Wyoming

Live Election Night Forecast

Last Updated: 8/15 7:30 AM EDT
Winner
Trump
Trump

Election Night Forecast Changes

Here you can see how the forecast has in Wyoming changed throughout the evening (and perhaps coming days?), all times are EST.





Wyoming Pre-Election Forecast

If Election Today more aggressive + 2016 Polling Error assumes same polling errors

Safe Trump

Win Probability
(with same polling error as 2016)

This version of the model assumes the same polling error (polls on election day vs actual result) as 2016.
In Wyoming the polls are shifted 11.8% more Republican.

Biden
Trump
Biden
0%
Polls: 24.7%
Trump
100%
Polls: 71.2% +46.5%
100%



Swing

 
+0.7%
From 2016 Results
+0.7%
From 2016 Polls
 





Polls

 
24.7%
Biden
71.2%
Trump (+46.5%)
 



Updates

Last Updated: 11/4 1:14 PM EDT
10/30
Wyoming polls jumped 6.3% toward Biden (was R+52.7%, now R+46.4%)
10/14
Wyoming polls jumped 3.5% toward Biden (was R+53.8%, now R+50.3%)
10/13
Wyoming polls jumped 9.2% toward Biden (was R+63%, now R+53.8%)
10/3
Wyoming polls jumped 4% toward Biden (was R+63.8%, now R+59.8%)
10/2
Wyoming polls jumped 2.7% toward Trump (was R+61.1%, now R+63.8%)