Wyoming

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 12/10 11:48 AM EST

Winner

Trump

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Wyoming changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.

Wyoming Pre-Election Forecast

Safe Trump

Win Probability

Biden

Polls: 30.7%

Trump

100%

Polls: 65.5% +34.8%

100%

Swing

+11%

From 2016 Results

+0.8%

From 2016 Polls

Polls

30.7%

Biden

65.5%

Trump (+34.8%)

Date	Pollster	Rating	Voters	Sample Size	Republican	Democrat	Diff	Diff (Adj)	Weight
11/2/20 10/20-11/1	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	330	Trump 66	Biden 33	+33%	+38%	0.22
11/2/20 10/20-11/1	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	330	Trump 66	Biden 33	+33%	+38%	-
11/1/20 10/18-10/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	361	Trump 65	Biden 34	+31%	+36%	0.2
11/1/20 10/18-10/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	361	Trump 65	Biden 33	+32%	+37%	-
10/31/20 10/17-10/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	378	Trump 65	Biden 33	+32%	+37%	0.19
10/31/20 10/17-10/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	378	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/30/20 10/16-10/29	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	394	Trump 66	Biden 33	+33%	+38%	0.17
10/30/20 10/16-10/29	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	394	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/30/20 10/8-10/28	University of Wyoming		LV	614	Trump 59	Biden 31	+28%	+28%	0.35
10/29/20 10/1-10/28	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	739	Trump 68	Biden 31	+37%	+42%	0.06
10/29/20 10/1-10/28	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	739	Trump 68	Biden 30	+38%	+43%	-
10/28/20 9/30-10/27	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	713	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	0.04
10/28/20 9/30-10/27	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	713	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/26/20 9/28-10/25	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	654	Trump 67	Biden 31	+36%	+41%	0.02
10/26/20 9/28-10/25	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	654	Trump 67	Biden 31	+36%	+41%	-
10/25/20 9/26-10/24	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	649	Trump 67	Biden 31	+36%	+41%	-
10/25/20 9/26-10/24	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	649	Trump 67	Biden 31	+36%	+41%	-
10/24/20 9/26-10/23	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	638	Trump 67	Biden 31	+36%	+41%	-
10/24/20 9/26-10/23	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	638	Trump 67	Biden 30	+37%	+42%	-
10/23/20 9/25-10/22	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	616	Trump 68	Biden 30	+38%	+43%	-
10/23/20 9/25-10/22	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	616	Trump 67	Biden 30	+37%	+42%	-
10/22/20 9/24-10/21	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	605	Trump 67	Biden 31	+36%	+41%	-
10/22/20 9/24-10/21	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	605	Trump 66	Biden 31	+35%	+40%	-
10/21/20 9/23-10/20	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	597	Trump 67	Biden 32	+35%	+40%	-
10/21/20 9/23-10/20	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	597	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/20/20 9/22-10/19	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	579	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/20/20 9/22-10/19	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	579	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/19/20 9/21-10/18	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	558	Trump 66	Biden 33	+33%	+38%	-
10/19/20 9/21-10/18	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	558	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/18/20 9/20-10/17	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	553	Trump 66	Biden 33	+33%	+38%	-
10/18/20 9/20-10/17	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	553	Trump 66	Biden 32	+34%	+39%	-
10/17/20 9/19-10/16	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	531	Trump 66	Biden 33	+33%	+38%	-
10/17/20 9/19-10/16	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	531	Trump 66	Biden 33	+33%	+38%	-
10/16/20 9/18-10/15	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	499	Trump 64	Biden 34	+30%	+35%	-
10/16/20 9/18-10/15	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	499	Trump 64	Biden 34	+30%	+35%	-
10/15/20 9/16-10/14	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	450	Trump 63	Biden 36	+27%	+32%	-
10/15/20 9/16-10/14	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	450	Trump 63	Biden 36	+27%	+32%	-
10/14/20 9/16-10/13	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	416	Trump 63	Biden 36	+27%	+32%	-
10/14/20 9/16-10/13	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	416	Trump 62	Biden 36	+26%	+31%	-
10/13/20 9/15-10/12	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	409	Trump 63	Biden 35	+28%	+33%	-
10/13/20 9/15-10/12	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	409	Trump 63	Biden 36	+27%	+32%	-
10/3/20 6/8-6/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	98	Trump 78.3	Biden 21.5	+56.8%	+61.8%	-
10/3/20 6/8-6/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	98	Trump 77.7	Biden 22.2	+55.5%	+60.5%	-
10/3/20 7/1-7/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	246	Trump 69.6	Biden 27.8	+41.9%	+46.9%	-
10/3/20 7/1-7/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	246	Trump 70.3	Biden 27.7	+42.6%	+47.6%	-
10/3/20 8/1-8/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	211	Trump 72.7	Biden 26.5	+46.2%	+51.2%	-
10/3/20 8/1-8/31	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	211	Trump 74.1	Biden 25.1	+49%	+54%	-
10/2/20 9/1-9/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	RV	236	Trump 65.2	Biden 32.8	+32.4%	+37.4%	-
10/2/20 9/1-9/30	SurveyMonkey	D-	LV	236	Trump 64.9	Biden 33.9	+31.1%	+36.1%	-

Past Results

Year	Candidates	Republican	Democrat	Diff
2016	Trump v Clinton	67.4	21.6	+45.8%
2012	Romney v Obama	68.6	27.8	+40.8%
2008	McCain v Obama	64.8	32.5	+32.2%
2004	Bush v Kerry	68.9	29.1	+39.8%
2000	Bush v Gore	67.8	27.7	+40.1%

Updates

Last Updated: 11/3 10:10 AM EST

10/30

Wyoming polls jumped 6.3% toward Biden (was R+40.9%, now R+34.6%)

10/14

Wyoming polls jumped 3.5% toward Biden (was R+42%, now R+38.5%)

10/13

Wyoming polls jumped 9.2% toward Biden (was R+51.2%, now R+42%)

10/3

Wyoming polls jumped 4% toward Biden (was R+52%, now R+48%)

10/2

Wyoming polls jumped 2.7% toward Trump (was R+49.3%, now R+52%)