biden
32
+34% +39% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- LV 531 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/17/20 9/19-10/16 SurveyMonkey D- RV 531 Trump
66
Biden
33
+33% +38% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- LV 499 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/16/20 9/18-10/15 SurveyMonkey D- RV 499 Trump
64
Biden
34
+30% +35% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- LV 450 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/15/20 9/16-10/14 SurveyMonkey D- RV 450 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- LV 416 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/14/20 9/16-10/13 SurveyMonkey D- RV 416 Trump
62
Biden
36
+26% +31% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- LV 409 Trump
63
Biden
35
+28% +33% -
10/13/20 9/15-10/12 SurveyMonkey D- RV 409 Trump
63
Biden
36
+27% +32% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 98 Trump
78.3
Biden
21.5
+56.8% +61.8% -
10/3/20 6/8-6/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 98 Trump
77.7
Biden
22.2
+55.5% +60.5% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 246 Trump
69.6
Biden
27.8
+41.9% +46.9% -
10/3/20 7/1-7/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 246 Trump
70.3
Biden
27.7
+42.6% +47.6% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- RV 211 Trump
72.7
Biden
26.5
+46.2% +51.2% -
10/3/20 8/1-8/31 SurveyMonkey D- LV 211 Trump
74.1
Biden
25.1
+49% +54% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- RV 236 Trump
65.2
Biden
32.8
+32.4% +37.4% -
10/2/20 9/1-9/30 SurveyMonkey D- LV 236 Trump
64.9
Biden
33.9
+31.1% +36.1% -


Past Results

Year Candidates Republican Democrat Diff
2016 Trump v Clinton 67.4 21.6 +45.8%
2012 Romney v Obama 68.6 27.8 +40.8%
2008 McCain v Obama 64.8 32.5 +32.2%
2004 Bush v Kerry 68.9 29.1 +39.8%
2000 Bush v Gore 67.8 27.7 +40.1%




Updates

Last Updated: 11/3 10:10 AM EST
10/30
Wyoming polls jumped 6.3% toward Biden (was R+40.9%, now R+34.6%)
10/14
Wyoming polls jumped 3.5% toward Biden (was R+42%, now R+38.5%)
10/13
Wyoming polls jumped 9.2% toward Biden (was R+51.2%, now R+42%)
10/3
Wyoming polls jumped 4% toward Biden (was R+52%, now R+48%)
10/2
Wyoming polls jumped 2.7% toward Trump (was R+49.3%, now R+52%)