Wyoming

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 8/15 7:30 AM EDT

Winner

Trump

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Wyoming changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.

Wyoming Pre-Election Forecast

Safe Trump

Win Probability
(with same polling error as 2016)

This version of the model assumes the same polling error (polls on election day vs actual result) as 2016.
In Wyoming the polls are shifted 11.8% more Republican.

Biden

Polls: 24.7%

Trump

100%

Polls: 71.2% +46.5%

100%

Swing

+0.7%

From 2016 Results

+0.7%

From 2016 Polls

Polls

24.7%

Biden

71.2%

Trump (+46.5%)

Updates

Last Updated: 11/4 1:14 PM EDT

10/30

Wyoming polls jumped 6.3% toward Biden (was R+52.7%, now R+46.4%)

10/14

Wyoming polls jumped 3.5% toward Biden (was R+53.8%, now R+50.3%)

10/13

Wyoming polls jumped 9.2% toward Biden (was R+63%, now R+53.8%)

10/3

Wyoming polls jumped 4% toward Biden (was R+63.8%, now R+59.8%)

10/2

Wyoming polls jumped 2.7% toward Trump (was R+61.1%, now R+63.8%)